AC Milan vs Lazio prediction
The Serie A fixture between AC Milan and Lazio Rom is scheduled for Saturday, 29.11.2025 at 22:45 GMT+3 and will be played at the Giuseppe Meazza. This encounter on matchday 13 pits a resurgent AC Milan side against a Lazio team that has shown flashes of strong form but remains inconsistent on the road. Milan occupy second place in the standings with 25 points from 7 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat, having scored 18 goals and conceded 9; their home record reads four wins, one draw and one defeat. Lazio sit eighth with 18 points from 5 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats (goals 15:9) and have managed just one away win, two draws and three defeats on the road. The last direct meeting ended in a 2:1 away victory for Lazio, but the head-to-head across the past five meetings favours Milan (3 wins to Lazio’s 1, with one draw). Given the respective league positions, recent forms and home advantage, this preview outlines our assessment and betting recommendations for the encounter.
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Main Tip: Both teams score? No
The selection for “No” is underpinned by AC Milan’s strong defensive record and the form of their rearguard under Allegri, as well as Lazio’s mixed away displays. Milan have conceded only nine goals in the league and have shown an ability to control matches, particularly at home. Lazio’s away struggles suggest they may find it difficult to convert opportunities against a disciplined Milan side. Consequently, a “No” on both teams to score is a sensible conservative play for bettors seeking a lower-risk option relative to backing a high-scoring open game. The best odds on the both-teams-to-score – no is 1.78.
While this is not a GG prediction, we have a groundswell of games with a potential for both teams to score.
Betting Tip 2: AC Milan Win-Tip 1
AC Milan are the clear favourites to claim victory at the Giuseppe Meazza. Their superior league position, stronger home record and recent unbeaten run in all competitions provide the principal rationale for backing Milan. Coach Massimiliano Allegri has guided his side to a compact defensive structure – reflected in the modest goals conceded tally (9) – while extracting points regularly from both home and away fixtures. Lazio, under Maurizio Sarri, have tactical clarity and attacking intent but have been less convincing away from home; their away record indicates vulnerability on the road. Given these dynamics, the probability leans in favour of Milan securing three points. The best odds for an AC Milan victory is 1.60 on Paripesa.
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Betting Tip 3: Under 3.5 Goals
The Under 3.5 goals selection is justified by multiple factors: Milan’s defensive solidity and propensity for tightly contested matches, Lazio’s occasionally inefficient finishing in away fixtures, and the fact that encounters between these sides have historically produced few high-scoring affairs. Both teams value structural balance and tactical discipline under experienced coaches Massimiliano Allegri and Maurizio Sarri respectively, often resulting in cautious approaches in key match-ups. A low-scoring contest is therefore the most likely scenario.
Statistics for AC Milan vs Lazio Rom
AC Milan team news!
AC Milan arrive at this fixture second in Serie A with an impressive record of seven wins, four draws and a solitary defeat. They have scored 18 goals and allowed only 9, demonstrating a strong balance between offensive efficiency and defensive resilience. At home, Milan have secured four wins, one draw and one defeat, highlighting their capacity to collect points at the Giuseppe Meazza. Coach Massimiliano Allegri has instilled organisation and tactical pragmatism into the side, with set-piece discipline and compact defending as recurring themes. In their last five matches across competitions Milan have recorded two wins and three draws, remaining unbeaten across that run and showing a consistency that favours them in this fixture.
Lazio Rom team news!
Lazio sit in eighth place with 18 points, achieved through five wins, three draws and four defeats; they have a goal difference that mirrors their mixed performances (15 scored, 9 conceded). Their away form is a concern, with just one win, two draws and three defeats on the road. Under Maurizio Sarri, Lazio typically present a proactive attacking mindset and clear tactical identity, but the side’s translation of control into away victories has been inconsistent. In their last five fixtures across competitions Lazio have posted three wins, one draw and one defeat, indicating positive momentum, yet the away vulnerabilities remain a limiting factor for this particular encounter.
H2H statistics
The head-to-head record over the last five meetings across all competitions favours AC Milan with three wins, one draw and one victory for Lazio. The most recent direct meeting concluded with a 2:1 away triumph for Lazio, demonstrating that past results between these teams can tilt either way; however, the broader trend in recent seasons gives Milan a slight overall advantage.
Last results AC Milan
In their most recent sequence of five matches across all competitions, AC Milan have recorded two wins and three draws, remaining unbeaten in that span. The present form indicates a team that is difficult to beat, capable of grinding out results and maintaining defensive coherence, which bolsters their standing as favourites for the upcoming home fixture.
Last results Lazio Rom
Lazio’s last five matches across competitions have yielded three wins, one draw and one defeat. The form line reflects a capable and sometimes potent side, particularly in possession and attacking buildup, yet this record also contains away shortcomings that may limit their effectiveness at the Giuseppe Meazza.
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Conclusion
In conclusion, AC Milan enter this fixture as clear favourites. Our main tip is both teams to score? No More so, their higher league standing, superior home record and sustained unbeaten run in recent matches provide substantive grounds for expecting a Milan victory and under 3.5 goals.
