Atalanta vs AC Milan prediction
The Serie A fixture between Atalanta Bergamo and AC Milan will take place on Tuesday, 28.10.2025 at 10:45 PM (GMT+3) at the Gewiss Stadium. This is a Matchday 9 encounter in the Italian top flight that pits a highly resilient Atalanta side under Ivan Jurić against Massimiliano Allegri’s AC Milan, who currently sit second in the table. Both clubs arrive in solid form and the meeting promises to be tactically intriguing, with Atalanta’s unbeaten domestic start and Milan’s consistent away return setting the stage for a closely contested encounter.
A scramble for a point to change the ranking on the Italian top division continues, and our team is set to offer you the prudent Serie A betting tips to match every shift in the rankings.
Main Betting Tip: Draw
On paper AC Milan appear stronger on points and with a superior win record this season, but Atalanta’s domestic unbeaten run (2 wins, 6 draws, 0 defeats) and their historical dominance in recent head-to-head meetings tilt expectations toward a tight contest. Atalanta’s compact defensive display — evidenced by conceding only six goals in nine league matches — combined with Milan’s attacking prowess but occasional vulnerabilities away from home make a stalemate a credible outcome. The recent head-to-head record heavily favors Atalanta (4 wins and 1 draw in the last five meetings across all competitions), which suggests Milan may struggle to impose itself fully at the Gewiss Stadium. Given these factors, a draw is the most balanced prediction in this match.
Betting Tip 2: — Both teams score? Yes
Both sides possess attacking quality and have shown the ability to find the net consistently: Atalanta have scored 12 goals thus far in Serie A, while Milan have scored 13. Although Atalanta are defensively competent, their matches often involve open spells and transitional opportunities that suit Milan’s forwards. Conversely, Milan have occasionally conceded against compact, counterattacking sides. Recent results (Atalanta’s 1:1 draw at Cremonese; Milan’s 2:2 home draw with Pisa) underline that both teams are capable of conceding and scoring in the same fixture. Therefore, the Both Teams to Score (BTTS) market is a sound supplementary pick.
See the rest of the BTTS prediction for the midweek matches to get the most out of the bookies.
Betting Tip 3: Correct score 1-1
A 1:1 scoreline reflects the balance between Atalanta’s defensive solidity and Milan’s offensive quality. It is a realistic and conservative correct-score forecast that aligns with the expectation of a close, competitive match in which both sides find the net but neither side dominates sufficiently to produce a one-sided outcome. Given Atalanta’s record of draws and Milan’s tendency to concede on occasion away from home, 1:1 stands out as a high-probability exact result in pragmatic match planning.
Statistics for Atalanta Bergamo vs AC Milan
Atalanta Bergamo team news!
Manager: Ivan Jurić
Atalanta sit on 12 points and occupy 7th position in the Serie A standings, having recorded 2 wins, 6 draws and no defeats to date, with 12 goals scored and 6 conceded. Their home record reads 1 win, 3 draws and 0 defeats, demonstrating resilience at the Gewiss Stadium. Jurić’s team is notable for its capacity to avoid losses through compact organization and disciplined defensive structure, while nevertheless generating sufficient attacking moments to remain competitive. Their most recent outing concluded in a 1:1 away draw at Cremonese, underscoring the side’s current form of one win and four draws in their last five matches across all competitions — an undefeated run that speaks to consistency, if not prolific victories.
AC Milan team news!
Manager: Massimiliano Allegri
AC Milan occupy 2nd position with 17 points, having accumulated five wins, two draws and one defeat, and a goals for/against record of 13:6. The Rossoneri’s away record stands at an impressive 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats, reflecting confidence on the road. Under Allegri, Milan have combined tactical pragmatism with attacking efficiency, producing three wins and two draws in their last five matches across all competitions — an unbeaten sequence that demonstrates momentum and reliability. Their most recent result was a 2:2 home draw against Pisa, a game that highlighted both Milan’s scoring ability and occasional defensive lapses.
H2H statistics
The recent head-to-head record heavily favors Atalanta. In the last five meetings across all competitions Atalanta have won four times and one match ended in a draw; AC Milan are yet to record a victory in those five fixtures. The last direct meeting between the clubs saw Atalanta claim a 1:0 away win. This historical dominance is a significant contextual factor that contributes to the expectation of a close, competitive encounter at the Gewiss Stadium.
Last results Atalanta Bergamo
In their last five matches across all competitions, Atalanta have registered 1 win, 4 draws and 0 defeats. The current form line shows an unbeaten sequence, but a prevalence of drawn outcomes suggests that while the team is difficult to beat, converting parity into victory has been a recurring challenge.
Last results AC Milan
In their last five matches across all competitions, AC Milan have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats. Milan’s recent form conveys greater conversion of performances into victories than their hosts, with an unbeaten run characterized by a higher proportion of wins, contributing to their elevated league position.
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Conclusion
This fixture projects to be closely contested. AC Milan enter with superior points and a more pronounced win ratio, and their away record is strong; nonetheless, Atalanta’s unbeaten domestic record, stout defensive numbers and overt historical success in recent head-to-head meetings complicate the narrative. Taking into account table positions, recent form, and the psychological edge derived from H2H history, the most balanced outcome is a draw, with a 1:1 exact scoreline the most probable single result. Supplementary recommendations—Both Teams to Score (Yes) reflect the attacking capabilities of both sides and recent match dynamics.
