Juventus vs AS Roma prediction
The Serie A fixture between Juventus and AS Roma is scheduled for Saturday, 20 December 2025 at 22:45, to be played at the Allianz Stadium on Matchday 16. This encounter pits the fifth-placed hosts against the visitors occupying fourth place in the table. Juventus arrive on 26 points (7 wins, 5 draws, 3 defeats, goals 19:14) while AS Roma sit on 30 points (10 wins, 0 draws, 5 defeats, goals 16:8). The recent history between the sides is competitive and tight: the last direct meeting ended 1:1 and the five most recent encounters across all competitions produce an even split of one win for Juventus, one win for Roma and three draws. The match promises tactical intrigue under the stewardship of Luciano Spalletti for Juventus and Gian Piero Gasperini for AS Roma.
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Main Tip: Both Teams To Score? No
The main recommended market concerns whether both teams will score. We favour “No” for this market. AS Roma have conceded only eight goals across the campaign, indicating a compact defensive unit that is difficult to break down. Juventus, while capable in attack, have recorded 19 goals in the league and are not an overwhelmingly prolific side; their contests at the Allianz Stadium have frequently been low-scoring and decisive by narrow margins. Given Roma’s defensive solidity and Juventus’s capacity to control matches at home, the market suggesting that one side will keep a clean sheet appears plausible. The best available price on this market at Paripesa is 1.78 for “No”.
Betting Tip 2: Juventus Win – Tip 1
Juventus are the selection for the 1X2 market. The principal rationale for this choice rests on Juventus’s excellent home record for the season (4 wins, 3 draws, 0 defeats at the Allianz Stadium) and their better recent momentum: four wins in their last five matches in all competitions. Although AS Roma sit above them in the league table and possess an impressive away record (5 wins, 0 draws, 2 defeats), Juventus’s unbeaten run at home this term and their capacity to grind out narrow victories make a home victory the most likely outcome in our view. The market value is attractive for a home selection: the best quoted price available is Paripesa at 2.05. This selection represents a balance between expected probability and value.
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Betting Tip 3: Over 1.5 Goals
For the Over/Under market we propose Over 1.5 goals as an opportunistic play. Encounters between top Italian sides managed by tactically astute coaches often produce phases of tactical caution punctuated by bursts of scoring — set pieces, counter-attacks and late-match openings can create goal opportunities. Both sides possess forwards and creative players capable of converting such chances, and cup or league contexts in December can lead to more open fixtures as teams seek crucial points. While this view does not contradict the main selection as a speculative alternative, it represents a higher-risk, higher-reward stance for bettors looking to capitalise on open-play and transitional moments.
Statistics for Juventus vs AS Roma
Juventus team news!
Juventus approach this fixture with Luciano Spalletti at the helm. Statistically, the club has accumulated 26 points from 15 matches with a goals record of 19 scored and 14 conceded. Their home form is especially notable: 4 wins, 3 draws and no defeats at the Allianz Stadium. Recent form is encouraging — Juventus have won four of their last five matches in all competitions, suggesting confidence and consistency coming into this important league tie. Tactical discipline under Spalletti has been a hallmark, and Juventus’s ability to manage games and extract results at home underpins our confidence in a home victory.
AS Roma team news!
AS Roma, managed by Gian Piero Gasperini, have been effective on the road this season, registering 5 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats away from home. Their league return of 30 points (10 wins, no draws, 5 defeats) is underpinned by a resolute defensive record — only eight goals conceded in league play. Roma’s attacking output stands at 16 goals overall. The combination of organised defence and effective counter-attacking has made them a dangerous away opponent. Nevertheless, their two defeats in the last five and the challenge of breaching Juventus’s home resistance complicate their prospects.
H2H statistics
The direct head-to-head record in the last five meetings across all competitions shows equilibrium: 1 win for Juventus, 1 win for AS Roma and 3 draws. The most recent direct encounter produced a 1:1 draw, illustrating that matches between these two sides often finish closely contested and are decided by fine margins.
Last results Juventus
In their last five matches across all competitions Juventus have recorded four wins and one defeat. This recent form indicates a rising trajectory and a team currently more consistent than in earlier parts of the season. Their latest outing was a 1:0 away win at Bologna FC, which demonstrates their ability to secure narrow but decisive victories.
Last results AS Roma
AS Roma’s last five matches produced three wins and two defeats. Their current form shows intermittent instability compared with Juventus’s more continuous run of positive results. Their most recent match was a 1:0 home victory over Como, evidencing a capacity to grind out results but also reflecting low-scoring outcomes.
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Conclusion
On balance, Juventus are the favourites for this fixture owing to their unbeaten home record, recent sequence of victories and the marginal advantage conferred by playing at the Allianz Stadium under Luciano Spalletti. AS Roma remain a potent opponent with an excellent away record and a very tight defence under Gian Piero Gasperini, which means the match is likely to be closely contested. Our principal prediction is both teams to score? No, a home win for Juventus (Tip 1), supported by the expectation that Juventus will win and over 1.5 goals.
