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Daniil Medvedev - Novak Djokovic
US Open Final
Sun, 10.09.2023 –11:00 PM GMT+3
our tip:
Over 3.5 Sets

Daniil Medvedev vs Novak Djokovic prediction

Two years on after spoiling Novak Djokovic’s calendar year grand-slam sweep, Russian Daniil Medvedev will look to reopen that wound when the two of them lock horns in the final of the US Open this Sunday. The Russian had previously expressed discontent for being overshadowed by the budding Alcaraz – Djokovic rivalry and he had a say on it with an impressive upset win over world number 1 Carlos Alcaraz in the semifinal. Medvedev has rightly reclaimed his place at the pinnacle of men’s tennis after his trajectory took a hit following a loss to Rafael Nadal in the final of the Australian Open in 2022. That win over Alcaraz was one of his finest performances. So often renowned for his defensive mastery – especially on hard courts – Medvedev proved he possessed just as much offensive arsenal against Alcaraz and upset the bookmakers to prevail 7-6[3] 6-1 3-6 6-3 in front of the mostly partisan Arthur Ashe Stadium crowd, most of whom were in the Spaniard’s corner.

Novak Djokovic has some unfinished business in this rivalry. After being reduced to tears following the shattering of his dream season in 2021, the Serbian maestro will be looking to get his pound of flesh in this same final showpiece that he decisively lost to Medvedev then. He has been almost flawless in this tournament so far, with five of Djokovic’s six victories so far at the 2023 US Open coming in straight sets – the outlier being a five-setter against compatriot Laslo Djere, where he came from two sets down to prevail. Djokovic needs no further encouragement to go all out here – a win here will not only avenge his bitter loss from two years ago but it will also see the Serb rise to the charts as the all-time grand slam winner with 24 titles!

Both of these players have shown great panache and terrific poise to get to this final. You cannot question their mental fortitude either. With so much on the line for both of them, we can expect a close encounter here. We are backing at least 4 sets to be played in this final.

Tip: Over 3.5 Sets

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Head-to-Head stats Daniil Medvedev vs Novak Djokovic

These two players have met 14 times before

Djokovic leads 9-5

Latest results Daniil Medvedev

  • 5 straight wins
  • 49-11 win-loss record this season
  • He defeated defending champion Carlos Alacaraz 3-1 in the semis (7-6, 6-1, 3-6, 6-3)

Latest results Novak Djokovic

  • Also won his last 5 straight matches
  • 38-5 win-loss record this season
  • He beat Benjamin Shelton 3-0 in the semis (6-3, 6-2, 7-6)

ATP Rankings

  • Ranking from: Fri, 08.09.2023
  • Daniil Medvedev: # 3
  • Novak Djokovic: # 2
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Our tip and odds in detail

According to the statistics above and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following:

Bet on Over 3.5 Sets

1xBet offers the best odds for the bet “Over 3.5 Sets
The odd of 1.44 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 69% chance that this match will have at least 4 sets played

Odds comparison for Over 3.5 Sets

1xBet – odd 1.44
Bet365 – odd 1.40

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