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AC Milan - Inter Milan
Serie A
Mon, 22.04.2024 – 9:45 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
Inter Win (DNB)

AC Milan vs Inter Milan prediction

A late fightback from AC Milan earned them a point at Sassuolo in a pulsating 3-3 draw last time out and kept their unbeaten streak alive as they extended it to eight games. That said, the Rossoneri are still miles behind their crosstown rivals and runaway league leaders Inter Milan who also drew away at Cagliari with the status quo atop the Serie remaining the same, with Inter staying 14 points clear at the top with six matches left to play.

Inter’s 14 point cushion at the top mean means they can literally wrap up Scudetto race with a win here as they will create an insurmountable 16 points gap. They had the chance to create even more separation as they travelled to Cagliari with AC Milan having dropped points prior to the match. They were however pegged back twice by Caudio Ranier’s Caglari and ended up having to share the spoils in an equally entertaining 2-2 draw.

Inter have dominated this Derby della Madonnina in recent years. They have actually won the last 5 straight exchanges across all competitions. With a chance to wrap things up, we expect them to go all out here. We are picking Inter to Win on the Draw No bet option as our opening AC Milan vs Inter Milan prediction

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Main tip: Inter Milan Win (Draw No Bet)

Our AC Milan vs Inter Milan predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Inter Milan Win (DNB)

Inter Milan have won 6 of their last 8 encounters, including the last 5 straight

AC Milan have only won twice when hosting Inter in their last 10 meetings

We expect a tough game here with both teams looking to win. We however feel Inter has all the momentum and motivation and we are backing them to Win this game (Draw No Bet) with very competitive prices available at 1Win

Odds for this bet

1Win offers competitive odds for the bet “Inter Milan Win (DNB)”

The odd of 1.53 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 65% chance that Inter will win this game but all bets will be voided (refunded) if it ends in a draw

Odds comparison for Inter Milan Win (DNB)

1Win – odd 1.53
Bet365 – odd 1.51

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Prediction 2: 1st Half Draw

A close opening half is expected here given the magnitude of this game in the grand scheme of things.

We expect both teams to come out fighting in the first half and we are backing the half to end in a stalemate here

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “1st Half Draw”

The odd of 2.12 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 47% chance that the first half of this match will end in a draw

Odds comparisons 1st Half Draw

Paripesa – odd 2.12
10Bet – odd 2.09

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Prediction 3: Over 3.5 Bookings

This is a local derby that offers Inter a chance to clinch the title. Their cross-town rivals will not want this dubious record in their account and will do everything they can to stop that.

Emotions will be high in this game and there will be extra physicality and cynical challenges

Each of their last 4 games has seen at least 4 bookings. Given the context of this game, we feel there is value in backing at least 4 bookings as our final AC Milan vs Inter prediction for this match.

Statistics for AC Milan vs Inter Milan Prediction

H2H statistics

Looking at the last 10 meetings between these teams:

  • Inter have had 6 wins, AC Milan 2 wins and 2 games were drawn
  • These matches averaged 2.60 goals a match
  • Inter Milan won the reverse match 5-1 earlier in the season

Latest results AC Milan

  • 3 wins, a draw and a loss in their last 5 games
  • 11 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average of 2.20 goals per match
  • Drew 3-3 at Sassuolo in their last match

Latest results Inter Milan

  • 2 wins, 2 draws and a loss in their last 5 matches
  • 8 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average 1.60 goals per match
  • Also drew 2-2 at home against Cagliari in their last match
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Possible squad AC Milan & Inter Milan

Line upAC MilanInter Milan
GoalkeeperSportielloSzczęsny
DefenseFlorenzi, Kjær, Thiaw, HernándezGatti, Bremer, Danilo
MidfieldAdli, Musah, Loftus-CheekCambiaso, McKennie, Locatelli, Rabiot, Kostić
ForwardLeão, Jović, ChukwuezeVlahović, Chiesa
MissingMaignan (Phy discomfort), Kalulu (Knee injury), Pobega (Hamstring)Fagioli (Disciplinary),  Milik (Muscle)
CoachStefano PioliMassimiliano Allegri

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