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Burkina Faso - Equatorial Guinea
Africa Cup of Nations
Wed, 24.12.2025 – 3:30 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
Burkina Faso Win

Burkina Faso vs Equatorial Guinea Prediction

The Africa Cup of Nations Group E fixture between Burkina Faso and Equatorial Guinea is scheduled for Wednesday, 24 December 2025, kick-off at 3:30 PM GMT +3. The match will be played at Stade Mohamed V and carries significant importance for both sides as they seek to secure early momentum in the group phase of the continental tournament. This preview offers a considered betting prediction and rationale, taking into account recent form, head-to-head history and available market prices.

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Betting prediction — Burkina Faso Win

Main betting prediction: Win for Burkina Faso (Tip 1). Rationale: Burkina Faso arrives in this fixture in superior overall form compared with Equatorial Guinea. Over their last five matches across all competitions, Burkina Faso have recorded four wins and a draw, remaining unbeaten in that sequence and ending their most recent outing with a confident 3:0 victory. By contrast, Equatorial Guinea have managed only one victory in their last five matches, suffering three defeats in that span and arriving from a 0:2 loss. The head-to-head record over the last three meetings also slightly favours Burkina Faso (1 win, 2 draws), and the last direct encounter ended in a goalless draw, indicating competitive but defensively cautious encounters historically. Taking into account current momentum, squad confidence and home advantage at Stade Mohamed V, the most prudent 1X2 selection is a victory for Burkina Faso. Best available odds for a Burkina Faso win are shown at Paripesa with an odd of 1.76.

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Betting prediction — Both teams to score? No

Second betting prediction: Both teams to score — No. Rationale: Burkina Faso have displayed defensive solidity in recent fixtures, their improved attacking output (highlighted by a recent 3:0 win) suggests they can create and convert chances. Equatorial Guinea, due to recent poor form, have struggled to find the net and this may continue in this game. The two teams’ historical meetings have included low-scoring stalemates, and this increases the probability of one or both teams not scoring in this encounter. For bettors seeking goals in addition to a match-winner, the Both Teams To Score — No market provides value and is available at 1Win with odds of 1.70.

Betting prediction — Under 2.5 Goals

Rationale: The under 2.5 goals selection aligns with the expectation that this is likely to be a tight game with both teams getting limited scoring opportunities. Equatorial Guinea’s recent vulnerability (three defeats in five) shows that they will continue to struggle in getting goals. They are likely to focus on preventing Burkina Faso from getting the same. Past head-to-heads have consistently produced low scores, and the present teams point toward a contest that could struggle to surpass two goals. Best odds for under 2.5 goals (1.66 on Paripesa).

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Betting Predictions from betting-tips.africa

Statistics for Burkina Faso vs Equatorial Guinea

Burkina Faso team news!

Burkina Faso arrive at Stade Mohamed V on the back of an encouraging run of form. Their last five competitive and friendly fixtures have produced four wins and one draw, an unbeaten sequence that reflects effective game management and consistent execution in attack and defence. In the previous Africa Cup of Nations cycle the team’s continental form was less convincing — one win, one draw and three losses across five matches — indicating that tournament play can produce mixed results. The manager (listed as -) will likely emphasise maintaining defensive organisation while exploiting the opponent’s weaknesses on the counter and from set-pieces. Fitness and squad rotation will be factors to monitor; however, the present trend points toward a confident Burkinabé side capable of controlling the tempo.

Equatorial Guinea team news!

Equatorial Guinea have experienced a more turbulent recent period. Across their last five fixtures in all competitions they secured one win, one draw and suffered three defeats. Their most recent outing ended in a 0:2 home loss versus Madagascar, undermining momentum ahead of this fixture. In the previous AFCON campaign they recorded two wins, one draw and two losses across five tournament matches, showing sporadic competitiveness but limited consistency. The manager (listed as -) must address defensive lapses and inject attacking impetus if the side is to challenge for points. Tactical pragmatism and resilience will be essential, but the current form suggests this will be a demanding assignment.

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H2H statistics

Across the last three meetings between the two nations, Burkina Faso have recorded one victory while the other two encounters ended in draws. There have been no wins for Equatorial Guinea in those three most recent fixtures. The last direct meeting concluded in a 0:0 draw, illustrating prior tight encounters; however, current form diverges, with Burkina Faso enjoying an unbeaten recent spell and Equatorial Guinea struggling for consistency.

Last results — Burkina Faso

In their last five matches across all competitions, Burkina Faso have compiled a record of four wins and one draw, with no defeats. This sequence reflects strong current form and suggests improved cohesion and effective game management. Coming off a 3:0 victory in their most recent match, the squad will enter the upcoming fixture with elevated confidence.

Last results — Equatorial Guinea

Equatorial Guinea’s last five matches across all competitions have produced one win, one draw and three defeats. This run indicates vulnerability and inconsistency, and it is compounded by the immediate setback of a 0:2 loss in their most recent outing. Such a form profile implies that the team may face challenges in containing a resurgent Burkina Faso side.

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Conclusion

On balance, Burkina Faso emerge as the favourites for this Africa Cup of Nations Group E encounter. Their recent unbeaten run and convincing attacking displays grant them an edge against an Equatorial Guinea team that has recorded only one victory in five matches and arrives having conceded goals in crucial fixtures. The preferred outcome is a Burkina Faso victory, with ancillary selections that both teams will not score and the match producing fewer than 2.5 goals. These predictions encapsulate the expectation of a competitive game where Burkina Faso ultimately prevail. Bettors should treat these assessments with appropriate risk management and review up-to-date team news and market prices prior to staking.

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