Morocco vs Tanzania AFCON Prediction
The Africa Cup of Nations fixture between Morocco and Tanzania will take place on Sunday, 04.01.2026 at 7:00 PM GMT +3 at Stade Moulay Abdellah. Morocco approach the encounter as group leaders with seven points from three matches (2 wins, 1 draw, 0 defeats) and an aggregate goal difference of 6:1. Tanzania occupy third place with two points, having recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat with a goal tally of 3:4. The two sides met most recently with Morocco prevailing 1:0, and the overall head-to-head record over the last five meetings is one-sided in favour of Morocco (5 wins, 0 draws, 0 wins for Tanzania). Given the disparity in form, the current standings and the previous direct meetings, the match is likely to be controlled by the Moroccan side under coach Walid Regragui.
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Main Betting tip — Both teams score? No
Our primary betting tip is that both teams will not score. Morocco have conceded only once in the group so far and have shown the capacity to keep the opposition quiet; their recent defensive form is excellent. Tanzania, by contrast, have struggled to convert opportunities and arrive with an away record that does not inspire confidence (0 wins, 0 draws, 0 defeats recorded in the tournament staging record but competitive performances show limited offensive output). Considering Tanzania’s relative lack of goal-scoring potency and Morocco’s defensive discipline, a “Both teams to score — No” selection is the more sensible choice for punters seeking a value conservative play. Best available odd on the both-teams-to-score market: Paripesa — NO at 1.35.
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2nd Betting tip — Morocco to win
Our 2nd betting tip for this fixture is a win for Morocco. The reasons are straightforward: Morocco top the group with an unbeaten run (2 wins and a draw), they have a superior goal difference (6:1) and they boast a recent sequence of results that shows four wins and one draw from their last five competitive fixtures. Head-to-head history is emphatic — Morocco have won each of the last five meetings against Tanzania, and the most recent encounter also ended in a narrow Moroccan victory. Morocco’s balance between defensive solidity and attacking efficiency under Walid Regragui suggests they are highly likely to collect all three points in Rabat. Best available odd on the match-winner market: Paripesa — Tip 1 at 1.10.
3rd Betting tip — Under 2.5 goals
Our third betting tip is Under 2.5 goals. The expectation is for a controlled Moroccan performance that secures victory without an open, high-scoring spectacle. Morocco’s ability to manage leads and their inclination to win by a single-goal margin in recent head-to-head matches point toward a low-scoring outcome. Tanzania’s inability to consistently breach stronger defences further supports the under 2.5 projection. This selection aligns with the main prediction (a narrow Moroccan win) and with the both-teams-to-score No tip. Best available market reference: Under 2.5 goals (2.23 at Paripesa).
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Statistics for Morocco vs Tanzania
Morocco team news!
Morocco enter the match in first place with seven points from three group matches, having recorded two wins and one draw and scoring six goals while conceding one. Their form in the last five matches reads: four wins and one draw, with no defeats. Walid Regragui’s side look cohesive, showing both attacking variety and defensive organisation; the coach has established a stable core and the team’s goal difference underlines a balanced approach.
Tanzania team news!
Tanzania sit third in the group with two points and a goal record of 3:4. In the tournament the away record is shown as 0 wins, 0 draws, 0 defeats — an artefact of venue registration rather than performance — but their competitive form is less convincing than Morocco’s. Over their last five matches across competitions they have collected 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats. The immediate form line and their inability to secure a victory in the recent sequence suggest offensive limitations and defensive vulnerabilities. Tanzania’s most recent match was a 1:1 draw against Tunisia, which gives them some confidence, but their overall results indicate they are underdogs for this encounter.
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H2H statistics
The head-to-head record over the last five meetings is entirely in favour of Morocco: 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 wins for Tanzania. The last direct meeting finished 1:0 to Morocco. This historical dominance should not be ignored; Morocco have consistently posed tactical and physical problems for Tanzania, and the recent results make Morocco the clear superior side in direct confrontations.
Last results Morocco
In their last five matches across all competitions Morocco have recorded four wins and one draw, with no defeats. The current form is therefore unbeaten and strongly positive, demonstrating consistency in both attack and defence. This sequence provides the team with momentum and confidence heading into the fixture at Stade Moulay Abdellah.
Last results Tanzania
In their last five matches across all competitions Tanzania have not recorded a win: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats. Their current form is therefore weak and indicates issues in sustaining positive results. This run underlines their underdog status for the upcoming match.
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Conclusion
On balance, Morocco are clear favourites for this Africa Cup of Nations fixture. They lead the group, possess superior recent form, and have an unblemished head-to-head record against Tanzania. Walid Regragui’s team combine defensive discipline with sufficient offensive threat to secure a narrow victory. Our recommended forecast remains a no on both teams scoring, Moroccan win, and under 2.5 goals projection. These selections reflect Morocco’s capacity to control the match and Tanzania’s ongoing difficulties in producing away goals against stronger opponents.
