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Atletico Mineiro - Sao Paulo
Brazil Serie A
Fri, 12.07.2024 – 3:30 AM GMT+3
our main tip:
1st Half Draw

Atletico Mineiro vs Sao Paulo prediction

Brazilian Serie A continues this Friday with match-day 16 action between Atletico Mineiro and Sao Paulo. Atletico Mineiro’s woes were further compounded during their trip to the Estádio Olímpico Nilton Santos where they were thoroughly thrashed by Botafogo in a match that ended 3-0, sealing their second straight loss. As it stands, Atletico Mineiro are 6 points above the drop zone and they sit at the 12th spot of the league table but they need a change of fortune pretty sharpish, else they would join rock bottom teams.

Moving on, Sao Paulo added to their already brilliant run of form with a solid 2-0 win over RB Bragantino which saw them climb to fourth position with 27 points in the league’s standings. If everything goes well in this new round, the Tricolor Paulista might as well ascend to the 2nd spot of the table.

Atletico Mineiro have suffered some pretty heavy defeats in their last 2 games, while Sao Paulo are currently basking in back-to-back wins which of course makes them the favorites to dominate and win this game on paper. However, here’s a gentle reminder that Atletico Mineiro haven’t lost at home to Sao Paulo in 4 years plus the fact that they are winless in their previous 2 outings would even make the Galo harder to break. In essence, Sao Paulo may not be having an easy game here, especially in the opening 45′ and so, Our Atletico Mineiro vs Sao Paulo prediction is a draw in the 1st Half and we recommend the 1st Half draw market.

Backing teams to win games is mostly tricky but our well-analyzed Straight win prediction curated by seasoned tipsters will always give you an edge over every uncertainty.

Main tip: 1st Half Draw

Our Atletico Mineiro vs Sao Paulo predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: 1st Half Draw

3 reasons why we are predicting 1st Half Draw:

  • 4 out of Sao Paulo’s last 5 games ended with a 1st Half draw
  • 2 of Atletico Mineiro’s recent 5 home games saw a draw in the first half
  • 7 of their 20 recent H2H games featured a draw in the opening 45′

Odds for this bet

Betwinner offers competitive odds for the bet “1st Half Draw”

The odd of 1.94 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 52% chance that the 1st half of this match would end in a draw.

Odds comparison for 1st Half Draw

Betwinner – odds 1.94
Betboro- odds 1.87

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Prediction 2: Both Teams To Score

3 reasons why we are predicting Both Teams To Score:

  • Sao Paulo scored in all their last 5 games
  • Atletico Mineiro haven’t kept a clean sheet in 9 games
  • Atletico Mineiro found the back of the net in 4 of their last 5 games

Odds for this bet

Betboro offers competitive odds for Both Teams To Score”

The odd of 1.84 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 54% chance that both teams will find the back of the net in this game.

Odds comparisons for Both Teams To Score

Betboro – odds 1.84
Betwinner – odds 1.83

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Prediction 3: Atletico Mineiro Win (DNB)

3 reasons why we back Atletico Mineiro Win (DNB):

  • Atletico Mineiro haven’t lost to Sao Paulo in their last 6 meetings with a record of 3 wins and 3 draws
  • Sao Paulo last claimed victory over Atletico Mineiro in 2020
  • In their last 20 H2Hs, Atletico defeated Sao Paulo 10 times, losing 5 times and drawing 5 times

Statistics for Atletico Mineiro vs Sao Paulo Prediction

Atletico Mineiro’s team news!

  • The Galo will be without their center back, Igor Rabello as he’s suspended following a red card offence in the game against Botafogo.
  • Matheus Mendes will continue to fill in the gap left by the experienced GK, Everson who’s currently ruled out of action till late July due to a broken finger.
  • 25-year-old right back, Mariano is also battling a thigh injury and will get to play again at the end of the month.
  • Left Midfielder, Rubens who sprained his knee against Criciuma in April is another Atletico MG player scheduled to return from injury at the end of the month.
  • Center back, Mauricio Lemos and right wing-back, Renzo Saravia both currently out due to Muscle injuries could make their comeback in a few weeks time.
  • Alisson Santana who last featured for the Galo against Fortaleza is scheduled to be back in action in the middle of this month.
  • Romulo who was sent off against Flamengo will be available for this match.
  • The versatile Federico Zaracho, sidelined as a result of groin injury could make his return to the match-day squad this Friday.
  • Following Brazil’s elimination from the Copa America, Guilherme Arana is expected to return to the club and there’s a healthy chance he might start in this game.

Sao Paulo’s team news!

  • Left Winger, Michel Araujo remains unavailable for selection till late July as a result of a Sprained Ankle.
  • Joao Moreira and Pablo Maia, both out courtesy of thigh injury are expected to be fit for match-day action in the middle of this month.

H2H statistics

We take a look at their last 20 meetings

  • Atletico Mineiro have 10 wins, Sao Paulo have 5 wins, and 5 games was drawn
  • They scored an average of 2.45 goals
  • The last time they met, Atletico Mineiro won 2-1

Latest results Atletico Mineiro

  • 1 win, 2 losses, and 2 draws in their last 5 matches
  • 6 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 1.20 goals per match
  • They lost 3-0 against Botafogo during their last match

Latest results Sao Paulo

  • 4 wins, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
  • 10 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 2.00 goals per match
  • They won 2-0 against RB Bragantino during their last match
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