Barcelona vs Alaves prediction
The Primera División fixture between FC Barcelona and Deportivo Alavés will be contested on Saturday, 29.11.2025 at 18:15 GMT+3. The match, corresponding to Matchday 14, will be played at the Spotify Camp Nou. Barcelona arrive at the encounter occupying 2nd place in the table with 31 points from 13 matches (10 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats) and a goal difference of 36:15. Deportivo Alavés lie 14th with 15 points from 13 matches (4 wins, 3 draws, 6 defeats) and a goal difference of 11:12. The two sides last met with a 1:0 victory for FC Barcelona, and Barcelona have won all five of the most recent head-to-head encounters across competitions.
We give you La Liga predictions for all the key games in the Spanish top division, having three ancillary selections that reflect form, home advantage and defensive solidity.
Main Betting Tip: Under 3.5 goals
A pragmatic expectation for this meeting is a reasonably controlled contest with fewer than four goals. Barcelona’s domestic matches often feature a combination of efficient attacking play and measured defensive organisation under Hansi Flick, and Alavés are unlikely to deploy a wide-open, high-risk strategy away at the Camp Nou. Historical head-to-head meetings have tended to be won by Barcelona with single- or two-goal margins rather than high-scoring shootouts. Consequently, the under 3.5 goals line appears a sensible total-goals selection on match day.
Betting Tip 2: Barcelona Win
There is a clear statistical and qualitative edge in favour of FC Barcelona. The hosts remain unbeaten at home in league play this season with a perfect record of 6 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats at the Spotify Camp Nou. Barcelona’s attacking numbers are robust (36 goals scored), and their head-to-head dominance over Alavés — five straight wins in the last five meetings — underlines a sustained tactical and personnel advantage. Although Barcelona suffered a heavy 0:3 away defeat to Chelsea in their most recent match, that result came in European competition and does not materially alter Barcelona’s domestic profile at home under coach Hansi Flick. Deportivo Alavés have a modest away record (1 win, 1 draw, 4 defeats) and have struggled to impose themselves offensively on the road. Given the combination of superior home form, squad quality and historical superiority, the most prudent single selection is a home victory for FC Barcelona.
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Betting Tip 3: Both teams score? Yes
Deportivo Alavés are capable of scoring against stronger opposition on occasion, and Barcelona, despite their attacking efficiency, have conceded 15 goals so far this season. Alavés have registered 11 goals across the campaign and may find opportunities from set-pieces and transitional moments against a Barcelona side that sometimes leaves spaces when committing players forward. Recent forms suggest that Barcelona have not been impermeable defensively, while Alavés have shown they can convert chances in spurts. The “both teams to score — Yes” market therefore presents value as a complementary selection to a Barcelona win. Best available odds for both teams to score — Yes: Betwinner 1.85.
Statistics for FC Barcelona vs Deportivo Alavés
FC Barcelona team news!
Manager: Hansi Flick. Barcelona’s domestic campaign to date has produced 31 points from 13 matches, putting them second in the table. They have recorded 10 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats overall, with an imposing offensive record of 36 goals scored and 15 conceded. At the Spotify Camp Nou, Barcelona have been imperious in league play, winning all six of their home fixtures. This home invincibility will be a major factor in assessing match dynamics; expectations are that Flick will field a team oriented toward control and aggressive chance creation while maintaining defensive structure. The team arrives with a mixed recent form in all competitions (three wins, one draw, one defeat across the last five matches) but remains dominant domestically.
Deportivo Alavés team news!
Manager: Eduardo Coudet. Deportivo Alavés occupy 14th place with 15 points collected from 13 matches (4 wins, 3 draws, 6 defeats). The squad has struggled for consistency, particularly away from home, where their record stands at a single win, one draw and four losses. Their cumulative goals tally is modest — 11 scored and 12 conceded — suggesting a team that is conservative and reliant on efficiency rather than sustained attacking pressure. Alavés have produced a mixed recent run (two wins and three defeats in their last five matches), and their away form makes the task at the Camp Nou especially demanding.
H2H statistics
FC Barcelona have dominated the recent head-to-head series. In the last five meetings across all competitions Barcelona have won five; there were no draws and no wins for Deportivo Alavés. The most recent direct encounter resulted in a 1:0 victory for Barcelona. This sequence demonstrates a consistent tactical and quality gap between the two sides over several meetings.
Last results FC Barcelona
Across their last five matches in all competitions, FC Barcelona have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Their current form may be described as largely positive domestically, although the recent Champions League reverse (0:3 away defeat to Chelsea) represents an isolated setback on the European stage.
Last results Deportivo Alavés
Deportivo Alavés’ last five outings in all competitions have produced 2 wins and 3 defeats, with no draws in that sequence. The form indicates an uneven performance profile: moments of competitiveness interspersed with defensive lapses and results that have left the club nearer the lower half of the table.
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Conclusion
On balance, FC Barcelona are clear favourites for this Primera División encounter. The superior home record, head-to-head dominance and attacking potency combine to make a home victory the most probable outcome. Deportivo Alavés face the dual challenge of breaking a poor away run and overcoming a historically difficult opponent. Our recommended primary selection is an Under 3.5 Goals, then Barcelona win as an alternate pick, supplemented by both teams to score (Yes). These selections reflect the balance between Barcelona’s ability to control and win matches at the Camp Nou and Alavés’ capacity to produce isolated offensive moments without routinely overturning the home side’s superiority.
