Bayer Leverkusen vs Dortmund prediction
The Bundesliga fixture between Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Dortmund will take place on Saturday, 29.11.2025 at 20:30 GMT+3 in the BayArena as part of Matchday 12. This is an early-winter top‑of‑the‑table encounter in which the hosts, occupying third place with 23 points, will seek to consolidate their domestic momentum against a Dortmund side immediately beneath them in fourth place on 22 points. Leverkusen arrive with a strong home record (4 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat) and an impressive goals tally of 27 scored versus 15 conceded, while Dortmund have produced a solid away record (3 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat) and recorded 19 goals with 10 conceded. The previous competitive meeting concluded with a 4:2 away victory for Borussia Dortmund, but the recent form lines and the specific match context point to a contest that could be finely balanced. Below follow our considered betting prediction and supplementary market selections for this intriguing Bundesliga clash.
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Main Tip: Full Time Draw
Both clubs are closely matched in the table and in recent performances. Leverkusen’s strong attacking output at home is offset by Dortmund’s effectiveness on the break and their resilience on the road. Leverkusen have accumulated 23 points from 11 games through 7 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, while Dortmund have been consistent with 6 wins, 4 draws and only 1 defeat. The balance of offensive capability and defensive solidity suggests that neither side will be likely to dominate outright for the full ninety minutes. Additionally, the recent head‑to‑head record and the fact that both teams have scored frequently in their recent fixtures increases the likelihood of a shared points outcome. Considering these factors, a draw is the most probable 1X2 outcome. The odds for this outcome is 3.76 on Betwinner.
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Betting Tip 2: Both teams score? Yes
Leverkusen have averaged a high rate of goals scored across the season and have produced 27 goals so far, while Dortmund have found the net on 19 occasions. Both teams possess offensive systems under Kasper Hjulmand and Niko Kovač, respectively, that emphasize forward movement and goal creation. Recent matches underline this propensity: Leverkusen recorded an important 2:0 away victory versus Manchester City in their last outing, indicative of attacking form and confidence, whereas Dortmund inflicted a comprehensive 4:0 win at home against Villarreal CF. The head‑to‑head pattern and the general scoring frequency from both sides make a Both Teams To Score (Yes) wager an attractive option. The best available odds on this market: Both teams to score – Yes at Betwinner with odd 1.46.
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Betting Tip 3: Over 3.5 goals
On aggregate, these two teams have produced a high volume of goals in this season’s fixtures. Leverkusen’s 27 goals from the campaign to date and Dortmund’s 19 goals translate into an elevated combined scoring rate. Historically, recent encounters between the sides have also been open affairs; the most recent direct meeting ended 4:2 to Dortmund, demonstrating the defensive vulnerabilities that can be exposed when both teams play assertively. Given the attacking philosophies of both managers and the likelihood of both sides committing numbers forward, the match carries a realistic chance of exceeding 3.5 total goals. This selection represents a higher‑variance, higher‑reward play that suits bettors who expect an open, end‑to‑end game.
Statistics for Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund
Bayer Leverkusen team news!
Manager Kasper Hjulmand has shaped Leverkusen into an assertive, goal‑minded team. The club currently sits third in the Bundesliga with 23 points after 11 rounds and boasts the league’s most productive attack with 27 goals scored. Home form has been favourable: Leverkusen have recorded four wins, one draw and a single home defeat to date. Their recent performances across competitions are strong; in the last five matches they have achieved four victories and suffered one defeat, demonstrating momentum and confidence that they will seek to leverage at the BayArena.
Borussia Dortmund team news!
Under the guidance of coach Niko Kovač, Borussia Dortmund occupy fourth place with 22 points, assembled from 6 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat. Dortmund’s away record is solid with three wins, two draws and one loss on the road, and defensively they have conceded 10 goals up to this point. Their recent run shows some variability: in the last five overall fixtures they have recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat, but their most recent performance—a commanding 4:0 home victory over Villarreal CF—signals that their attacking capability is peaking at a favourable moment for this encounter.
H2H statistics
In the last five meetings across all competitions the record reads: 1 win for Bayer Leverkusen, 2 draws and 2 wins for Borussia Dortmund. The most recent direct meeting resulted in a 4:2 away victory for Dortmund. The aggregate head‑to‑head history indicates a competitive rivalry, with matches often producing goals and moments of decisive offensive play.
Last results Bayer Leverkusen
Form (last five matches, all competitions): 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 defeat. Current form status: Leverkusen are in strong competitive shape, having delivered consistent victories and showing offensive efficiency.
Last results Borussia Dortmund
Form (last five matches, all competitions): 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat. Current form status: Dortmund display moderate stability with unbeaten runs punctuated by draws, but they arrive at this fixture buoyed by a recent high‑scoring triumph.
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Conclusion
This fixture is finely balanced on paper. Leverkusen’s superior goal production and strong home record are matched by Dortmund’s solidity and counterattacking threat under Niko Kovač. Taking into account league positions (third versus fourth), recent form (Leverkusen marginally better in the last five), and the head‑to‑head history, the most sensible single outcome is a draw. For bettors seeking additional markets, the expectation that both teams will score is reasonable given the scoring rates, while an Over 3.5 goals selection presents a higher‑risk alternative grounded in the clubs’ combined scoring averages and their history of open encounters.
