Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig prediction
The Bundesliga presents a high-profile fixture on Saturday, 04.10.2025 at 16:30 GMT+3 as Borussia Dortmund host RB Leipzig at Signal Iduna Park. This Matchday 6 clash pits two of the division’s early pace-setters against one another: Borussia Dortmund occupy second place with 13 points (4 wins, 1 draw, 0 defeats, goals 11:3), while RB Leipzig follow closely in third with 12 points (4 wins, 0 draws, 1 defeat, goals 7:7). The contrast in recent meetings and the context of both clubs form ensure that tactical nuance, squad availability and match temperament will be decisive. This preview offers a measured assessment of the likely outcome and the associated betting considerations.
Follow our lead on how to pick Bundesliga betting tips that can match the current form and statistics of each team.
Main Betting Tip: Under 3.5 Goals
Although both sides are capable of offensive output, the defensive discipline of Borussia Dortmund and the typically structured approach Leipzig adopts under coach Ole Werner suggest a match that is likely to produce fewer than four goals. Dortmund’s defensive record so far is relatively tight, and Leipzig’s recent results indicate a capacity to manage matches without high-scoring concessions when required. Combining the expectation of a competitive, tactically cautious contest with the propensity for each side to score at least once leads to the Under 3.5 goals projection.
Betting Tip 2: DC Dortmund/Draw
Borussia Dortmund have been consistent at home this season, with a perfect home record of 2 wins from 2 fixtures and an overall unbeaten domestic start. Their squad demonstrates attacking potency, reflected in 11 goals scored across five league matches, while conceding just three. RB Leipzig arrive on the back of four wins in five competitive outings but have shown a more mixed defensive record (7 goals conceded in the league so far), and their away form includes one defeat from three matches. The home advantage at Signal Iduna Park, combined with Dortmund’s superior goal difference and recent emphatic victory in midweek (4:1 vs Athletic Bilbao), supports a Double Chance home-win or draw selection.
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Betting Tip 3: Both teams score? Yes
The rationale for a BTTS (Both Teams To Score) selection is straightforward. RB Leipzig possesses the attacking quality to breach organized defences and has scored in the majority of their matches. Dortmund, meanwhile, scores freely but also concedes occasionally, as indicated by three goals conceded in five Bundesliga games. Moreover, recent head-to-head dynamics including a last direct meeting that ended 2:0 to Leipzig and an overall H2H run where Leipzig have registered four wins in the last five encounters suggest that Leipzig can find the net even when playing away.
Statistics for Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund team news!
Manager: Niko Kovac. Borussia Dortmund enter this fixture second in the table with 13 points from five matches and an impressive goal return (11 scored, 3 conceded). At Signal Iduna Park, they have been imperious this season, recording two home wins from two league matches. Under Niko Kovac’s stewardship, the side has shown clear attacking intent and structural balance; the recent 4:1 victory over Athletic Bilbao underlines Dortmund’s capability to dominate a match offensively. Squad continuity and confidence at home are key positives for Dortmund, and any minor absences would be mitigated by the depth of their attacking resources and robust tactical identity.
RB Leipzig team news!
Manager: Ole Werner. RB Leipzig follows closely in the standings with 12 points and has taken four wins from five fixtures across competitions, though their goal difference is more modest (7:7 in the league). Away from home, their record reads two wins and one defeat, a sequence that underlines both potency and vulnerability on the road. Ole Werner’s side is effective in transition and possesses individual match-winners capable of changing the game quickly; however, Leipzig has conceded in multiple matches, which makes them susceptible against a high-calibre attacking unit such as Dortmund’s.
H2H statistics
The recent head-to-head balance favours RB Leipzig. Over the last five meetings in all competitions, Borussia Dortmund have recorded 1 win, there have been 0 draws, and RB Leipzig have claimed 4 wins. The most recent direct meeting saw RB Leipzig secure a 2:0 home victory. These historical results indicate that although Dortmund are currently stronger domestically, Leipzig have frequently had the upper hand in prior encounters and will not be straightforward opponents.
Last results Borussia Dortmund
In their last five matches across all competitions, Borussia Dortmund have recorded 4 wins and 1 draw, with no defeats, reflecting an excellent current form. The team’s momentum and unbeaten streak contribute to confidence and tactical cohesion as they prepare for this fixture.
Last results RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig’s recent run comprises 4 wins and 1 defeat in their last five matches across all competitions, with no draws. Their form is strong, albeit with indications of occasional defensive lapses that can be decisive against elite attacking opposition.
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Conclusion
This encounter promises to be closely contested. On balance, Borussia Dortmund are marginal favourites owing to their unbeaten start in the Bundesliga, superior goal difference, and the significant home advantage conferred by Signal Iduna Park. RB Leipzig remains a potent threat. Their recent record and head-to-head superiority in past seasons underline their capacity to influence the result but current season indicators tilt the responsibility of producing the decisive moments towards Dortmund. The recommended outcome is a DC Dortmund/Draw, Both Teams To Score (Yes), and Under 3.5 goals to be the primary pick of this match.
