Serbia vs Germany UEFA Prediction
The Nations League A fixture between Serbia and Germany will be contested on Friday, 13 November 2026 at 10:45 on the Marakana. This Group 2, Matchday 5 encounter pits a Serbia side in search of points and momentum against a Germany team that arrives with relative stability but mixed recent form. Serbia occupy fourth position in the group with 0 points after four matches, having recorded no wins, no draws and four defeats (goals 3:8). Germany sit third with 5 points from one win, two draws and one defeat (goals 3:2). The forthcoming match represents a pivotal opportunity for both teams to influence final placements in the group, with Germany the clear favourites on current form and historical meetings.
Which favorites are worth the price? Our UEFA Nations League tips break down where we’d back the chalk.
Betting prediction 1 — Both teams score? Yes
Prediction (betting tip): Both teams score — Yes. Although Germany have demonstrated defensive competence, Serbia still possess enough attacking threat, particularly at the Marakana, to find the net. Serbia have scored in the group (three goals overall) despite their poor results, and Germany have conceded twice in the competition. Both teams scoring is therefore a realistic outcome: Germany are not an impermeable unit and Serbia will be compelled to pursue goals at home to avoid relegation risks. This market is supported by the available pricing information: Best odds for Both Teams To Score — YES at Paripesa, odd 1.76.
Betting prediction 2 — Main tip (1X2)
Prediction (betting tip): Germany to win (Tip 2). Germany should enter this fixture with the greater likelihood of taking all three points. Their defensive solidity has been notable in the group stage, and they have avoided defeat in away fixtures to date (0 wins, 2 draws, 0 defeats away), whereas Serbia have yet to secure a point and have lost both of their home fixtures in this cycle. Historically, Germany have emerged successful in direct confrontations more often than Serbia in the last four meetings (Germany 2 wins, 1 draw, Serbia 1 win), and the most recent direct meeting concluded in a 2:0 victory for Germany. Considering Serbia’s winless run in the competition and fragile recent form, an away victory for Germany is the most prudent selection. Best available odds on the 1X2 market from the supplied data: Tip 2 at Betwinner, odd 3.30.
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Betting prediction 3 — Over 3.5 Goals
Prediction (betting tip): Over 3.5 goals. Given Serbia’s defensive frailties across the Nations League campaign (eight goals conceded) and Germany’s willingness to press for results away from home, a match with multiple goals is conceivable. Serbia’s need to attack and Germany’s counter-attacking potency could produce an open game with chances at both ends, elevating the probability of more than three goals. This is reflected in the recommended Over/Under selection.

Statistics for Serbia vs Germany
Serbia team news!
Serbia enter the fixture without points in Group 2 and occupying the fourth position after four defeats; their group goals tally stands at 3 scored and 8 conceded. The home record across the Nations League matches shows two home defeats and no wins or draws. The national side is presently led by head coach Veljko Paunović, who faces significant selection and tactical questions as he attempts to arrest a run of five consecutive defeats in all competitions. Serbia’s last match was a 1:2 away loss to the Netherlands, highlighting persistent defensive issues and a lack of recent positive results. Paunović must balance the need for defensive reinforcement with the imperative to find goals at home; the team’s recent form suggests limited margin for error on the Marakana if they are to avoid another defeat.
Germany team news!
Germany come into the match on 5 points in the group and in third place. Their overall group statistics show one victory, two draws and one defeat with a goals record of 3:2. Remarkably, Germany’s away record in the competition shows no defeats (0 wins, 2 draws, 0 defeats), speaking to a measure of resilience away from home. The squad is managed by Jürgen Klopp, whose tactical approach typically emphasizes high intensity in transition and organized pressing, and who will be tasked with extracting greater efficiency from Germany’s attacking play. Germany last drew 0:0 away to Greece and head to Belgrade with a recent run of one win, two draws and two defeats from their last five matches in all competitions. Klopp’s choices in midfield and forward lines will be decisive in whether Germany can convert opportunities and keep Serbia’s threat in check.
H2H statistics
In the last four meetings across all competitions between Serbia and Germany, the record stands at: Serbia 1 win, 1 draw, Germany 2 wins. The most recent direct meeting concluded as a 2:0 home victory for Germany. These historical indicators favour the German side, who have managed to secure more victories across recent encounters and possess the psychological advantage of a positive recent result against Serbia.
Last results Serbia
Over the last five matches in all competitions, Serbia have recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats. The current form is therefore markedly negative, comprising a sequence of five consecutive losses. This run places significant pressure on the coaching staff and players ahead of the Marakana fixture against a rejuvenated German side.
Last results Germany
Germany’s last five matches in all competitions yield 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats. While not without shortcomings, this form is superior to Serbia’s recent record and suggests a more balanced and resilient squad performance trend. Germany’s capacity to avoid away defeats in the Nations League so far underlines their steadiness in hostile environments.
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Conclusion
In conclusion, Germany arrive at the Marakana as the favourites. Serbia’s absence of points in the group, combined with a run of five successive defeats and two home losses in the Nations League, indicate systemic vulnerabilities that Germany are well placed to exploit. Under Jürgen Klopp’s stewardship, Germany’s tactical organisation and away resilience make an away win the most credible outcome. The preferred match outcome forecast remains an away victory for Germany (Tip 2), with supplementary selections of Both Teams To Score — Yes and Over 3.5 goals reflecting expectations of an open and goal-populated contest. A plausible exact scoreline that captures the predicted outcome is a 0:2 away victory for Germany. Final reminder on best quoted odds from the supplied information: 1X2 — Tip 2 at Netwin (3.30); Both Teams To Score — YES at Coolbet (1.76). Odds for the Over 3.5 market were not provided in the supplied data.



