Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig Prediction
The Bundesliga returns on Sunday, 01.03.2026, with a high-profile encounter between Hamburger SV and RB Leipzig. Kick-off at the Volksparkstadion is scheduled for 9:30 on Matchday 24. This fixture pits an ambitious RB Leipzig side — currently fifth in the table with 41 points — against a resilient Hamburger SV squad sitting 11th with 26 points. Leipzig arrive having won 12, drawn 5 and lost 6, scoring 44 and conceding 32 goals; Hamburg have produced 6 wins, 8 draws and 8 defeats with a goal record of 25:32. At home, Hamburger SV have been reasonably solid (5 wins, 4 draws, 2 defeats), while Leipzig’s away form reads 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats. The most recent direct meeting ended in a 2:1 victory for RB Leipzig.
Who has the edge in Germany this week? See our top Bundesliga betting predictions and find the smartest plays.
Betting Tip 1: Over/Under – Over 3.5 goals
The tertiary selection is over 3.5 goals. This is a more ambitious proposition, but finds backing in several factors: Leipzig’s propensity to play high-tempo, attack-minded football and Hamburg’s willingness to commit players forward at home can create open spaces and counter-attacking chances. Historical head-to-heads and recent scorelines suggest potential for multiple goals, especially if Leipzig presses and Hamburg seek to assert themselves early. Over 3.5 is inherently riskier, but for those seeking higher returns, it aligns with the match dynamics and the teams’ recent scoring patterns. Best available odds for Over 3.5 vary by bookmaker; market prices at 1win are 2.05.
Betting Tip 2: Main 1X2: Away win (Tip 2)
Our secondary betting tip for this match is an away victory for RB Leipzig (Tip 2). RB Leipzig have been the more consistent side across the season, occupying a top-five position and boasting a superior goal return. Despite some recent inconsistency, Leipzig possess greater firepower and depth than Hamburger SV and are likely to exploit transitions and set-piece opportunities. Moreover, the historical H2H shows clear dominance by Leipzig in recent meetings (four wins in the last five encounters), which underlines a psychological and tactical edge. Considering the available market prices, the best quoted price for the away win is 2.22 at 1win. Note that odds can fluctuate and should be verified before wagering.
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Betting Tip 3: Both teams score? Yes
The final betting tip is “Both teams score? Yes.” Both sides have demonstrated the capacity to score this season: Leipzig have averaged a strong goalscoring output, while Hamburger SV have found the net frequently at the Volksparkstadion. Hamburg’s home record indicates they can be competitive in open play, and Leipzig’s away fixtures have often featured goals at both ends. Recent results for both teams (Hamburg unbeaten in their last five with two wins and three draws; Leipzig with a mixed run of one win, two draws and two defeats) suggest fixtures between them can be open and provide opportunities for both sides to score. The best quoted price for “Both teams – Yes” is 1.50 at Paripesa. Conversely.
Statistics for Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV team news!
Hamburger SV approach this fixture under the stewardship of coach Merlin Polzin. The team have accumulated 26 points and occupy 11th place. Their overall record stands at 6 wins, 8 draws and 8 defeats, with 25 goals scored and 32 conceded. Home performances have been comparatively solid: 5 wins, 4 draws and only 2 defeats at the Volksparkstadion. Polzin has overseen a period of relative stability, as evidenced by Hamburg’s unbeaten run in the last five matches (2 wins, 3 draws). The coach will likely set up his side to be organized defensively while attempting to exploit set pieces and transitional moments against a superior opponent.
RB Leipzig team news!
RB Leipzig are managed by Ole Werner and currently hold fifth place with 41 points (12 wins, 5 draws, 6 defeats; goals 44:32). Their away record — 5 wins, 3 draws, 3 defeats — indicates an ability to secure results on the road. Recent form is mixed, with only one win in the last five fixtures, alongside two draws and two defeats. Werner will be tasked with restoring consistency and sharpening his side’s attacking patterns to break down Hamburg’s compact defensive blocks. Leipzig’s squad depth allows tactical flexibility, and the team frequently relies on quick transitions and a high press to manufacture scoring opportunities.
H2H statistics
The head-to-head record in the last five meetings (across all competitions) reads: Hamburger SV 0 wins, 1 draw, RB Leipzig 4 wins. The most recent direct meeting concluded with a 2:1 victory for RB Leipzig. Historically, Leipzig have enjoyed the upper hand in this matchup, and that trend informs expectations for the forthcoming contest.
Last results Hamburger SV
In their most recent match, Hamburger SV drew 1:1 away at Mainz 05. Over the last five competitive matches they remain unbeaten with 2 wins and 3 draws, which denotes a current form that is steady and hard to break down. This sequence underscores Hamburg’s resilience under Merlin Polzin and explains why they remain competitive at home.
Last results RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig’s last fixture ended in a 2:2 home draw against Borussia Dortmund. In their last five matches across competitions, Leipzig have recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats. The pattern indicates inconsistency and occasional defensive frailties that opponents can exploit, particularly when Leipzig commits numbers forward.
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Conclusion
In conclusion, RB Leipzig enter this fixture as favourites on account of superior league position, stronger overall goal output and a dominant recent head-to-head record. Nevertheless, Hamburger SV’s current unbeaten run and respectable home form ensure the match is unlikely to be straightforward for the visitors. Our principal assessment favours an away win for RB Leipzig (Tip 2 — best quoted 2.22 at 1win), combined with additional selections: Both teams to score — Yes (1.50 at Paripesa), Over 3.5 goals (approx. 2.05 market estimate) and an alternative conservative correct-score pick of 1:1 (approx. 6.50). Bettors should treat these as informed recommendations, verify live odds and consider bankroll management before placing wagers.
