Mainz vs Hoffenheim Prediction
The Bundesliga returns on Friday, 21 November 2025 with an intriguing fixture from Matchday 11 as Mainz 05 host 1899 Hoffenheim at the MEWA ARENA. Kick-off is scheduled for 22:30 CET. This encounter pairs a Mainz side striving to arrest a difficult run of results against a Hoffenheim team currently enjoying far greater consistency. The match carries significance in both the relegation and European-chase contexts: Mainz sit near the foot of the table on 5 points in 17th place, while Hoffenheim occupy sixth place with 19 points. Below follows a detailed preview and our considered betting tips for the contest.
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Main Tip: Correct score 1-2
First betting tip: Correct score 1:2 — Away win for 1899 Hoffenheim. As an additional forecast, the match is predicted in one scenario to finish with Hoffenheim edging a narrow victory by 2-1. This selection acknowledges Hoffenheim’s superior scoring record and ability to win away while also reflecting Mainz’s capacity to score at home. The correct score tip functions as a complementary, higher-odds view and is consistent with a tight, competitive match.
Why this is offered: Correct-score markets are inherently speculative but provide enhanced returns. The 1:2 projection reconciles competing lines of evidence: Hoffenheim’s greater overall quality and Mainz’s home resilience that would restrict the margin. Best available odds on the correct score is at 1win with odd 6.30.
Tip 2: Hoffenheim Win (DNB)
Betting tip: Away win for Hoffenheim. Despite the objective form and table positions favouring Hoffenheim, our principal selection is an away victory for Hoffenheim. Bo Henriksen’s side have been under pressure and that often concentrates a team’s tactical discipline and urgency when playing at home; furthermore, Hoffenheim will be motivated to secure three points to climb the table at the MEWA ARENA. The historical head-to-heads in recent seasons show Hoffenheim is capable of producing positive results against Mainz, and a compact defensive approach combined with direct transitions could yield a narrow away success.
Why this is the best prediction: Hoffenheim’s need for points, the emotional intensity of an away fixture, and the possibility that Mainz may be more vulnerable to a motivated, counter-attacking opponent form the basis for this selection. Best available odds on the draw no bet win for Hoffenheim (supplied) at Paripesa is 1.34.
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Tip 3: Both teams score? Yes
Betting tip: Both teams will score — YES. Hoffenheim have scored freely this season (21 goals overall) and possess an attack that can exploit spaces, especially on the break. Mainz, while struggling for goals (10 scored), have nevertheless shown they can create opportunities from set pieces and transitional phases. Given Hoffenheim’s forward potency and Mainz’s tendency to concede — 18 goals against so far — the probability of both sides finding the net is considerable.
Why this is the best prediction: Hoffenheim’s strong away scoring record (4 wins, 1 draw, 0 defeats away) suggests they are likely to register at least one goal. Conversely, Mainz’s defensive vulnerabilities and need to press for points increase the prospect they will concede but also create openings to score themselves. The combined dynamics favour a BTTS outcome.
Statistics for Mainz 05 vs 1899 Hoffenheim
Mainz 05 team news!
Mainz 05 enter the fixture with a difficult Bundesliga record: 5 points from ten matches, placing them 17th in the table with 1 win, 2 draws and 7 defeats and a goal difference of 10:18. Their home record is particularly concerning — 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats — which underlines their struggles at the MEWA ARENA this season. Head coach Bo Henriksen faces the challenge of improving defensive solidity and extracting greater offensive efficiency from limited chances. The team’s recent form across five matches reads as 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, indicating intermittent improvements but an overall fragile state.
1899 Hoffenheim team news!
1899 Hoffenheim have compiled 19 points and sit in 6th position with 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats and a goals tally of 21:16. Their away record is outstanding: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 defeats — a mark of consistent performances on the road. Under coach Christian Ilzer, Hoffenheim have displayed attacking cohesion and resilience away from home. Their recent form across five matches is strong: 4 wins and 1 defeat, which gives them momentum going into this fixture. Hoffenheim’s tactical balance and capacity to score on a regular basis make them a pronounced threat.
H2H statistics
Over the last five meetings across all competitions the head-to-head read: Mainz 05 with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 win for 1899 Hoffenheim. Notably, the most recent direct meeting ended in a 2:0 home win for 1899 Hoffenheim. The historical balance demonstrates Mainz have had success in this matchup, but Hoffenheim’s most recent victory and current form suggest no simple prediction can be made from history alone.
Last results Mainz 05
In their last five matches across all competitions Mainz 05 have recorded 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats. Their current form is therefore mixed-to-poor: occasional positive results have been insufficient to lift them out of the relegation zone and consistency remains an issue.
Last results 1899 Hoffenheim
In their last five matches across all competitions 1899 Hoffenheim have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat. Their form is demonstrably strong and indicates momentum which could be decisive in a close contest at the MEWA ARENA.
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Conclusion
This fixture presents contrasting narratives: a Mainz side under significant pressure at home and a Hoffenheim team enjoying good form and impressive away results. On balance, the rational assessment of form and statistics would favour Hoffenheim as favourites; however, our principal betting tip is a home win for Mainz 05, based on the anticipated intensity of a home clash and the potential for Mainz to produce an elevated defensive and counter-attacking performance. Complementary predictions assert that both teams will score, that the match will remain under 2.5 goals, and that the precise scoreline could finish 1:2 in Hoffenheim’s favour in an alternative scenario. Bettors should consider the available odds (Tip 1 at 1xBet: 2.39; BTTS YES at Paripesa: 1.50) and weigh risk accordingly. In summary: Hoffenheim enter as the technically stronger and in-form side, but a hardened Mainz performance at MEWA ARENA keeps the outcome open and justifies the selection of a home win as an opportunistic, value-based wager.
