RB Leipzig vs Wolfsburg Prediction
The Bundesliga resumes with an attractive encounter on Sunday, 15 February 2026 at 7:30 PM GMT +3 when RB Leipzig host VfL Wolfsburg at the Red Bull Arena. This fixture on Matchday 22 pits a team chasing European ambitions against a side fighting to preserve its top-flight status. RB Leipzig occupy fourth place with 39 points from 21 matches, having recorded 12 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats and a goal difference of 40:28; their home form reads seven wins, no draws and three defeats. VfL Wolfsburg arrive in 15th position with 19 points from 21 matches (5 wins, 4 draws, 12 defeats, goals 29:44) and a modest away record of three wins, one draw and six defeats. The recent head-to-head trend favors Leipzig, who have prevailed in four of the last five meetings across all competitions, including a 1:0 success in the most recent clash. Both teams come into the match from contrasting results: Leipzig were beaten 0:2 away at Bayern Munich, while Wolfsburg recorded a 2:0 home victory against SV Meppen.
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Betting prediction
Main betting prediction — Over 3.5 goals
A selection for over 3.5 goals anticipates an open and committed contest. Leipzig’s attacking proclivities and Wolfsburg’s defensive fragility combine to create conditions that can produce multiple goals. Leipzig average a healthy goals-per-game ratio and often press for decisive leads at home, while Wolfsburg will be obliged to commit men forward in search of points, thereby exposing spaces in behind. On balance, the match carries a tangible chance of producing more than three goals. Best odds for Over 3.5 Goals; 1.99 on Betwinner.
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2nd betting prediction — Home win (1)
RB Leipzig are the clear favourites for this fixture. The home side are several rungs above Wolfsburg in the league table, have a superior goal differential and enjoy a much more convincing record on home soil. Under Ole Werner, Leipzig possess greater attacking variety and have been more consistent in collecting points against mid-table and lower-ranked opponents. Wolfsburg’s away record and their defensive struggles (44 goals conceded league-wide) suggest they are vulnerable on the road against a club with Leipzig’s pressing intensity and transition threats. For those seeking a single-match 1X2 selection, the recommended betting prediction is a Leipzig victory. Best available price for Tip 1: 1.45 at Paripesa.
3rd betting prediction — Both teams score? Yes
Although Leipzig project as favourites, Wolfsburg are capable of finding the net, particularly on counter-attacks and set-piece situations; their recent fixtures demonstrate they can score even when conceding frequently. Conversely, Leipzig have been prone to defensive lapses at times this season, which increases the probability that both sides will register. The pragmatic view is that the match will not be a shut-out from both teams’ perspectives: both teams to score (Yes) represents a sensible secondary selection to complement the 1X2 pick. Best available price for Both Teams to Score — Yes: 1.50 at Betwinner.
Fourth betting prediction — Correct score: 3:1 to RB Leipzig
For a precise-score forecast, a 3:1 victory for RB Leipzig is recommended. This line combines a convincing home win with the expectation that Wolfsburg will score at least once. The choice reflects Leipzig’s offensive capacity to produce multiple goals at the Red Bull Arena and Wolfsburg’s tendency to concede while still posing an attacking threat. It is a more ambitious prediction but consistent with the other selections (home win and both teams to score). Best odds for correct-score 3-1; 10.00 on Paripesa.
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Statistics for RB Leipzig vs VfL Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig team news!
RB Leipzig sit fourth in the Bundesliga table with 39 points, having accumulated 12 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats and a goal return of 40 for and 28 against. At the Red Bull Arena Leipzig are formidable: seven home victories this season attest to their robustness on home soil. Manager Ole Werner has established a system that seeks to control transitions and exploit wide channels; Leipzig frequently press opponents and generate high-quality chances. Recent form across all competitions shows some inconsistency — two wins, one draw and two defeats in the last five matches — but the squad’s depth and home advantage provide a pronounced edge against struggling opponents. Leipzig’s last outing ended in a 0:2 away defeat to Bayern Munich, a result that may sharpen their focus for a response in front of their supporters.
VfL Wolfsburg team news!
VfL Wolfsburg occupy 15th position with 19 points, a record that comprises five wins, four draws and twelve defeats, and a goal tally of 29 scored versus 44 conceded. Manager Daniel Bauer inherits a side that has displayed resilience at times but remains inconsistent, particularly away from home (three wins, one draw, six defeats on the road). Wolfsburg’s last result was a 2:0 home win against SV Meppen, which should inject confidence, yet their defensive record remains a concern. In their last five matches across competitions they have managed one win, one draw and three defeats — a run that underscores the challenges Bauer must address to secure points on the road at a demanding venue.
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H2H statistics
The recent head-to-head record favors RB Leipzig decisively. Over the last five meetings in all competitions Leipzig have won four times while Wolfsburg have managed a solitary victory; there have been no draws in those five encounters. The most recent direct meeting ended in a 1:0 win for Leipzig away from home. Historical trends suggest Leipzig typically cope well with Wolfsburg’s style, and psychological advantage rests with the home side going into this match.
Last results RB Leipzig
In their last five matches across all competitions RB Leipzig have recorded two wins, one draw and two defeats. This sequence signals a degree of fluctuation in form: while capable of strong performances, Leipzig have also suffered setbacks. The current form line indicates a team that must reassert its consistency, particularly after the recent reverse against Bayern Munich.
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Last results VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg’s form over their last five fixtures comprises one win, one draw and three defeats. The run reflects defensive vulnerabilities and irregularity in achieving positive results, especially away from home. The recent victory at home may offer a momentum boost, but their broader form suggests Wolfsburg remain vulnerable when facing higher-quality attacking opposition.
Conclusion
On balance, RB Leipzig enter this fixture as the clear favourites. Their superior league position, stronger home record, and head-to-head advantage over Wolfsburg all point to a home victory. Wolfsburg’s defensive frailties and inconsistent away performances make them susceptible at the Red Bull Arena, even though they retain the capability to score. Final recommendation: back RB Leipzig to win (Tip 1), anticipate both teams to score, consider an Over 3.5 goals exposure, and, for a precise-score stake, 3:1 to RB Leipzig. Please verify live odds with your bookmaker prior to wagering.
