Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig prediction
The Bundesliga returns to the Volkswagen Arena on Saturday, 27 September 2025 (kick-off 16:30 GMT+3) when VfL Wolfsburg host RB Leipzig in a Matchday 5 encounter. Both sides arrive with contrasting league positions and recent momentum: Wolfsburg sit in 12th place on 5 points after one victory, two draws and one defeat (goals 7:6), while RB Leipzig occupy third place on 9 points with three wins and a single defeat (goals 6:7). The clubs renew a rivalry that in recent seasons has produced closely contested matches; their last direct meeting finished as a 3:2 away win for RB Leipzig.
Find the most promising boosted odds in our pool of Bundesliga betting tips to get the most out of the best betting sites in Africa.
Main Betting Tip: Draw
Despite RB Leipzig’s superior league position and stronger recent run, the balance of evidence points to a stalemate. Wolfsburg are unbeaten at home so far (0 wins, 2 draws, 0 defeats) and have proven difficult to break down in the Volkswagen Arena. At the same time, Leipzig has shown defensive vulnerability away from home (their away record reads 1 win, 0 draws, 1 defeat). Leipzig’s attack is potent and capable of scoring, but Wolfsburg’s home resilience and set-piece threat should prevent a clear-cut Leipzig victory. The two clubs have produced tight results head-to-head (three wins for Leipzig, two for Wolfsburg across the last five meetings), suggesting another close contest. Best available odds for a draw: 3.91 at 1xBet.
Betting Tip 2: Both teams score? Yes
Both sides enter the match having conceded and scored regularly; Wolfsburg’s goal return (7) and Leipzig’s attacking quality make a fixture with goals at both ends likely. Leipzig scored three in their most recent home match (3:1 versus 1. FC Köln) and have averaged scoring across recent outings, while Wolfsburg have shown sufficient attacking threat to find the net even when not at their best. Given the offensive emphasis of both teams and the tendency for Bundesliga matches to produce goals at either end, backing both teams to score is a logical complementary market to the main draw pick.
Which other teams have flaws on their defensive line? You can find out in detail in our BTTS prediction as the domestic leagues enter another round.
Betting Tip 3: Correct score 1-1
The anticipated 1:1 correct score aligns with the forecast of a draw and both teams scoring. It captures the balance expected between Wolfsburg’s home solidity and Leipzig’s offensive efficiency: Wolfsburg are likely to score from set-pieces or transitional play, while Leipzig should breach the home defence at least once. A 1:1 outcome reflects a tightly contested game where neither side exerts definitive control. For bettors seeking a price on a specific scoreline, 1:1 is the recommended selection.
Statistics for VfL Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig
VfL Wolfsburg team news!
Coach: Paul Simonis. Wolfsburg possess a mixed start to the domestic campaign: 5 points from four matches places them 12th, following one win, two draws and a single defeat, with seven goals scored and six conceded. Their home form is noteworthy for its resilience — two draws from two matches and no defeats — but the absence of a home victory underlines a lack of cutting edge in front of their supporters. Under Paul Simonis, Wolfsburg have emphasized organisation and set-piece delivery, seeking to neutralize opponents and profit from transitional moments. The recent away loss to Borussia Dortmund (0:1) was narrow and indicative of a side capable of keeping matches tight against stronger opposition. Confidence at the Volkswagen Arena remains a significant factor; Wolfsburg’s ability to frustrate opponents on home soil lends weight to the draw projection.
RB Leipzig team news!
Coach: Ole Werner. RB Leipzig have started the season strongly and display a more consistent winning habit than their hosts, occupying third position with nine points from four fixtures (three wins, zero draws, one defeat), scoring six and conceding seven. Leipzig’s recent 3:1 home victory over 1. FC Köln demonstrates their attacking potency, while their away form is less settled (1 win, 0 draws, 1 defeat). Under Ole Werner, Leipzig tend to pursue proactive, high-tempo football and to press opponents aggressively; however, that approach can occasionally expose defensive gaps. From a betting perspective, Leipzig present the superior form profile, yet their occasional defensive frailties and the particular difficulty of breaking Wolfsburg down at the Volkswagen Arena mean they cannot be assumed overwhelming favourites.
H2H statistics
Head-to-head (last five meetings, all competitions): VfL Wolfsburg 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 wins RB Leipzig. The most recent encounter between the two clubs ended in a 3:2 away victory for RB Leipzig. Overall, the recent H2H record reflects competitive fixtures with narrow margins rather than dominant performances, reinforcing the prospect of another close game.
Last results VfL Wolfsburg
Form (last five matches, all competitions): 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat. Current form shows a balanced sequence of results, with Wolfsburg resilient at home but occasionally inconsistent on the road. Their most recent outing was a 0:1 away loss to Borussia Dortmund.
Last results RB Leipzig
Form (last five matches, all competitions): 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 defeat. Leipzig enter this fixture with strong momentum, having won four of their last five matches across competitions. Their latest match concluded as a 3:1 home victory over 1. FC Köln, underlining their attacking capabilities.
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Conclusion
On balance, RB Leipzig present as the stronger side in terms of recent form and league position, and they are arguably the nominal favourites, particularly given their attacking personnel and consistent winning rhythm. Nonetheless, several factors temper their perceived superiority: Wolfsburg’s unbeaten home record (albeit with draws rather than wins), the compactness Paul Simonis has instilled at the Volkswagen Arena and the competitive historical head-to-head between the clubs. Consequently, the most prudent primary selection is a draw (Tip X), with a 1:1 correct-score forecast and a complementary expectation that both teams will score. Final prognosis: a tightly contested fixture finishing in a draw, predicted score 1:1. Check current odds with bookmakers — main best prices indicated include Draw at 3.91 (1xBet) and Both Teams To Score — YES at 1.41 (1xBet).
