Atletico Madrid vs Inter Milan prediction
The UEFA Champions League returns to the Riyadh Air Metropolitano on Wednesday, 26 November 2025, at 11:00 PM GMT +3 for a crucial Phase 5 group fixture in which Atlético Madrid host Inter Milan. This encounter pits a resurgent Atlético side, coached by Diego Simeone, against an Inter team led by Cristian Chivu that arrives top of the group and unbeaten in the competition so far. The match carries significance for Atlético, who must secure positive results to keep realistic hopes of progressing, while Inter will aim to consolidate their commanding position and maintain momentum ahead of the final matchday.
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Betting prediction for Atlético Madrid vs Inter Milan
Betting tip — 1X2: Draw
The principal betting tip for this fixture is a draw. Atlético Madrid have shown notable form in recent weeks and possess the resilience and tactical discipline under Diego Simeone to make life difficult for visiting sides, particularly at a venue that, despite being away from their usual home, should still favour their defensive organisation. Inter Milan arrive with superior group statistics and a potent attack, but their recent domestic setback suggests vulnerability, and they will not find Atlético an easy opponent. The recent head-to-head pattern also indicates tightly contested matches; the most recent direct encounter required penalties to decide the winner after a 1:1 stalemate in regular time. Taken together, those factors make a draw a credible outcome in this high-stakes encounter. Best odds for a draw are listed at Betwinner with an odd of 3.42.
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Prediction — Both teams score? Yes
The second recommendation is that both teams will score. Atlético’s recent run demonstrates attacking productivity, with ten goals scored in the group so far, and their current form shows they are capable of finding the net consistently. Inter have been prolific in the Champions League, scoring 11 goals and carrying strong offensive threat in transition and set-piece situations. While both sides possess sound defensive structures, the combination of Atlético’s renewed attacking impetus and Inter’s firepower suggests that both sides are likely to breach each other’s defences at least once. Consequently, the “both teams to score — Yes” market presents a sensible expectation for this fixture. Best odds for both teams to score — Yes are available at Betwinner with an odd of 1.64.
Betting prediction — Under 2.5 goals
The third prediction targets the Over/Under market with a forecast of under 2.5 goals. Although both teams can attack effectively, the tactical profile of this fixture and the high stakes involved favour a cautious approach from both coaches. Atlético, under Diego Simeone, are historically structured to limit space and slow the tempo, while Inter under Cristian Chivu will likely balance their attacking intent with defensive prudence to protect their lead in the group. Given the recent tight scorelines between the teams and Atlético’s home record in the group, a controlled, lower-scoring affair is a plausible scenario. Best odds for the Under 2.5 market as available at Betwinner at 1.98.
Betting tip — Correct score: 1:1 Draw
The fourth recommendation is an exact score prediction of 1:1. This outcome aligns with the expectation of an evenly contested game in which both teams manage to convert a clear opportunity yet remain defensively disciplined. The most recent competitive meeting between these sides finished 1:1 after regular time before being decided on penalties, reinforcing the plausibility of an identical scoreline. While correct score bets carry greater risk, a 1:1 prediction combines realism with attractive value for bettors who anticipate a tactical, balanced contest. Bookmakers list 1:1 as a recognized market outcome at Betwinner; odds are 6.50 for this market.
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Statistics for Atlético Madrid vs Inter Milan
Atlético Madrid team news!
Atlético Madrid arrive at this fixture with 6 points in the group, occupying 17th in the table standings relevant to the competition context provided, having recorded 2 wins and 2 defeats in the Champions League thus far, with a goals tally of 10 scored and 9 conceded. At “home” in this staging, their record in the competition stands at 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats, demonstrating a capacity to secure full points on matchdays played in their familiar environment. Under the guidance of Diego Simeone, Atlético have regained offensive confidence and combined it with their customary defensive organisation. Their recent overall form across all competitions is impressive: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in the last five matches, reflecting growing momentum and confidence heading into this critical fixture.
Inter Milan team news!
Inter Milan occupy a strong position in the group with 12 points, having won all 4 of their matches so far and boasting a group goals record of 11 scored and just 1 conceded. Their away record in the competition is similarly flawless, with 2 wins from 2 away fixtures. Coached by Cristian Chivu, Inter combine attacking variety with defensive solidity; their excellent Champions League form underpins their status as group favourites. In their last five competitive matches across all competitions, Inter have produced 4 wins and 1 defeat, indicating continued competitiveness but also a sign that they are not immune to setbacks.
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H2H statistics
The head-to-head sequence between Atlético Madrid and Inter Milan in their last five meetings across all competitions reads: 3 wins for Atlético, 0 draws, and 2 wins for Inter. The most recent direct confrontation ended in a 1:1 draw after regular time and was ultimately decided on penalties, with Atlético prevailing 4:2 in the shootout. This recent history underlines the competitive balance between the two clubs and suggests that encounters are frequently tight and closely contested.
Last results Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid’s form in their most recent five matches across all competitions is notably strong: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats. This sequence indicates high confidence and consistent performances, with the team delivering positive results in succession and entering the Champions League clash with momentum.
Last results Inter Milan
Inter Milan’s last five matches across all competitions have produced 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat. This form line reflects a high level of performance overall, though the single defeat serves as a reminder that even top teams can experience vulnerabilities which opponents may seek to exploit.
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Conclusion
On balance, this fixture projects as an evenly matched contest in which both teams are capable of imposing their preferred style. Inter Milan arrive as favourites on paper owing to their perfect group record and superior goal difference, but Atlético Madrid’s recent run of victories and organizational discipline under Diego Simeone make them a resilient opponent, particularly when defending a group position at home. Considering the tactical caution likely to be employed and the recent tight head-to-head encounters, a draw appears to be the most balanced outcome, supported by the prediction that both teams will score and that the match will remain under 2.5 goals overall, with a 1:1 correct score representing a plausible final result. Bettors should monitor final team news and odds movements, but the case for a 1:1 draw with both teams scoring and a low overall goal count stands as the considered view for this meeting.
