Manchester City vs Leverkusen Prediction
The UEFA Champions League returns to the Etihad Stadium on Tuesday, 25 November 2025, at 20:00 GMT+3, when Manchester City host Bayer Leverkusen in Ligaphase 5. This fixture carries significant weight for both clubs as the group reaches its decisive phase: Manchester City sit on 10 points and occupy fourth place in the section, whereas Bayer Leverkusen have 5 points and are 21st in the current aggregate listings provided. The match at Etihad Stadium will test City’s quest for consolidation in the group and offer Leverkusen an opportunity to close the gap ahead of the final matchday.
Manchester City approach the encounter under Pep Guardiola with a strong European record to date in the group: three wins, one draw and no defeats, with a goals tally of 10 scored and 3 conceded. At home they remain unbeaten in the competition so far, recording two wins from two. Bayer Leverkusen, led by Kasper Hjulmand, have compiled one win, two draws and one defeat, netting six and conceding ten, but they arrive with an encouraging away record in the group: one win and one draw from two away outings. Both teams come into this game following mixed domestic results: Manchester City suffered a 2–1 away defeat to Newcastle United in their last match, while Leverkusen secured a 3–1 away victory at VfL Wolfsburg.
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Main Tip: Both Teams To Score? Yes
While Manchester City often dominate possession and limit opposition chances, Bayer Leverkusen tend to play with attacking intent and have demonstrated the capacity to score away from home. Leverkusen’s recent form shows offensive potency, and City’s occasional lapses at the back — evidenced by goals conceded in the group and a recent domestic defeat — increase the likelihood that Leverkusen will find the net. Therefore, a constructive secondary betting tip is that both teams will score. The best available odds for both teams to score -Yes at Paripesa, odd 1.83.
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Betting Tip 2: Man City Win – Tip 1
Manchester City are the clear favourites given their superior points total in the group, better goal differential and the substantial home advantage provided by the Etihad Stadium. Under Pep Guardiola the team generally demonstrates tactical control, and their home performances in this Champions League campaign have been convincing. Leverkusen are a strong side on the counter and possess attacking quality, but their defensive record in the group (10 conceded) suggests vulnerability against high-possession opponents who can exploit space. For these reasons, the second betting prediction is a Manchester City victory at 1.22 on Paripesa.
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Betting Tip 3: Under 4.5 goals
Given Manchester City’s tendency to control games and the strategic importance of this fixture in the context of the group, a pragmatic expectation is a match with limited, decisive scoring rather than an open, high-scoring contest. Manchester City are likely to manage possession and tempo, reducing transitions and the number of clear chances, while Leverkusen will seek to be efficient rather than reckless. Combining City’s typical game management with Leverkusen’s pragmatic approach in high-stakes European ties supports the forecast of under 4.5 goals.
Statistics for Manchester City vs Bayer Leverkusen
Manchester City team news!
Manchester City are managed by Pep Guardiola. In the Champions League group stage they have accumulated 10 points from four matches, with a record of three wins and one draw; they have not suffered defeat in the group to date and their goals for/against stand at 10:3. At the Etihad they remain perfect in the competition this season with two wins from two home matches. Across their last five fixtures in all competitions, Manchester City have recorded four wins and one defeat, indicating strong overall form despite the recent league setback at Newcastle. Guardiola’s side will be expected to control possession, apply high-intensity pressing in phases, and rely on individual quality to unlock Leverkusen’s defence.
Bayer Leverkusen team news!
Bayer Leverkusen are managed by Kasper Hjulmand. In the Champions League group phase they have accrued 5 points from four matches, recording one win, two draws and one defeat, with a goals tally of 6:10. Their away record in the group is unbeaten with one win and one draw. Leverkusen arrive in reasonable shape, having won their most recent game away at VfL Wolfsburg, and their last five fixtures across competitions show four wins and one defeat. Hjulmand’s side will likely adopt a proactive offensive strategy, seeking opportunities on the break and set-piece moments, while needing to address defensive lapses that have produced a higher-than-desired goals-against total in the group.
H2H statistics
There are no recorded competitive meetings between Manchester City and Bayer Leverkusen in the information supplied. The head-to-head count stands at zero matches in all competitions: 0 wins for Manchester City, 0 draws, 0 wins for Bayer Leverkusen. This absence of direct precedent increases the importance of current form, tactical matchups and squad availability in determining the likely outcome.
Last results Manchester City
In their last five competitive matches Manchester City have posted a sequence of four wins and one defeat. The current form shows resilience and general dominance in recent fixtures, although the most recent result—a 2:1 away loss to Newcastle United—serves as a reminder that even dominant sides can be breached and that tactical adjustments may be required ahead of this Champions League test.
Last results Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen’s last five competitive matches likewise present a record of four wins and one defeat. The team’s most recent result was a 3:1 away victory at VfL Wolfsburg, which will bolster confidence heading into the continental fixture. Their form indicates offensive sharpness, though defensive consistency remains a concern given the goals conceded in the group stage.
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Conclusion
On balance, Manchester City are the favourites to prevail at the Etihad Stadium. Their superior group standing, home record in the competition and overall squad depth under Pep Guardiola give them the edge. Bayer Leverkusen will present a stern test with attacking intent and current good form, but their defensive vulnerabilities and inferior points total in the group reduce the probability of an away victory. Consequently, the principal prediction is both teams to score, complemented by a Manchester City win, and under 4.5 goals.
