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Newcastle - PSG
Champions League
Wed, 04.10.2023 – 10:00 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
1st Half Draw

Newcastle vs PSG prediction

Newcastle are making a return to the top cream of European club competition for the first time in over two decades after their strong finish in the Premier League last season. They showed little rust on matchday 1 of their Group F as they travelled to Milan to take on AC Milan and came out with a credible point in a dour goalless draw. The Magpies will look to build on that as they welcome group leaders PSG to St James’ Park for matchday 2 of what has been dubbed the Group of Death. They have looked pretty solid domestically with three straight wins after a rather shaky start to the season. Coach Eddie Howe will be drilling his boys to replicate some of their recent form here.

PSG have had some problems on the domestic front. Their 0-0 draw against strugglers Clermont at the weekend denied them a chance to move to the top of the table as they remain 5th on the log but just two points shy of leaders Monaco. They were wasteful at Clermont and were left to rue all the missed chances. In the Champions League though, they got a commanding 2-0 win over Dortmund in the group opener and moved top of the group. That win has coach Luis Enrique confident coming into this match. They will need to bring their A-game here yet again if they hope to pick up another win.

Newcastle has shown that despite their prolonged absence at this stage, they can still go toe-to-toe with the big boys. Being their first UCL home game in over 2 decades, we can expect the vociferous home crowd to come out in their numbers and act as the 12th man here. This is likely to be a close game, particularly to start. As such, we are picking this game to end in a stalemate at the break as our main Newcastle vs PSG prediction.

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Main tip: 1st Half Draw

Our Newcastle vs PSG predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: 1st Half Draw

Newcastle’s first Champions League home game since the 2002/3 season is bound to be quite a spectacle. They did well to pick up a point in Milan in their return to the competition and in this group of death, the margins are very thin and every point will count.

PSG, meantime have much more experience in this competition which they will be looking to leverage here. They have found themselves pushed to the limits after the exit of some of their big-name superstars in the last couple of years.

Having said that, there is too much on the line in this game. We expect a close game here and we are backing this game to end in a draw at halftime with decent odds for this option offered at 1xBet

Odds for this bet

1xBet offers competitive odds for the bet “1st Half Draw”

The odd of 2.35 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 43% chance that this game will end in a draw at halftime

Odds comparison for 1st Half Draw

1xBet – Odd 2.35
Betboro – odd 2.30

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Prediction 2: Under 3.5 Goals

Newcastle’s turnaround this season has coincided with their defence tightening up. They are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4W, 1D) and have kept a clean sheet in all five of these games. PSG have also kept things tight at the back lately, keeping clean sheets in their last 3 straight matches. Coach Howe also tends to go ultra-defensive whenever they come up against the big teams. We don’t expect that to change here. As such, we expect a closely contested game with limited chances either way. We are therefore tipping no more than three total goals to be scored in this match with great odds for this available at Melbet.

Odds for this bet

Melbet offers competitive odds for “Under 3.5 Goals”

The odd of 1.55 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 65% chance that this game will witness not more than 3 total goals scored

Odds comparisons for Under 3.5 Goals

Melbet – odd 1.55
1xBet – 1.52

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Prediction 3: DC Newcastle/Draw

It’s difficult to ignore Newcastle’s current form. Not only are they unbeaten in their last 5 but they have also been banging in goals and tidying up defensively. They have won 6 of their last 7 games at home and the Toon army will certainly be cheering them with gusto here. PSG have lost the veneer of invincibility that they have had for many years after the departure of key star players. Given the incredibly close margins in this group, home games are going to be massive for qualification chances. Eddie Howe and Newcastle understand the assignment and the stakes at play. Going purely by their current form, we feel comfortable enough to back Newcastle to win or draw this game @ 1.53 at Melbet.

Statistics for Newcastle vs PSG Prediction

H2H statistics

This will be the first encounter between these two teams

Latest results Newcastle

  • 4 wins and a draw in their last 5 matches
  • 12 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 2.40 goals per match
  • Beat Burney 2-0 at home in their last match

Latest results PSG

  • 3 wins, a draw and a loss in their last 5 games
  • Also scored 12 goals in their last 5 matches. Average 2.40 goals per match
  • Drew 0-0 away at Clermont in their last match
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Possible squad Newcastle & PSG

Line upNewcastle PSG
GoalkeeperPopeDonnarumma
DefenseTrippier, Schär, Lascelles, BurnHakimi, Marquinhos, Skriniar, Hernandez
MidfieldLongstaff, Guimarães, TonaliZaïre-Emery, Vítinha, Ugarte
ForwardMurphy, Isak, GordonDembélé, Muani, Mbappe
MissingBarnes (Ankle), Krafth (Knee), Willock (Hamstring) Navas (Back), Asensio (Foot), Rico (Head), Mendes (Hamstring), Kimpembe (Achilles)
CoachEddie HoweLuis Enrique

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