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Porto - Barcelona
Champions League
Wed, 04.10.2023 – 10:00 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
Barca Win (DNB)

FC Porto vs Barcelona prediction

Action continues in the UEFA Champions League this week as FC Porto take on 5 time UCL winners, Barcelona in one of the mouthwatering fixtures. Porto head into this tie with 3 points in their first Group game, following a 3-1 triumph away at Shakhtar. Mehdi Taremi’s 29th minute strike was enough to give the Portuguese side that victory which pushed them to 2nd in Group H, behind Barca on goals difference. So far, Porto have had a good start to both their domestic engagements, losing just once in the last 8 in all competitions. That loss came in their last league tie away at Benfica as they bowed to a 1-0 defeat. Here, Porto will look to put that behind them and push for a positive result which would further boost their chances of making the knockout.

Meanwhile, Barca are flying high at the moment with 7 wins and 1 draw in all competitions. In their first UCL game of the season, the Spanish Champions thumped Royal Antwerp 5-0, a huge statement to other teams in Group H about Barca’s intentions this season. Having faltered at different stages of this competition since their last triumph in 2015, Barcelona are desperate for the coveted trophy and will stop at nothing to rout any team standing in their way. Here, they will be bolstered by the cohesion in the team as well as how they have been able to grind out results so far this season.

As seen in their past UCL outings, Porto are not push overs. In fact, they can sometimes be banana skin for some highly experienced sides in the competition. While they will most likely trouble Barca here, a look at their last meetings makes this a difficult game for Porto. As a result, for our FC Porto Vs Barcelona prediction, we expect Xavi’s men pick all 3 points while the game will be void if it ends in a draw.

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Main tip: Barca Win (DNB)

Our FC Porto vs Barcelona predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Barca Win (DNB)

Since his emergence at the helm, Xavi has shown a lot of grits and tactical prowess to help rebuild Barcelona and wash away the pains of the past. This has paid off with the first league title under Xavi’s belt and the synergy the team has displayed so far. With the combination of youth and experience, Barca are starting to show that they mean business this season both domestically and on the continent. Based on this and how they have disciplined Porto in their past 3 meetings, we expect another good outing here for the Spanish Champions. Hence we are backing Barcelona to get all 3 points while we expect the game to be voided if it ends in a stalemate.

Odds for this bet

Betwinner offers competitive odds for the bet “Barca Win (DNB)”

The odd of 1.43 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 70% chance that Barcelona will win while the game will be refunded if it ends in a draw.

Odds comparison for Barca Win (DNB)

Betwinner – odds 1.43
Melbet – odds 1.43

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Prediction 2: Over 2.5 Goals

In 5 of their last 7 games, Barcelona have shown how much of a threat they can be to defenders of opposing teams, scoring at least 3 goals in each of these matches. In fact, in their last UCL game, they hit the back of the net 5 times to nail Royal Antwerp. That win came after another 5-0 bashing of Real Betis, followed by a 3-2 win over Celta and a 2-2 draw against Mallorca, making it 15 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches. Going by these incredible stats, we expect a potential goal fest. Hence, for our second FC Porto Vs Barcelona prediction, at least 3 goals to be scored.

Odds for this bet

Melbet offers competitive odds for “Over 2.5 Goals”

The odd of 1.73 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 58% chance that This match will produce at least 3 goals.

Odds comparisons for Over 2.5 Goals

Melbet – odds 1.73
Mozzart – odds 1.72

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Prediction 3: Away Win Either Half – Yes

Porto’s desire to maintain a 100% start to the UCL might hit a brick wall here given the quality of the opponents they face. Certainly, Porto are not push overs and neither are they newbies in this competition having won it in 1987 and 2004. However, their past meetings against Barca makes this game a tough nut to crack. While Porto will be buoyed by their recent form in all competitions, Barca’s all round experience will most likely make light of anything Porto plan to do here. As a result, we expect Barca to win either half in this match.

Statistics for FC Porto vs Barcelona Prediction

H2H statistics

We look at the last 3 meetings between these two teams:

  • Barca won all 3
  • These matches scored an average of 3.33 goals per match
  • The last time they met, it ended 2-0 to Barca

Latest results FC Porto

  • 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
  • 7 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 1.40 goals per match
  • In their last match, they lost 1-0 away at Benfica

Latest results Barcelona

  • 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches
  • 16 goals in their last 5 matches. Average 3.20 goals per match
  • They beat Sevilla 1-0 in their last match
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Possible squad FC Porto & Barcelona

Line upFC PortoBarcelona
GoalkeeperCostaTer Stegen
DefenseJoao-Mario, Carmo, Pepe, WendellCancelo, Kounde, Christensen, Balde
MidfieldFranco, Eustaquio, JaimeGundogan, Gavi, Yamal
ForwardVarella, Galeno, TaremiFelix, Lewandowski, Torres
MissingSanusi (Muscle), Veron (Muscle), Evanlinson (Knee)Raphinha (Hamstring), De Jong (Ankle), Pedri (Muscle)
CoachSérgio ConceiçãoXavi

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