PSG vs Newcastle prediction
The UEFA Champions League returns to Parc des Princes on Wednesday, 28 January 2026 at 11:00 PM GMT +3 as Paris Saint-Germain receive Newcastle United in a decisive Ligaphase 8 clash. Both sides approach this fixture level on 13 points, separated only by goal difference and position (PSG 6th, Newcastle 7th), meaning the outcome could prove crucial for group standings and momentum heading into the knockout phase. The previous competitive meeting between these teams ended in a 1:1 draw; their recent continental encounters show one win for Newcastle and one draw for PSG across two meetings, underlining the competitive parity between them.
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Main betting prediction – Both teams score? Yes
A “Both teams to score — Yes” selection is recommended as a supplementary betting tip. Newcastle have shown the capacity to break forward and score in continental fixtures, while PSG’s attacking approach tends to leave space that visiting teams can exploit on transitions. The head-to-head history and recent form suggest neither defence is impregnable: PSG have conceded 10 goals in group matches and Newcastle have found the net consistently away from home. The best available odd for BTTS (Yes) at Betwinner is 1.63.
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2nd Betting prediction — Home win Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain are the selection for the 1X2 market. Despite an inconsistent domestic run, PSG possess superior firepower as reflected by their 20 goals scored in group play versus Newcastle’s 16, and they will enjoy home conditions at the Parc des Princes. Coach Luis Enrique has typically set up his side to control possession and create high-quality chances, while Newcastle’s defensive solidity has been tested away from St James’ Park. The home win is supported by the best available odd for this market at Betwinner: Tip 1 at 1.57.
3rd betting prediction — Over 3.5 goals
The Over 3.5 goals market is an aggressive goals-based selection that aligns with the offensive profiles of both sides and the probability of an open contest. PSG have averaged multiple goals per game in this campaign, and Newcastle’s forward group can score rapidly if afforded space. With PSG’s tendency to commit players forward under Luis Enrique and Newcastle’s willingness to press and transition, the fixture has the ingredients for a higher-scoring outcome. Best odds for Over 3.5 goals (2.28 on Betwinner).
Correct score — 3:1 Home win for Paris Saint-Germain
For a precise-score prediction, 3:1 to Paris Saint-Germain is advised. This forecast reflects expectation of PSG controlling possession and creating multiple scoring opportunities, while Newcastle will likely secure at least one goal through counter-attacking play or set-piece situations. The 3:1 scenario also accounts for the probability of defensive vulnerabilities on both sides and the likelihood of an open match. Odds for this exact score are 10.00 on Paripesa.
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Statistics for Paris Saint-Germain vs Newcastle United
Paris Saint-Germain team news!
Paris Saint-Germain head into the fixture on 13 points, occupying 6th position in the group after recording 4 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, with a goals for/against tally of 20:10. Their home record in the competition stands at 2 wins and 1 defeat, reflecting relative strength at Parc des Princes but not complete invulnerability. Under coach Luis Enrique, PSG have exhibited an attacking philosophy with an emphasis on ball progression and high-quality chance creation. Their most recent match resulted in a 1:0 away victory versus AJ Auxerre, which should provide a modest confidence boost ahead of this crucial home fixture. In terms of recent form across all competitions, PSG have registered 3 wins and 2 defeats in their last five outings, a sequence that suggests intermittent inconsistency but an ability to recover.
Newcastle United team news!
Newcastle United, managed by Eddie Howe, also sit on 13 points but in 7th position after matching PSG’s group record of 4 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, with a goals tally of 16:6. Their away record in the competition is 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat, indicating they are capable on the road yet not immune to lapses. Newcastle’s most recent outing ended in a 0:2 home loss to Aston Villa, which may have dented morale but also clarified areas requiring tactical attention. Over their last five matches in all competitions, Newcastle have compiled 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, signaling a similar pattern of mixed results and intermittent vulnerability.
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H2H statistics
The most recent direct meeting between these clubs finished 1:1. Across the last two encounters in all competitions, Paris Saint-Germain have not recorded a win, with one draw and one win for Newcastle United (PSG: 0 wins, 1 draw, Newcastle: 1 win). The aggregation of these results underlines a narrow margin between the teams and suggests that marginal moments, set-pieces or individual errors may decide the forthcoming encounter.
Last results Paris Saint-Germain
In their previous five fixtures across all competitions, Paris Saint-Germain have achieved 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats. The current form indicates a team capable of victories but susceptible to defeat in select matches; they enter the Newcastle game with momentum from their latest win but must guard against lapses that have previously cost points.
Last results Newcastle United
Newcastle United’s recent five-match record comprises 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. This pattern reflects competitive capacity but also inconsistency, with the team alternating between positive results and setbacks. The squad will need to stabilize performance levels to challenge effectively at Parc des Princes.
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Conclusion
On balance, Paris Saint-Germain should be regarded as favourites for this Champions League fixture due principally to their attacking potency, home advantage and the imperative to secure a strong result in Ligaphase 8. Newcastle United remain a dangerous opponent — organised, capable on the break, and with proven ability to score away — and are likely to contribute to an open contest. The recommended primary betting prediction is Both Teams to Score = Yes, supported by the secondary selections of a home win for Paris Saint-Germain , Over 3.5 goals, and a precise-score forecast of 3:1 in favour of PSG. These selections combine the probability of PSG’s offensive dominance with Newcastle’s tendency to penetrate defences, producing an anticipated match rich in chances and goals.
