Deportivo La Coruna vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
The Copa del Rey tie between Deportivo La Coruña and Atlético Madrid will take place on Tuesday, 13 January 2026 at 11:00 PM GMT+3. This fixture pits a Galician side led by Antonio Hidalgo against Diego Simeone’s experienced Atlético squad. Atlético arrive as clear favourites on paper, but cup competitions frequently produce tight affairs, particularly when a top-level side travels to a motivated lower-division opponent defending its home turf. The most recent direct meeting between the two clubs ended 1:0 in favour of Atlético Madrid, and the broader head-to-head record over their last five encounters reads 0 wins for Deportivo, 1 draw and 4 wins for Atlético Madrid. These figures frame the clash as one in which Atlético hold the initiative, yet Deportivo cannot be discounted, especially in the unique environment of a domestic cup match.
In the context of recent form, Deportivo have recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last five matches across all competitions, while Atlético have produced 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the same span. Deportivo arrive off a 1:1 draw away at UD Las Palmas; Atlético come from a 1:2 home defeat to Real Madrid. Against that backdrop, this preview sets out our betting prediction for the match and accompanying market selections.
Please do not miss Copa del Rey Betting tips to be on the winning side of any bets in this tournament.
Main Betting Tip: Under 3.5 Goals
Under 3.5 goals is our principal prediction for this contest. Cup matches frequently trend towards conservative scorelines, particularly when a leading team seeks to avoid unnecessary risks in a single-elimination or two-legged format. Atlético’s recent tactical approach under Simeone is conducive to matches with fewer goals conceded, and Deportivo’s pragmatic style under Antonio Hidalgo suggests they will aim for compactness and counter-attacking opportunities rather than an open, high-scoring game. Taken together, these factors make under 3.5 goals a compelling selection for bettors seeking a lower-variance outcome.
Betting Tip 2: Atletico Madrid Win
Our betting tip for the second market is an away victory for Atlético Madrid. Diego Simeone’s side retains greater squad quality, superior depth and more recent success in high-pressure encounters. Atlético’s defensive organisation and capacity to control tempo make them a reliable selection in knockout fixtures where a single goal can be decisive. Deportivo will present a combative and disciplined performance under Antonio Hidalgo, particularly at home, but they have struggled to convert dominance into consistent results against higher-tier opposition. Atlético also possess players with the experience to manage and close out narrow leads, an asset in a one-off cup tie.
Whether you’re after live betting or solid bonuses, Betwinner Kenya offers plenty for Kenyan punters to explore the features and tips for making the most of it.
Betting Tip 3: Both teams score? No
Both teams score? No — our final betting prediction is that both teams will not score. The rationale for this selection follows Atlético Madrid’s historical emphasis on defensive solidity and match control, especially in games where they are favourites; Simeone’s teams often prioritise structure over high-risk attacking gambits. Deportivo, while rugged and capable of creating chances, have not displayed prolific finishing in recent fixtures and may find it difficult to break down Atlético’s defensive lines. Additionally, the expectation of a tight, low-scoring encounter increases the probability that either Atlético will keep a clean sheet or that Deportivo will fail to score.
Statistics for Dep. La Coruña vs Atlético Madrid
Deportivo La Coruña team news!
Deportivo La Coruña, managed by Antonio Hidalgo, approach this cup encounter aiming to capitalise on home advantage and the motivational uplift that cup competitions commonly provide. Hidalgo has emphasised organisation and collective defensive work, seeking to frustrate technically superior opponents and punish them on the break. Recent form indicates a mixed run — one win, two draws and two defeats in the last five matches — which suggests an inconsistent phase but also shows resilience in avoiding repeated losses. Injuries, suspensions and the physical wear of a congested schedule can influence selection, but Hidalgo’s pragmatic tactics tend to make Deportivo difficult to break down at their stadium.
Atlético Madrid team news!
Atlético Madrid, under the stewardship of Diego Simeone, remain a disciplined and well-drilled unit. Simeone’s tactical blueprint emphasises defensive compactness, transitional speed and set-piece proficiency. Recent form (three wins, one draw, one defeat in five matches) speaks to a generally positive competitive rhythm, although the narrow defeat to Real Madrid in the most recent match demonstrates vulnerabilities that opponents may seek to exploit. Atlético will likely field a side that balances rotation and continuity, aiming to progress in the Copa del Rey without compromising domestic league objectives. The presence of experienced starters capable of controlling key phases of the match boosts their chances in a close contest.
H2H statistics
The head-to-head record over the most recent five meetings heavily favours Atlético Madrid: Deportivo La Coruña have not recorded a win, with one draw and four victories for Atlético. The last direct meeting finished 1:0 to Atlético Madrid, underscoring their historical ability to secure narrow victories against Deportivo. This H2H pattern reinforces the expectation that Atlético will have the psychological edge and the tactical blueprint to manage the game effectively.
Last results Deportivo La Coruña
Deportivo’s current form in their last five matches stands at 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats. The squad exhibits pockets of resilience but lacks the consistency needed to dominate higher-ranked opponents. The recent draw away to UD Las Palmas suggests they can be hard to beat, yet their inability to convert opportunities into victories on a regular basis remains a concern heading into a knockout tie.
Last results Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid’s last five matches have yielded 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, a record that denotes a largely positive phase. Despite the setback against Real Madrid, Atlético’s competitive rhythm and squad experience make them a formidable opponent in cup ties. Their balance of defensive organisation and incisive moments in attack supports the view that they can edge close matches.
TIP: Download Instagram before you click here!
Conclusion
In conclusion, Atlético Madrid enter this Copa del Rey encounter as favourites due to a clearer tactical identity, greater squad depth and a dominant head-to-head history against Deportivo La Coruña. Antonio Hidalgo’s side will be resolute and difficult to break down on home soil, yet the balance of quality and recent form favours Simeone’s team. Our consolidated view supports an Under 3.5 Goals, away victory for Atlético, and possibly without both teams finding the net (Both teams to score — No).
