Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich DFB Prediction
The DFB-Pokal clash between 1. FC Union Berlin and Bayern Munich is scheduled for Wednesday, 03.12.2025, at 10:45 PM GMT +3 and will be played at An der Alten Försterei. This cup tie pits an industrious Union side under Steffen Baumgart against a Bavarian squad now led by Vincent Kompany, with both clubs aiming to progress in Germany’s domestic cup competition. The recent direct meeting between these sides finished in a 2:2 draw, underlining the potential for goals and competitive balance despite Bayern’s superior historical record in the fixture list.
Below follow our betting predictions and analysis for this encounter, including reasoning and the best available odds on the highlighted markets.
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Main Betting Tip: Both teams score? Yes
Betting tip: Both teams score — Yes.
Rationale: The recent direct meeting producing a 2:2 draw suggests that when these two sides meet there is a realistic prospect of both teams finding the net. Union have demonstrated resilience and an ability to create chances that can punish opponents on the counter, while Bayern possess prolific attackers capable of breaching defensive lines. Both teams have shown scoring form recently — Bayern more so, but Union’s matches have also featured goals. For bettors seeking a market reflecting expectation of open play and reciprocal scoring, both teams to score is a viable secondary selection. Best odds on this market: Both teams to score — YES at Paripesa with odd 1.73.
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Betting prediction 2: Away win (Tip 2)
Betting prediction: Bayern Munich to win (Tip 2).
Rationale: Bayern Munich arrive in the capital region with a stronger recent record and the psychological advantage of having taken three wins in their last five matches across all competitions, compared with Union’s two wins in the same span. Vincent Kompany’s side has shown greater attacking potency and consistency, and their recent 3:1 victory demonstrates their capacity to score multiple goals away from home. Conversely, Union suffered a home defeat in their last outing and will need to address defensive lapses to contain Bayern’s forward threats. Given Bayern’s overall recent form, historical edge in head-to-head meetings and their ability to perform in knockout fixtures, an away victory represents our principal betting tip. Best odds on this market: Tip 2 at 1 with odd 1.29.
Betting prediction 3: Over/Under – Over 3.5 goals
Betting prediction: Over 3.5 goals.
Rationale: The objective evidence — including the 2:2 outcome in the most recent direct meeting and Bayern’s recent 3:1 win — points toward a fixture where multiple goals are likely. Union have tended to be competitive and involved in matches with several scoring events, while Bayern’s attacking orientation under Kompany continues to generate clear chances. A conservative expectation of at least four total goals is supported by both recent form and the dynamics of cup ties, where conceding teams often push forward in search of an equaliser, thereby creating additional scoring opportunities. Punters seeking a higher-yield goals market may find Over 3.5 a logical choice alongside the match winner and both-teams-to-score selections. Best odds on this market: Over 3.5 goals are 2.06 on Paripesa.
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Statistics for 1. FC Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich
FC Union Berlin team news!
Manager: Steffen Baumgart.
Overview: Under Steffen Baumgart, 1. FC Union Berlin continue to present a combative and organised profile, typically relying on collective work-rate and transitional threats. In their last five matches across all competitions, Union have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, indicating reasonable stability but also a degree of inconsistency. The team’s most recent match ended in a 1:2 home defeat to 1. FC Heidenheim 1846, which raises questions about defensive solidity when facing incisive opponents. For the cup tie, Baumgart will likely prioritise organisation and set-piece efficiency while seeking to exploit any lapses from Bayern on the break.
Bayern Munich team news!
Manager: Vincent Kompany.
Overview: Bayern Munich, managed by Vincent Kompany, have posted a strong sequence of results with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last five games across competitions. Their most recent outing was a 3:1 home victory over FC St. Pauli, illustrating attacking fluency and goal-scoring depth. Kompany’s side combines tactical discipline with forward dynamism; in cup competition they are accustomed to asserting control and converting chances. Injuries, rotation and squad management will determine the precise XI, but the overall form suggests Bayern enter this tie as favourites.
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H2H statistics
Across the last five meetings in all competitions, the head-to-head record reads as: 0 wins for 1. FC Union Berlin, 2 draws and 3 wins for Bayern Munich. The most recent direct encounter finished 2:2, demonstrating that Union can cause problems and that matches between these sides can deliver goals and an open character despite Bayern’s superior win-count across the sample.
Last results 1. FC Union Berlin
In their last five matches across all competitions, 1. FC Union Berlin have registered 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. The current form line therefore reflects a mixed but competitive sequence; however, the immediate context includes a home defeat in their most recent fixture, which may dent confidence ahead of this cup encounter.
Last results Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich’s recent five-match run comprises 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. The latest match was a convincing home victory, reinforcing Bayern’s status as the more consistent and in-form side at present. That sequence suggests momentum and offensive sharpness as Kompany’s team prepare for the trip to Berlin.
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Conclusion
On balance, Bayern Munich should be considered favourites for this DFB-Pokal tie. Their superior recent form, advantageous head-to-head record over the last five meetings and demonstrated scoring ability make them the most likely winners. Union Berlin possess qualities that can unsettle opponents — organisation, resilience and counter-attacking potency — and the venue at An der Alten Försterei will be a challenging atmosphere. Nonetheless, our forecast anticipates an away victory for Bayern, complemented by goals at both ends and a propensity for multiple scoring events. The primary recommendation is both teams to score, a Bayern win (Tip 2), Over 3.5 goals, and a speculative correct score of 1:3 in favour of Bayern. As always, bettors should verify live odds and consider squad news and confirmations prior to placing any wagers.
