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Netherlands - England
Euro 2024
Wed, 10.07.2024 – 10:00 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
Over 9.5 Corners

Netherlands vs England prediction

The Netherlands has grown from strength to strength as the tournament progressed after a rather lukewarm performance in the group stage that saw them make the knockout stage as one of the best-ranked 3rd-place teams. They made light work of Romania in the round of 16 but had to work hard to overcome Turkey by a narrow 2-1 scoreline in their interesting quarterfinal comeback win in Berlin on Saturday. Ronald Koeman’s charges reward is their first final-four appearance in a major tournament in a decade and the first at the Euros since 2004.

It’s almost a similar story for England. Billed as one of the pre-tournament favorites before the Euros, they have been average at best through the group stages but have shown tremendous mental fortitude and determination in the knockout rounds to defeat Slovakia in the round of 16 and Switzerland, who took them to penalties in the quarterfinals. This will be their third major tournament semi-final from four attempts under Gareth Southgate and they will be hoping they can finally get to the promised land when all is said and done

This game is shaping up to be an explosive encounter. This is the first meeting between these European giants at either the Euros or the World Cup since 1996. We expect both teams to throw everything on the line in what should be a terrific attacking spectacle. There will be plenty of goalmouth action here and as such we are picking the match to witness at least 10 corners as our main Netherlands vs England prediction here.

With the teams whittled down to the final 4, check out what our experts are going for in our Euro 2024 predictions for these semis

Main Tip: Over 9.5 Corners

Our Netherlands vs England predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Over 9.5 Corners

Here are 3 reasons why we are backing this game to have at least 10 total corners taken:

  • 4 of their 5 H2H matches have had at least 10 corners
  • Netherlands have at least 6 corners a game in all but 1 of their games at the Euros; For England, the same has occurred in 3 of their 5 matches
  • All of Netherland’s last 3 matches have had at least 10 corners

Odds for this bet

1Win offers competitive odds for the bet “Over 9.5 Corners

The odd of 1.67 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 60% chance that this match will have at least 10 total corners taken

Odds comparison for Over 9.5 Corners

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10Bet- odd 1.62

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Prediction 2: Over 2.5 Goals

3 reasons why we are backing this match to have at least 3 total goals scored:

  • 4 of their last 5 H2H matches between these teams have had at least 3 goals scored
  • Netherlands have scored twice in 6 of their last 7 matches; they have also witnessed 3 goals scored in all these matches
  • England’s matches have not been as explosive but they have scored in all but one of their 5 matches thus far

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “Over 2.5 Goals”

The odd of 2.63 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. a 38% that this match will have at 3 total goals scored

Odds comparisons Over 2.5 Goals

Paripesa – odd 2.63
Betwinner – odd 2.60

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Prediction 3: Most Goals 2nd Half

Here’s why we feel there is value in backing this match to witness more goals in the 2nd half:

  • Netherland’s have come alive in the 2nd half in this tournament. Their last 3 straight games have witnessed more goals in the 2nd half
  • Both goals in England’s 1/4 Final against Switzerland came late in the 2nd half (75th and 80th minute)
  • 3 of their last 4 H2H encounters also witnessed more goals in the closing half

Statistics for Netherlands vs England Prediction

Team News Netherlands

  • Koeman’s backline has looked solid in the knockout games as compared to their group games. He is likely to stick with Ake, van Dijk, de Vrij, and Dumfries at the back
  • Two men sure to start up front are Liverpool forward Cody Gakpo – who has scored three goals in five Euro 2024 appearances so far – and Memphis Depay, who is just four strikes short of Robin van Persie’s all-time Oranje record (50)
  • Steven Bergwijn is still dealing with the injury that saw him substituted at halftime against both Romania and Turkey.  Jeremie Frimpong or Donyell Malen – who was the star off the bench against Romania – could be called up to link with Denzel Dumfries on the right flank
  • PSV midfielder Jerdy Schouten has overcome some muscular stiffness and is fit to play

Team News England

  • Southgate will welcome back Crystal Palace defender, Marc Guehi who missed the quarterfinal v Switzerland following a suspension after getting booked in their win against Slovakia
  • Despite taking part in full training, left-back Luke Shaw is yet to feature in a single minute for England. Kieran Trippier and Bukayo Saka will continue acting as Southgate’s wing-backs
  • Declan Rice and Man United sensation Kobbie Maino have had a solid partnership in midfield and Southgate is expected to go back to the same combination in his starting lineup here

H2H statistics

Looking at the last 10 meetings between these teams:

  • Netherlands have 4 wins, England 2 wins and 4 games were drawn
  • These matches averaged 2.80 goals a match
  • Netherlands won 3-1 the last time they met

Latest results Netherlands

  • 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
  • 9 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average of 1.80 goals per match
  • Edged Turkey 2-1 in their quarterfinal match

Latest results England

  • 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches
  • 6 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average 1.20 goals per match
  • Beat Switzerland 5-3 in post-match penalties after a 1-1 draw in their quarterfinal match
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