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Netherlands - France
Euro 2024
Fri, 21.06.2024 – 10:00 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
Over 2.5 Goals

Netherlands vs France prediction

A late Wout Weghorst winner gave the Netherlands a 2-1 win in Hamburg in Group D’s opening match at the 2024 UEFA European Championship. The Oranje were looking to take advantage of Polish talisman Robert Lewandowski’s absence but found themselves behind after 16 minutes to an Adam Buksa header. They pulled level at the half-hour mark through Gakpo and took the lead in the dying minutes to pick all three points. This is a much sterner test for Ronald Koeman’s charges and they will need to bring their A-game

France kicked off their UEFA Euro 2024 campaign with a narrow 1-0 victory over Austria in Düsseldorf, as Didier Deschamps’ side earned three valuable points. Les Blues flew into this tournament as one of the favorites after a fantastic qualification campaign that saw them drop just two points (7W, 1D). With the first game jitters out of the way, France will look to build on that with this critical match 2 fixture

This is the pick of round 2 matches that will have everyone glued to their screen, pitting traditional European heavyweights. Both of these teams will be gunning for a win here and we can expect an all-out attacking encounter that is likely to witness plenty of goals given the quality of attacking players from both camps. For our Netherlands vs France prediction here, we are going for at least 3 goals to be scored

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Main Tip: Over 2.5 Goals

Our Netherlands vs France predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Over 2.5 Goals

Here are 3 reasons why we are backing this game to have at least 3 total goals:

  • 3 of their last 5 H2H meetings have had at least 3 goals
  • Both teams have prolific attacking players including Mbappe and Memphies
  • The last 5 straight Netherlands matches have had 3 or more goals scored
  • Netherlands have been on fire in front of goal averaging 3 goals a match in their last 5 matches

Odds for this bet

1Win offers competitive odds for the bet “Over 2.5 Goals

The odd of 1.93 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 52% chance that there will be at least 3 total goals scored in this match

Odds comparison for Over 2.5 Goals

1Win – odd 1.93
Betway – odd 1.91

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Prediction 2: Over 8.5 Corners

3 reasons why we are backing this match to have at least 10 total corners:

  • Each of their last 3 straight H2H meetings have had at least 9 corners
  • 2 of Netherlands last 3 matches witnessed 9 corners or more; same occurred in 3 of the last 5 France matches
  • An end-to-end encounter is expected here and that should lead to goalmouth action which could yield corners

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “Over 8.5 Corners”

The odd of 1.72 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. There is a 58% this match will have at least 9 corners taken

Odds comparisons Over 8.5 Corners

Paripesa – odd 1.72
Betwinner – odd 1.70

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Prediction 3: Over 3.5 Bookings

Here’s why we feel there is value in backing this match to have at least 3 bookings:

  • We expect a physical affair with both teams keen to maintain their winning starts
  • 3 of their last 6 meetings witnessed at least 4 bookings here
  • Both teams have had at least 2 bookings in 2 of their last 3 matches
  • This is massive game between two giants. Tension will be high and there is likely to be bad blood and cynical challenges

Statistics for Netherlands vs France Prediction

Team News Netherlands

  • Memphis Depay will likely continue leading the lines upfront with Weghorst who scored the winner off the bench continue to play the same role
  • Wing-back Denzel Dumfries got the nod over Leverkusen’s Frimpong on matchday 1 and gave a good account of himself. We expect Koeman to continue with this selection
  • With so many midfielders missing for Oranje, including de Jong, who withdrew from the tournament, Koeman should keep the PSV pair Joey Veerman and Jerdy Schouten in the middle of the park with experienced midfielder Wijnaldum consigned to the bench

Team News France

  • N’Golo Kante was a suprise inclusion in the French squad after a successful year at Al Ittihad and justified his selection with a solid stint against Austria
  • There were some concerns about Mbappe’s knee but he shook it off and played against Austria. He however broke his nose in that match and is doubtful for the next couple of matches
  • At the back, Arsenal’s William Saliba looked steady as a rock and Deschamps will be happy to keep him in the starting lineup ahead of Ibrahima Konate

H2H statistics

Looking at the last 10 meetings:

  • France dominate with 7 wins, Netherlands had 2 wins and 1 game was drawn
  • These matches averaged 2.70 goals a match
  • The last encounter ended 2-1 in France’s favor

Latest results Netherlands

  • 4 wins and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
  • 15 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average of 3.00 goals per match
  • Edged Poland 2-1 in matchday 1 fixture

Latest results France

  • 3 wins, 1 Draw and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
  • 7 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average 1.40 goals per match
  • Beat Austria 1-0 in their opening match
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