Nottingham Forest vs Fenerbahçe Prediction
The Europa League play-off tie between Nottingham Forest and Fenerbahçe takes place on Thursday, 26 February 2026 at 11:00 at the City Ground. This is a crucial second-leg encounter in the play-offs, with both clubs seeking progression in the continental competition. Nottingham Forest arrive with a modest advantage based on home comfort and a superior head-to-head record, while Fenerbahçe will present a dangerous challenge following an impressive run of recent victories. The following preview sets out form, team news, and measured betting predictions for the match.
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Betting prediction 1: Match result (1X2)
Betting prediction: Home win — Nottingham Forest (Tip 1). Rationale: Nottingham Forest enter this match as favourites in part because they are playing at the City Ground, where they have recorded a solid home record in the competition and domestically. The recent head-to-head fixture saw Forest secure a decisive 3:0 success away, demonstrating an ability to score against Fenerbahçe. Nottingham Forest also possesses a higher points tally in their domestic table data supplied here and a superior goal difference (15:7). While Fenerbahçe have displayed excellent momentum in recent matches, the combination of home advantage, tactical familiarity under coach Vítor Pereira, and the psychological boost from the last meeting supports a Nottingham Forest victory. Best odds (1X2): Tip 1 at 1win with odds 1.85.
Tip 2: Both teams score? Yes/No
Prediction: Yes. Rationale: Both sides have demonstrated goal-scoring capability in their respective campaigns. Nottingham Forest have produced 15 goals while conceding 7 across the reported fixtures, and Fenerbahçe have been productive with 10 goals scored and 7 conceded. The last direct encounter ended 3:0 in favour of Forest, showing that Fenerbahçe have been breached in recent head-to-head action; yet Fenerbahçe’s attacking form over the last five matches (four wins) suggests they remain likely to trouble Forest’s defence. With both teams featuring attacking intent and several recent matches yielding multiple goals, a Both Teams to Score (BTTS) selection is well justified. Best odds (BTTS): Tip YES at Paripesa with odds 1.75.
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Tip 3: Over/Under – Over 2.5 Goals
Prediction: Over 2.5 goals. Rationale: The statistical profile and recent fixtures indicate a propensity for multiple-goal encounters. Nottingham Forest’s scoring rate, combined with Fenerbahçe’s attacking run (four wins in their last five) point to an open match where both sides will push forward. The historical meeting resulted in three goals, and both teams have conceded goals at times, increasing the likelihood that this tie will produce three or more goals overall. Over 2.5 goals, therefore, appears the most appropriate over/under choice. Best odds (Over/Under): Over 2.5 goals attractive at Paripesa.
Statistics for Nottingham Forest vs Fenerbahçe
Nottingham Forest team news!
Coach: Vítor Pereira
Nottingham Forest arrive with 14 points and are positioned 13th in the supplied table snapshot. Their general record in the referenced sample is 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats with goals of 15 scored and 7 conceded. At home in the competition or season sample provided they have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat — a respectable home record that underpins their status as favourites for this fixture. The immediate form shows 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in the last five matches, and their most recent outing was a 0:1 home loss to Liverpool FC. Head coach Vítor Pereira will be tasked with shoring up the defence while exploiting home familiarity and set-piece or counter-attacking opportunities.
Fenerbahçe team news!
Coach: Domenico Tedesco
Fenerbahçe have 12 points and sit 19th in the given table summary. Their reported record is 3 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats with 10 goals for and 7 against. Away from home their form reads 1 win, 2 draws and 1 defeat in the data provided. Notably, Fenerbahçe have shown stronger momentum in recent fixtures with 4 wins and 1 defeat in their last five matches overall, suggesting good form under coach Domenico Tedesco. Their last direct encounter against Nottingham Forest ended in a 0:3 home loss, a result they will be eager to rectify in this return match.
H2H statistics
Head-to-head record in the last 1 meeting (all competitions): Nottingham Forest 1 win, 0 draws, Fenerbahçe 0 win(s). The last direct meeting concluded with Nottingham Forest claiming a 3:0 away victory, indicating Forest have had recent tactical and executional success against this opponent. That result will weigh on both teams psychologically: it gives Forest confidence and offers Fenerbahçe motivation for a response.
Last results Nottingham Forest
In their last five matches across all competitions, Nottingham Forest have recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats. This sequence suggests intermittent inconsistency, with defensive vulnerabilities exposed in some fixtures and periods of resilience in others. The immediate form shows a mixed profile, and the recent home defeat to Liverpool highlights the need for mental and tactical recovery ahead of this Europa League tie.
Last results Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe’s last five matches show a strong shape: 4 wins and 1 defeat. This run indicates robust attacking form and confidence in the squad under Domenico Tedesco. Their only setback in that sequence was isolated, while the collection of victories has sharpened their competitive edge and gives them belief that they can overturn previous negative head-to-head outcomes.
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Conclusion
On balance, Nottingham Forest are the marginal favourites for this Europa League play-off tie, chiefly due to home advantage at the City Ground, a credible home record and the psychological lift provided by the most recent 3:0 head-to-head victory. Nonetheless, Fenerbahçe’s recent winning form under Domenico Tedesco cannot be understated and ensures this fixture remains highly competitive and not without risk for those backing the hosts.
Primary recommendation: back Nottingham Forest to win (Tip 1) at best available odds 1.85 (1win). Complementary markets that reflect the likely open nature of the match are Both Teams to Score — YES (Paripesa 1.75) and Over 2.5 goals. As an alternative or conservative correct-score option, 1:1 is a reasonable forecast if one expects a tighter encounter with both sides finding the net. Bettors should consider bankroll management and consult current bookmaker prices before placing stakes, given that odds and team availability may change in the lead-up to kickoff.
