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RB Leipzig - PSG
Club Friendlies
Sat, 10.08.2024 – 7:00 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
PSG Win (DNB)

RB Leipzig vs PSG Friendly prediction

After securing Champions League football this season with a 4th place finish in the Bundesliga last season, RB Leipzig started their preparations for the new season with an impressive 2-0 win over Premier League outfit Aston Villa. They were however no match for another Premier League side Wolverhampton who thumped them 3-0 in their second pre-season friendly last weekend. Marco Rose’s side will be looking for a better performance in this weekend’s fixture against Paris Saint-Germain before they take on Rot-Weiss Essen on August 17 in the German Cup, exactly a week before they kick off their 2024/25 Bundesliga season against Bochum on August 24.

Having secured a third straight Ligue 1 title last season – the 12th such honour in the club’s history – PSG are looking to start a new era in the French capital following the departure of superstar and all-time leading goalscorer Kylian Mbappe to Real Madrid. They drew 2-2 with Austrian side Sturm Graz in their first pre-season match. Although Les Parisiens have undoubtedly lost a world-leading talent at the top end of the pitch, they still boast one of the brightest coaches in football who will be raring to earn more success this campaign, with Luis Enrique losing only seven of his 53 matches in charge throughout the 2023-24 term as the French champions managed a domestic treble.

On paper and by most metrics, PSG still boasts of a much deeper squad of these two teams. We expect them to come out of the gates firing here and we are backing them to win on the draw no bet option for our opening RB Leipzig vs PSG prediction for this clash.

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Main Tip: PSG Win (Draw No Bet)

Our RB Leipzig vs PSG predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: PSG Win (Draw No Bet)

Here are 3 reasons why we are backing PSG to Win (Draw No Bet):

  • PSG have won 2 of their last 3 H2H meetings
  • Leipzig have won just once in their last 5 matches
  • PSG are unbeaten in their last 4 matches (3W, 1D)

Odds for this bet

1Win offers competitive odds for the bet “PSG Win (Draw No Bet)

The odd of 2.02 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 50% chance that PSG will win this match but bets will be void if the game ends in a draw

Odds comparison for PSG Win (Draw No Bet)

1Win – odd 2.02
1xBet – odd 2.00

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Prediction 2: Over 3.5 Goals

3 reasons why we are backing this match to have at least 4 total goals scored:

  • The H2H average in the 6 matches they have played is 3.67 goals
  • The last two meetings between these teams both featured at least 4 goals
  • Leipzig have scored at least twice in 2 of their last 3 matches; PSG have done the same in their last 4 straight matches across all competitions

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “Over 3.5 Goals”

The odd of 2.18 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 46% that there will be at least 4 total goals scored in this match

Odds comparisons Over 3.5 Goals

Paripesa – odd 2.18
Betwinner – odd 2.15

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Prediction 3: PSG Over 4.5 Corners

Here’s why we feel there is value in picking PSG to have at least 5 corners in this match:

  • PSG have had at least 5 corners in 3 of their last 4 H2H encounters
  • The same has also occurred in 5 of their last 7 matches
  • Having failed to win their opening pre-season match, PSG are expected to go on the attack here from the start and this should see them yield plenty of corners

Statistics for RB Leipzig vs PSG Prediction

Team News RB Leipzig

  • Die Roten Bullen have signed up Maarten Vandevoordt and Assan Ouedraogo this summer, but Xavi Simons has returned to parent club PSG
  • Dani Olmo is rumoured to be closing in on a big-money move to Barcelona. He is not with the squad due to his participation for Spain at Euro 2024
  • Lois Openda and Andre Silva were on the scoresheet against Villa but fired blanks against Wolves. The pair are also expected to retain their starting roles for this clash with PSG
  • Benjamin Sesko is with the squad, though, and the striker, who is staying with the Red Bulls despite a host of transfer speculation earlier this summer, could come in for a start.

Team News PSG

  • There have been no major outgoings for PSG other than the departure of Mbappe, which means that most of the attention has been on players who could arrive and become the next superstars for the Ligue 1 giant
  • PSG will miss first-choice left-back Lucas Hernandez until the New Year after the Frenchman suffered a cruciate ligament injury during the UCL semi-final first-leg defeat to Borussia Dortmund on May 1
  • Morocco international Achraf Hakimi will remain in France as he attempts to guide his nation to gold at the Paris 2024 Olympics, with the right-back likely to miss the start of competitive action for his club later this month
  • French players Ousmane Dembele, Bradley Barcola and Randal Kolo Muani will be angling to stake a claim for a spot in Luis Enrique’s Mbappe-less forward line having also represented the nation at the Euros

H2H statistics

These teams have met 6 times before:

  • PSG have won 3 times, Leipzig twice and one game was drawn
  • These matches witnessed an average of 3.67 goals
  • The last encounter ended 2-2 in the 2021 UCL group stage

Latest results RB Leipzig

  • 1 win, 3 draws and a loss in their last 5 matches
  • 6 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average of 1.20 goals per match
  • Lost 3-0 to Wolves in their last match

Latest results PSG

  • 3 wins, a draw and a loss in their last 5 matches
  • 9 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average 1.80 goals per match
  • Drew 2-2 with Sturm Graz in their last match
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