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Atletico Madrid - Barcelona
La Liga
Sun, 17.03.2024 – 11:00 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
DC Barcelona/Draw

Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona prediction

Atletico Madrid pulled off an impressive comeback in their midweek Champions League last-16 ties against Italian side Inter Milan to book a place in Friday’s quarterfinal draw. Diego Simeone’s side came into the tie down 1-0 from the first leg and they looked dead and buried when Inter took the lead in this 2nd leg. But they dug deep to turn it around and inflict Inter their first loss of 2024 after a penalty shootout. The Mattress Makers now turn their attention to the domestic front where they have been subpar this season and this match presents them an opportunity to recalibrate themselves

Unlike their hosts who had to earn their place in the quarterfinals of the Champions League the hard way, Barcelona had a relatively smoother experience on their part. A 3-1 win over Napoli ensured they got through on a 4-2 aggregate scoreline after they drew the opening leg 1-1 in Naples. In the battle for La Liga, the Blaugrana are 8 points off leaders Real Madrid with 10 matches to go.

Atletico have been quite solid in their backyard, where they have only lost once in 21 matches across all competitions. Barcelona though are also in a good run of form at the moment and will certainly give the hosts a run for their money. They have dominated this matchup in recent meetings and we are backing that trend to persist here. As such, we are picking Barcelona to win or draw this game as our main Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona prediction for this clash

Explore our other La Liga predictions for other matches for the Spanish top division coming up this matchweek

Main tip: Double Chance – Barcelona/Draw

Our Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Double Chance – Barcelona/Draw

Barcelona are on an upward trajectory at the moment. They are unbeaten in their last 9 matches across all competitions (6W, 3D).

They have also won the last 4 straight matches against Atletico including both league meetings last season by an identical 1-0 scoreline.

We expect a tough encounter here with both teams keen to get all three points on offer. We however fancy them to maintain their recent good showing and we are picking Barcelona to win or draw this match with great odds for this market offered at 1Win

Odds for this bet

1Win offers competitive odds for the bet

1Win offers competitive odds for the bet “Double Chance – Barcelona/Draw”

The odd of 1.63 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 61% chance that Barcelona will win or draw this match

Odds comparison for Double Chance – Barcelona/Draw

1Win – odd 1.63
1xBet – odd 1.60

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Prediction 2: Most Goals 2nd Half

Given the magnitude of this game, a close opening half is expected with neither team willing to cede too much ground.

However, as the game progresses a sense of urgency will percolate with both sides angling for a win. As a result, we expect a lot more goalmouth activity in the 2nd half of this game.

We are there backing the 2nd half of this game to have more goals than the 1st half with pretty good odds for this option offered at Paripesa

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “Most Goals 2nd Half”

The odd of 2.44 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 41% chance that this game will have more goals in the 2nd half as compared to the 1st half

Odds comparisons Most Goals 2nd Half

Paripesa – odd 2.44
Bet365 – odd 2.40

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Prediction 3: Atletico Madrid Over 2.5 Bookings

There is no love lost between these sides. It is always chirpy whenever they meet.

Atletico Madrid have received more bookings in each of their last 5 encounters.

We expect Barcelona to dominate the possession game as they like to do and this is likely to result in Atletico frustrations as they chase the ball around. That frustration usually boils over into excessive physicality on their part. As a result, we fancy Atletico to receive at least 3 bookings in this game as our final Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona prediction for this match.

Statistics for Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction

H2H statistics

Looking at the last 10 meetings between these two teams:

  • Barcelona have 5 wins, Atletico 3 wins and 2 matches were drawn
  • These matches averaged just 2.20 goals a match
  • The last meeting ended 1-0 in favor of Barcelona

Latest results Atletico Madrid

  • 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
  • 6 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average of 1.20 goals per match
  • Edged Inter Milan 2-1 in their last match

Latest results Barcelona

  • 3 wins, and 2 draws in their last 5 matches
  • 9 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average 1.80 goals per match
  • Beat Napoli 3-1 at home in their last match
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Possible squad Atletico Madrid & Barcelona

Line upAtletico MadridBarcelona
GoalkeeperOblakter Stegen
DefenseHermoso, Paulista, WitselKounde, Araujo, Martinez, Cancelo
MidfieldLino, Saúl, Koke, de Paul, MolinaGundogan, Christensen, Raphinha
ForwardMorata, CorreaYamal, Lewandowski, Felix
MissingGriezmann (Sprained Ankle), Giménez (Muscle), Azpilicueta (Meniscus), Lemar (Achilles tendon), Pérez (ACL)Balde (Muscle), Gavi (Knee), Pedri (Injury), de Jong (Ankle)
CoachDiego SimeoneXavi Hernandez

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