Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction
The Primera División returns for Matchday 20 with Atlético Madrid hosting Deportivo Alavés on Sunday, 18 January 2026, at 6:15. The fixture will be staged at the Metropolitano and pits a title-challenging Atlético side against a team currently battling in the lower half of the table. Atlético sit fourth with 38 points after 19 rounds (11 wins, 5 draws, 3 defeats, goals 34:17) and present an imposing home record of 8 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats. Deportivo Alavés occupy 16th place with 19 points (5 wins, 4 draws, 10 defeats, goals 16:24) and have struggled on the road, registering only 1 away win, 1 draw and 7 defeats so far. The most recent meeting between the clubs ended in a 1:1 draw; across the last five encounters, Atlético have won twice, Alavés once, and there have been two draws.
Given the form, quality of the squad, home advantage, and managerial stability under Diego Simeone, Atlético Madrid enter this match as clear favourites. Deportivo Alavés, coached by Eduardo Coudet, will nevertheless be motivated and capable of making the game competitive; however, the available data and situational factors suggest a home victory as the most probable outcome.
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Betting Tip 1: Both teams score? No
Betting tip: Both teams do not score. Atlético’s defensive solidity and Alavés’ lack of consistent offensive threat on the road make “Both teams do not score” a logical secondary pick. Atlético have conceded relatively few goals across the campaign and perform especially well at home; Alavés, although capable of scoring on occasion, have failed to impose themselves in away fixtures. Choosing “No” is thus supported by both teams’ contrasting statistical profiles. The best available odds for “Both teams: No” in the supplied information are 1.55 at Betway, which offers a conservative but sensible hedge alongside the main bet on Atlético to win.
Betting Tip 2: Atlético Madrid to Win
Betting prediction: Atlético Madrid to win. Atlético’s domestic record at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano this season is near-perfect, with eight wins and one draw from nine fixtures. Their defensive record (just 17 goals conceded across the season), combined with a good recent run of form (three wins, one draw, and one defeat in the last five matches), supports the view that they will control this game. Alavés have been inconsistent away from home and possess the league’s weakest away record, making it difficult for them to expect a positive result in this environment. The market reflects that confidence: the best quoted odd for a home win in the provided data is 1.35 at Paripesa. For bettors seeking a primary selection, Atlético outright is the principal recommendation.
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Betting prediction — Correct score: 2:0 Home win for Atlético Madrid
Betting tip: Correct score 2:0 to Atlético Madrid. Combining the expectation of a disciplined Atlético defensive performance with a controlled attacking display, the most plausible exact outcome is a 2:0 home victory. This correct-score selection aligns with the main view that Atlético will win without conceding. The supplied information includes a recommended correct-score outcome of 2:0; however, no explicit best-odds provider or price for this exact market was given in the material provided.
Statistics for Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés
Atlético Madrid team news!
Atlético Madrid are coached by Diego Simeone and arrive at this fixture in strong competitive shape. In the league, they sit fourth with 38 points from 19 matches, built on 11 wins, 5 draws, and 3 defeats, and a goal difference of +17 (34 scored, 17 conceded). Their home form has been outstanding: 8 wins and 1 draw from nine matches, indicating a team that is difficult to break down on home soil and effective at converting chances. Over the last five matches across all competitions, Atlético have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat, a sequence that underlines stability and resilience under Simeone’s management.
Deportivo Alavés team news!
Deportivo Alavés are managed by Eduardo Coudet and currently occupy 16th position with 19 points (5 wins, 4 draws, 10 defeats; goals 16:24). Their away record is a cause for concern—only 1 win, 1 draw and 7 defeats in away league matches—highlighting difficulties when playing outside their home stadium. Recent form for Alavés shows 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats in their last five matches across competitions, suggesting flashes of competitiveness but an overall inconsistency that makes sustained positive results unlikely against the stronger sides in the division.
H2H statistics
The last direct meeting between the sides concluded in a 1:1 draw. Reviewing the recent head-to-head series (last five meetings across all competitions) shows Atlético Madrid with 2 wins, Deportivo Alavés with 1 win, and 2 matches ending in draws. The balance of results indicates a slight advantage for Atlético but also confirms that Alavés are capable of obtaining positive outcomes on occasion, which is relevant when considering match dynamics and potential tactical adjustments.
Last results Atlético Madrid
In their most recent five matches across all competitions Atlético Madrid have registered 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. The present form is therefore positive and indicative of a side with a clear competitive rhythm. This sequence contributes to the argument that Atlético are favourites for the upcoming home fixture.
Last results Deportivo Alavés
Deportivo Alavés’ last five matches across competitions show 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. The form is mixed: capable of victories but not sufficiently consistent, particularly away from home, to suggest they will upset a top-four side playing at home under routine conditions.
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Conclusion
Considering squad quality, tactical discipline under Diego Simeone, an excellent home record and the comparative weakness of Alavés on the road, Atlético Madrid are the clear favourites for this Matchday 20 meeting. The primary recommendation is a home win for Atlético (Tip 1), with “Both teams do not score” as a complementary conservative selection and Over 2.5 goals as an alternative expecting a more open contest. A conservative exact-score projection is 2:0 in favour of Atlético. Best quoted odds available in the provided data include 1.35 for the home win at 1win and 1.55 for “Both teams: No” at Paripesa; the data did not include explicit best-odds values for Over 2.5 or the correct-score market. In summary, the favoured outcome is an Atlético Madrid victory, and the accumulated evidence supports staking on the hosts to claim three points.
