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Atletico Madrid - Real Madrid
La Liga
Sun, 24.09.2023 – 10:00 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
1st Half Draw

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid prediction

The Madrid Derby is around the corners and fans of both teams will be anxiously waiting to cheer their respective team when hostilities begin. At the moment, Real Madrid is flying high, despite losing some influential figures in the dressing room in the summer transfer window. Kareem Benzema is no longer with the team, but is absence is barely felt with Real’s cavalier performance in all their games this season.

Carlo Ancelotti’s team are a well-oiled machine at the moment crushing opponents on their path ta the moment. While they have not been scoring for fun like the old Real team, they have become more efficient in all areas of the game.The defence is a lot tighter, and then midfield is clearly one of their strongholds with the presence of Toni Kroos, Luka Modric and English youngster, Jude Bellingham who also brings goals with him.

On the contrary, city rivals Atletico are an embodiment of inconsistency.Diego Simeone’s men have won only two La Liga games since the start of the season.Despite what seemed like a performance that could be prove to be the turn around moment against Rayo Vallecano where they plundered seven goals.After that performance, they returned to their previous state of blowing hot and cold.

A case in point is the 3-0 loss at Valencia. Atletico looked out of sort for most part of the match and were outclassed in the entire game.Going by that form, Atletico could be on the verge of suffering another defeat, however, the fixture is a derby and form goes out of the window in cases like this.Knowing how feisty games between these two teams have been in recent years, it will be too close to call. Therefore, for our Atletico Madrid Vs Real Madrid prediction, we expect that the first 45 minutes will end in a draw.

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Main tip: 1st Half Draw

Our Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: 1st Half Draw

By all intent and purposes, the Madrid derby is one of the fixtures that is guaranteed to be electrifying every time it rolls around. The rivalry has been existing for many year and it is about to be renewed on Sunday. Aside from three points, the bragging right is also up for grabs and you can trust the two teams to give their all in order to claim glory in this fixture. Based on this, we expect the first half to end in a draw.

Odds for this bet

Bet365 offers competitive odds for the bet 1st Half Draw

The odd of 2.10 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 48% chance that this first half of this match match will end in a draw.

Odds comparison for 1st Half Draw

Bet365 – odds 2.10
Paripesa – odds 2.09

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Prediction 2: Both Teams To Score

Atletico have been blowing hot and cold this season, but what they have been able to do consistently is find the back of the net. In their last five matches, they only failed to score in two La Liga matches against Real Betis and Valencia. Meanwhile Real Madrid have been at their best scoring enough goals to ensure that they win all their games so far this season. So, it is safe to say this fixture has goals written all over it. In addition, considering their last few head-to-head meetings, you will have to back to March of 2022 for the last time both teams failed to score against each other. Both sides boast of incredible attacking talents and goals are almost certain to be scored in this match. Therefore, we reckon both teams will score in our second Atletico Madrid Vs Real Madrid Prediction.

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “Both Teams To Score”

The odd of 1.75 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 57% chance that both sides will find the back of the net in this match.

Odds comparisons for Both Teams To Score

Paripesa- odds 1.75
Melbet – odds 1.74

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Prediction 3: Over 9.5 Corners

Being a derby, matches between these city rivals are always feisty with points and bragging right to fight for. Real Madrid have shown that they are always ready to pile misery on their opponents by always pressing. Atletico on the other hand are reputed for their resolute defending, which means there is a high likelihood of a very high corner counts. As a matter of fact, in their respective last matches, they were more than ten corners in those games, and it is likely to happen again given the nature of this fixture.As a result, we are expecting no less than 10 corners kicks to be awarded in this match.

Statistics for Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Prediction

H2H statistics

We look at the last 63 meetings between these two teams:

  • Atletico got 12 wins, Real won 31, while 20 matches were drawn
  • These matches scored an average of 2.65 goals per match
  • The last time they met, it ended 1-1

Latest results Atletico Madrid

  • 2 wins, 2 draws and a loss in their last 5 matches
  • 10 goals in their last 5 matches. Average 2.00 goals per match
  • They drew against Lazio 1-1 in their last match

Latest results Real Madrid

  • 5 wins and in their last 5 matches
  • 10 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 2.00 goals per match
  • In their last match, they beat Union Berlin 1-0
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Possible squad Atletico Madrid & Real Madrid

Line upAtletico MadridReal Madrid
DefenseMolina, Hermoso, Savic, Witsel, LionAlaba, Fernandez, Rudiger, Vazquez
MidfieldBarios, Niguez, LlorenteCamavinga, Tchouameni, Bellingham, Modric
ForwardGriezmann, MorataRodrygo, Joselu
InjuredSoyuncu, Koke, Depay, Reinildo, De paul, Lemar, VitoloCarvajal, Militao, Courtois, Vinicius
CoachDiego SimeoneCarlo Ancelotti

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