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Atletico Madrid - Villarreal
La Liga
Sun, 12.11.2023 – 11:00 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
Under 3.5 Goals

Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal prediction

Atletico Madrid and Villarreal will lock horns in one of this weekend’s fixtures in the Spanish top flight. Atletico head into this tie on the back of a 6-0 thumping of Scottish side Celtic in the Champions League. That victory, pushed Simeone’s men to the summit of Group E, with 8 points from 4 matches, thereby brightening their chances of making the knockout phase. On Sunday, Atletico’s attention will shift to the domestic scene as the look to avoid 2 league defeats in a row, having lost 2-1 away at Las Palmas last time out. That loss was Atletico’s first since a 3-0 defeat at Valencia back in September. As things stand, Atletico Madrid are 4th on the log with 25 points from 11 games, 6 points behind leaders Girona who have been the biggest surprise of the season.

For Villarreal, it is a chance to push for a second consecutive win at Wanda Metropolitano, having beaten Atletico 2-0 in their last meeting on the road. That was Villarreal’s win against Simeone’s men in 10 matches. Also, Atletico Madrid have struggled in their last 3 meetings against the Yellow Submarines, losing one and drawing 2. With this run of result, we expect Villarreal to be highly motivated as they look to bounce back from a 3-2 home loss to Atletico Bilbao in their last La Liga game. A positive result here could help rejig what has been a terrible start to the season for Juan José Rojo Martín’s men

Both teams are heading into this game on the back of defeats in their last domestic outings. This means they will both be desperate for points just to recover from the pain of those losses they suffered as a result, we are anticipating a keenly contested tie between these sides. Therefore, for out Atletico Madrid Vs Villarreal prediction, we expect less than four goals.

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Main tip: Under 3.5 Goals

Our Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Under 3.5 Goals

Atletico’s last La Liga outing ended in a 2-1 defeat to Las Palmas, ending a run of 6 league matches unbeaten and a run of 9 games without any loss in all competitions. In that run of league games without defeat, Atletico had surprised many including Almighty Real Madrid, ending their 100% start to the season. In this tie against Villarreal, Simoene’s men will be looking for a first win in 3 meetings. Also, they will looking to avoid a second straight home loss against the Yellow Submarines having fallen to a 2-0 defeat on home turf last season. Although, Atletico’s seem to stand a chance of making this happen given how they have edged past meetings, Villarreal will be buoyed by their recent performances in Madrid, thereby making this a tough fixture. To this end, we believe this match will produce less than four goals.

Odds for this bet

Betwinner offers competitive odds for the bet “Under 3.5 Goals”

The odd of 1.64 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 61% chance that there will be less than four goals here

Odds comparison for Under 3.5 Goals

Betwinner – odds 1.64
Melbet – odds 1.63

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Prediction 2: Over 2.5 Bookings

A clash between Atletico Madrid and Villarreal have always been very feisty and keenly contested. In fact, 3 of their last four meetings all ended in a stalemate, indicating how closely fought these games have always been. Also, these meetings come with loads of intrigues and passion which often lead to huge number of cautions by the referee. For instance, the last 2 meetings produced 5 yellow cards and 1 red, an indication of how nail-bitting and tension-soaked these ties have always been. Therefore, for our second Atletico Madrid Vs Villarreal prediction, we expect at least 3 cards to be issued.

Odds for this bet

Betboro offers competitive odds for “Over 2.5 Bookings”

The odd of 1.48 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 68% chance that this match will produce at least 3 cards.

Odds comparisons for Over 2.5 Bookings

Betboro – odds 1.48
Mozzart – odds 1.47

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Prediction 3: Over 9.5 Corners

The tactical battle that comes to the fore in this tie has almost always been unrivalled. This is evident in how explosive and dramatic past meetings have been as both teams always have something at stake. In fact, this has reflected in the number of corners played in their past 5 meetings. Each of these meetings produced not less than 10 corners. This time, both sides are looking to avoid another league loss having both suffered defeats in their respective league outings last time. Hence, we are expecting another great game with at least 10 corners played.

Statistics for Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction

H2H statistics

We take a look at the last 42 meetings between both sides.

  • Atletico won 15, Villarreal won 14 while 13 matches were drawn
  • These games produced an average of 2.82 goals per match
  • In their last meeting, they played 2-2

Latest results Atletico Madrid

  • 3 wins, 1 loss and 1 draw in their last 5 matches
  • 14 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 2.80 goals per match
  • In their last league match, they lost 2-1 to Las Palmas

Latest results Villarreal

  • 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
  • 8 goals in their last 5 matches. Average 1.60 goals per match
  • They lost 3-2 to Bilbao in their last match
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Possible squad Atletico Madrid & Villarreal

Line upAtletico MadridVillarreal
DefenseMolina, Witsel, Gimenez, Hermoso, RiquelmeAltimira, Albiol, Gabbia, Romero
MidfieldBarrios, Koke, GriezmannAkhomach, Capoue, Parejo, Baena
ForwardCorrea, MorataDiaz, Sorloth
MissingDepay (Muscle), Lemar (Achilles Tendon), Perez (ACL)Moreno (Physical discomfort), Pino (Hamstring), Coquelin (ACL), Suarez (Thigh)
CoachDiego SimeoneJuan José Rojo Martín

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