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Getafe - Athletic Bilbao
La Liga
Fri, 03.05.2024 – 10:00 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
Under 2.5 Goals

Getafe vs Athletic Bilbao prediction

Getafe’s 3-1 victory at Almeria was not only their first away win of 2024 but also effectively confirmed the relegation of the home team from La Liga. The Azulones have generally been struggling with just one win in their previous 8 matches coming into this match. They however dominated the early exchanges to set the tone for the game and once Mason Greenwood gave them the deserved lead midway through the opening half, they never looked back. The win moved them to 10th on the table, just 5 points off of the European places with 5 games to go

Winless in 4 La Liga matches, Athletic Bilbao have seen their chances of sneaking into the top 4 equation fizzle away. They had a chance to cut the deficit when they travelled to face 4th-placed Atletico Madrid but the Basque team had no answers for the more determined Diego Simeone outfit who moved six points clear with a 3-1 win. s

This is a key game for both teams. Getafe sees an opportunity to move further up the standings and challenge for Europe while Bilbao will be digging in to arrest their terrible slide down a slippery slope. We anticipate a cagey game here and we are going for Under 2.5 Goals as our opening Getafe vs Athletic Bilbao prediction for this match

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Main tip: Under 2.5 Goals

Our Getafe vs Athletic Bilbao predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Under 2.5 Goals

Both teams have struggled in front of goal in their recent matches. Getafe are averaging just 1.00 goals in their last 5 matches. Bilbao is even worse with an average of 0.80 goals in their last 5 games.

Their H2H goal average in their last 10 matches is 2.30 with 3 of their last 5 encounters witnessing less than 3 goals

With both teams still having something to play for here, we a close game with limited scoring chances either way. We are therefore backing this game to have no more than 2 total goals scored with great prices for this market available at 1Win

Odds for this bet

1Win offers competitive odds for the bet “Under 2.5 Goals”

The odd of 1.59 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 63% chance that this game will have no more than 2 total goals scored

Odds comparison for Under 2.5 Goals

1Win – odd 1.59
Bet365 – odd 1.57

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Prediction 2: DC Bilbao/Draw

With the exception of these two tough visits to Madrid that ended in losses to both Real and Atletico, Bilbao have generally been solid in La Liga this season. They are set to get their highest finish in years if they can keep their composure in these remaining matches.

Getafe have also vastly improved this season and will definitely give them a run for their money here.

It has been extremely tight whenever these teams meet making it a tough straight-up 1×2 call. That said, we trust Bilbao’s body of work this season and we expect that quality to come through for them here. We are therefore backing Bibao to win or draw this game with competitive odds for this option offered at Paripesa

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “DC Bilbao/Draw”

The odd of 1.32 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 76% chance that Athletic Bilbao will win or draw this match

Odds comparisons DC Bilbao/Draw

Paripesa – odd 1.32
Betwinner – odd 1.30

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Prediction 3: Over 4.5 Bookings

There is no love lost between these teams. It has been extreme fireworks in their recent meetings with 3 of the last 4 meetings witnessing a combined total of 11 bookings! Yes that’s right. It’s not a typo. 11 combined bookings!

Given the context of this match for both teams, we don’t expect any dropoff in the level of physicality and cynical challenges. We feel there is great value in backing this game to have at least 5 total bookings here as our final Getafe vs Athletic Bilbao prediction here.

Statistics for Getafe vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction

H2H statistics

Assessing the last 10 meetings between these teams:

  • It has been close. Getafe have 2 wins, Bilbao 1 win and 7 games were drawn
  • These matches averaged 2.30 goals a match
  • These teams drew 2-2 in the reverse match at Bilbao earlier in the season

Latest results Getafe

  • 2 wins, 2 Draws and a loss in their last 5 games
  • 5 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average of 1.00 goals per match
  • Thrashed Almeria 3-1 in their last match

Latest results Athletic Bilbao

  • 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
  • Just 4 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average 0.80 goals per match
  • Lost 3-1 away at Atletico Madrid in their last match
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Possible squad Getafe & Athletic Bilbao

Line upGetafe Athletic Bilbao
GoalkeeperSoriaSimon
DefenseCarmona, Djene, Alderete, RicoVivian, Alvarez, Paredes, Lekue
MidfieldMoriba, Milla, Maksimovic, Rodriguezde Ruiz, Prados, I. Williams, Sancet, N. Williams
ForwardGreenwood, LatasGuruzeta
MissingIglesias (Shoulder), Aleña (Knock), Duarte (Shoulder), Mayoral (Meniscus)Berchiche (Contusion)
CoachJose BordalasErnesto Valverde

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