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Real Madrid - Almeria
La Liga
Sun, 21.01.2024 – 6:15 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
HC -1 R. Madrid Win

Real Madrid vs Almeria prediction

Real Madrid avenged last season’s loss to Barcelona in the Spanish Super Cup in style as they served them with a pound of their flesh in this year’s final winning it in emphatic style with Vinicius Junior’s hat-trick headling a 4-1 win. Having bagged their first silverware of the season, Los Blancos will be hungry for more as they turn their guns back to La Liga where they are set to host basement side Almeria at the Bernabeu this weekend. They are just one point off league leaders Girona but with a match in hand.

Bottom side Almeria have had a baptism of fire on their return to the top flight. They are still searching for their first win of this campaign more than halfway through the season. 20 matches into the season, they have only collected 6 points from 6 draws and 14 losses. The latest of these draws was actually a huge one as it came against league leaders Girona last time out. They battled tooth and nail to get a credible 0-0 result at their Power Horse Stadium. They will be hoping to build on this result but they have an unenviable task of trying to stop the hottest team in the league at the moment in their backyard.

It is difficult to see any other result other than a convincing win for the home team. They have been in great form, especially at home where they have won 8 and drawn 1 of their 9 home league games this season. Not just that, but they have been winning these matches convincingly. We fancy Real Madrid to continue piling up the visitor’s misery and we are backing them to win with a -1 handicap as our opening Real Madrid vs Almeria prediction here

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Main tip: Handicap -1 Real Madrid Win

Our Real Madrid vs Almeria predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Handicap -1 Real Madrid Win

Real Madrid have won all 7 encounters between these teams before by at least 2 or more goals.

They have also dominated their home matches this season with 8 wins and a draw thus far

Los Merengues will be buoyed coming into this match after the morale-boosting El Classico win

We therefore expect one-way traffic here and we are backing Real Madrid to win by at least a 2-goal margin with competitive prices for this market offered at 1win

Odds for this bet

1Win offers competitive odds for the bet “Handicap -1 Real Madrid Win”

The odd of 1.43 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 70% chance that Real Madrid will win this match with a margin of 2 or more goals

Odds comparison for Handicap -1 Real Madrid Win

1Win – odd 1.43
Betwinner – odd 1.40

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Prediction 2: Over 3.5 Goals

The 7 meetings between these teams have been pretty high-scoring. They average 5.00 goals a match. Some of these games have had cricket scores like the 4-2 result last year or the 8-1 demolition back in 2011.

The attacking triumvirate of Vinicius, Rodrygo, and Bellingham has been a marvel to watch this season. They have destroyed defences apart across the league. Almeria’s defence has been pretty poor on their travels. They have conceded the most goals of any team in the league on their road games (25)

We fancy Real Madrid to game out locked and loaded and we expect to see yet another avalanche of goals from their fluid attack. As such we are backing this game to have at least 4 total goals scored with terrific odds for this option available at Paripesa

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “Over 3.5 Goals”

The odd of 1.75 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 57% chance that there will be at least 4 total goals scored in this match

Odds comparisons Over 3.5 Goals

Paripesa – odd 1.75
Bet365 – odd 1.73

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Prediction 3: Vinicius Anytime Goalscorer

Vinicius Junior was the star attraction in the Super Cup final with his stirring hatrick that put Barcelona to bed.

He has pretty much played second fiddle to the outstanding Bellingham for the better part of this season. But a hattrick in an El Classico final will certainly light the fire in his underbelly

We are backing Vinicius to Score Anytime as our final Mali vs South Africa prediction for this match

Statistics for Real Madrid vs Almeria Prediction

H2H statistics

These teams have 7 times in La Liga before:

  • It’s been pretty one-sided. Real Madrid have won all 7 meetings
  • These matches have averaged 5.00 goals a game
  • The last meeting ended 4-2 in favor of Real Madrid

Latest results Real Madrid

  • Unbeaten in their last 5 matches with 4 wins and a draw
  • 14 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average of 2.80 goals per match
  • Thrashed Barcelona 4-1 in their last match

Latest results Almeria

  • Winless in their last 5 matches with 3 losses and 2 draws
  • Just 3 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average 0.60 goals per match
  • Drew 0-0 with Girona in their last match
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Possible squad Real Madrid & Almeria

Line upReal MadridAlmeria
DefenseCarvajal, Fernandez, Rüdiger, MendyPubill, Montes, González, Chumi, Akieme
MidfieldValverde, Tchouameni, KroosEmbarba, Robertone, Lopy, Arribas
ForwardBellingham, Rodrygo, Vinícius JrRamazani
MissingAlaba (ACL injury), Militao (ACL injury), Vasquez (Hamstring), Courtois (ACL injury)Sanca (International duty), Mendes (International duty), Baba (International duty), Baptistao (Accumulated yellow cards), Puigmal (Hamstring), Koné (Ankle)
CoachCarlo AncelottiGaizka Garitano

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