Real Madrid vs Getafe prediction
The Primera División returns on Monday, 02.03.2026 (kick-off 11:00) with a Madrid derby at the Santiago Bernabéu as Real Madrid host Getafe CF on Matchday 26. This meeting pits a title-chasing Real Madrid side, occupying second place with 60 points, against a mid-table Getafe team sitting 13th on 29 points. Real Madrid arrive with a superior goals record (54 scored, 21 conceded) and an imposing home record of 11 wins, no draws, and just one defeat. Getafe, by contrast, have struggled for goals on the road — 4 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats away from home and an overall goal difference of 20:29. The historical balance between these clubs is heavily in Real Madrid’s favour: the last five meetings in all competitions have produced five wins for Real Madrid and no draws or wins for Getafe. The match at the Bernabéu, therefore, promises to be one in which the home side starts as clear favourites.
Get ahead of the odds with expert La Liga betting predictions covering match winners, totals, and value picks.
Betting Prediction 1: HT/FT – Real Madrid/Real Madrid
Betting prediction: Real Madrid to lead at halftime, and eventually win at full-time. The underlying numbers strongly support a home victory. Real Madrid sit 31 points clear of Getafe, have been far more consistent this season (19 wins, 3 draws, 3 defeats), and enjoy both superior attacking output and defensive stability. Their home form — 11 wins from 12 fixtures — emphasises how difficult they are to break down at the Bernabéu. Getafe’s away record and overall goal-scoring limitations, together with Real’s historic dominance in direct confrontations (5 wins in the last 5), make a Real triumph the most probable outcome. Best available odds for Tip 1: 1win at 1.78.
Betting Tip 2: Both teams score? No
Betting tip: Both teams do not score. Real Madrid’s defensive record (21 goals conceded across 25 matches) and tactical solidity under coach Álvaro Arbeloa make a clean sheet a realistic prospect, particularly at home. Getafe have struggled to score regularly this season — only 20 goals in 25 matches — and may find it challenging to break down a well-organised Real defence. Recent form further underlines this: Real have generally limited opponents’ chances, and Getafe’s away matches have often been low-scoring for them. For bettors looking to combine security with value, the “both teams to score — No” market offers a reasonable balance between risk and return. Best available odds for both teams to score — No: Paripesa at 1.60.
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Betting prediction — Correct score
Betting prediction: 2:0 Home win for Real Madrid. A 2:0 result aligns with the twin expectations that Real will control possession and create more quality chances while keeping their defensive shape intact. This scoreline reflects Real’s likely game management: early pressure and at least one decisive goal, followed by controlled defence and a second goal to secure the win without an open, high-risk finish. The dataset provides the 2:0 home answer as a prognosticated correct score.
Statistics for Real Madrid vs Getafe CF
Real Madrid team news!
Under the stewardship of coach Álvaro Arbeloa, Real Madrid have compiled 60 points from 25 matches (19 wins, 3 draws, 3 defeats) and a goal difference of +33 (54 scored, 21 conceded). Their home record is formidable: 11 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat from 12 league fixtures, which underlines the Bernabéu’s influence on outcomes. Recent form across all competitions shows four wins and one defeat in the last five matches, indicating a strong and consistent run of results. Their most recent fixture produced a 2:1 home victory against SL Benfica, demonstrating both offensive capability and resilience in tight contests.
Getafe CF team news!
Coach José Bordalás has Getafe positioned 13th with 29 points from 25 matches (8 wins, 5 draws, 12 defeats) and a goal record of 20 scored and 29 conceded. Their away statistics are mixed: 4 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats on the road, suggesting vulnerability when playing away from their home stadium. In the last five matches across competitions, Getafe’s form reads as two wins, two draws and one defeat — a sequence that points to intermittent improvement but not the level of consistency required to upset the league’s leading sides. Their most recent outing ended in a 0:1 home defeat to Sevilla FC, highlighting occasional defensive frailty.
H2H statistics
The head-to-head record heavily favours Real Madrid: in the last five meetings across all competitions, Real Madrid have won all five encounters. There have been no draws and no victories for Getafe in those fixtures. The last direct meeting ended in a 1:0 away win for Real Madrid. This historical dominance contributes to the psychological and tactical advantage Real enjoy when facing Getafe.
Last results Real Madrid
Real Madrid’s form in their last five matches stands at four wins and one defeat, with no draws recorded in that span. The team arrives with notable momentum and a clear pattern of positive results, reflecting consistency in both domestic and European contests.
Last results Getafe CF
Getafe’s recent sequence comprises two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five matches. This pattern suggests occasional competitiveness but also some instability, particularly when measured against the high standards set by the league’s top clubs.
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Conclusion
Real Madrid enter this fixture as clear favourites. The combination of superior league position, a dominant head-to-head record, stronger goal-scoring output and particularly convincing home form renders them the most likely winners. Getafe have shown moments of resilience but their scoring deficiencies and inconsistent away performances make an upset improbable. On balance, the most sensible set of selections is a Real Madrid victory (Tip 1 — best odd 1.31 at 1win), a match that does not see both teams score (Both teams to score? No — best odd 1.60 at Paripesa), a game featuring more than 2.5 goals, and a predicted correct score of 2:0 in favour of Real Madrid. These conclusions rest on the objective statistical profile of both sides, recent form, and the historical context of encounters between the clubs.
