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Real Madrid - Villarreal
La Liga
Sun, 17.12.2023 – 11:00 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
HC-1 R. Madrid Win

Real Madrid vs Villarreal prediction

Real Madrid will look to keep pace with surprise La Liga leaders Girona when atop the standings when they welcome Villarreal to the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu this Sunday. Los Bloncos dropped two points as they were held to a 1-1 draw at Betis in their last league match which allowed Girona to move back to the top of the table courtesy of an impressive victory over Barcelona at Camp Nou. They bounced back from that little hiccup by finishing off their UCL group matches with a perfect record as they beat Union Belin 3-2 in Germany in their midweek UCL fixture.

Villarreal have struggled to impress this season. They are lurking in the bottom half of the table and have not been able to put together a consistent string of results. The Yellow Submarine was a no-show at home in their last league match, losing 3-0 to Real Sociedad, visibly showing signs of fatigue as a result of their re-arranged Europa match against Israeli side Maccabi Haifa just three days prior. This is a tough assignment for them but coach Rojo Martin will hope his side can put up a good showing here

The La Liga title race is getting heated and Real Madrid and Granada are starting to pull away from the chasing back. Madrid lost the leadership last weekend and they will not want to fall behind any further. They will be buoyant coming into this match from their midweek UCL victory. We expect them to put the marker down here and pick all three points on offer with ease. As such we are backing Madrid to overcome a -1 handicap as our opening Real Madrid vs Villarreal prediction for this clash

The title race in La Liga is mouthwatering at this point of the season. Keep up with the drama while also winning at the same time with our well-researched La Liga betting tips!

Main tip: Handicap -1 Real Madrid Win

Our Real Madrid vs Villarreal predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Handicap -1 Real Madrid Win

Real Madrid have been tremendous at home. They have won each of their last 4 home matches across all competitions by at least 2 or more goal margin.

Villarreal meantime have struggled on the road with just 1 win in their last 5 straight away La Liga matches. They particularly looked out of sorts in their loss to Real Sociedad last weekend and could be exposed further by a hungry Madrid team.

With Real keen to get back to winning ways and maintain their title charge, we can only see this game going one way. We are therefore backing Real Madrid to win by at least 2 or more goals with terrific prices for this option offered at 1Win

Odds for this bet

1Win offers competitive odds for the bet “Handicap -1 Real Madrid Win”

The odd of 1.71 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 58% chance that Real Madrid will win this match with a margin of at least 2 goals

Odds comparison for Handicap -1 Real Madrid Win

1Win – odd 1.71
1xBet – odd 1.71

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Prediction 2: Bellingham Anytime Scorer

Bellingham continues to shatter all sorts of scoring records in his debut Real Madrid season and is certainly making a case for the Balon D’Or based on his performances thus far.

He has scored or assisted in each of his last 5 straight matches for Real Madrid. He scored the opener against Betis last weekend although they ultimately drew 1-1.

We fancy his goalscoring exploits to continue here and we are backing Bellingham to score a goal anytime in this match and we recommend Paripesa odds for this option

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “Bellingham Anytime Scorer”

The odd of 2.20 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 45% chance that Bellingham will score a goal at any point in this match

Odds comparisons Bellingham Anytime Scorer

Paripesa – odd 2.20
Betwinner – odd 2.15

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Prediction 3: Villarreal Over 2.5 Bookings

Real Madrid will dominate this game from start to finish and this will leave Villarreal chasing shadows for majority of the match.

In their last 4 H2H matchups, Villarreal have picked up at least 3 bookings in 3 of those matches.

There is desperation on Villarreal to avoid being sucked into the relegation woes. As such we can expect them to be overly physical in this game hence why we are backing Villarreal to get at least 3 bookings in this match as our final Real Madrid vs Villarreal prediction here

Statistics for Real Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction

H2H statistics

Assessing the last 10 matches between these teams:

  • Real have 4 wins, Villarreal two wins and 4 games were drawn
  • These matches have averaged 3.00 goals a game
  • Villarreal won the last meeting 3-2 away

Latest results Real Madrid

  • 4 wins and a draw in their last 5 matches
  • 13 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average of 2.60 goals per match
  • Edged Union Berlin 3-2 away in their last match

Latest results Villarreal

  • 2 wins, 2 draws and a loss in their last 5 matches
  • 7 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average 1.40 goals per match
  • Lost 3-0 at home to Real Sociedad in their last match
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Possible squad Real Madrid & Villarreal

Line upReal MadridVillarreal
DefenseVázquez, Alaba, Rüdiger, MendyFoyth, Albiol, Cuenca, Pedraza
MidfieldValverde, Kroos, ModricAltimira, Capoue, Parejo, Baena
ForwardBellingham, Rodrygo, DíazMoreno, Morales
MissingCamavinga (Knee), Carvajal (Calf), Courtois (ACL), Militao (Knee), Tchouameni (Foot), Vinícius Júnior
(Hamstring), Militão (ACL), Güler (Muscle)
Pino (Hamstring), Mandi (Ankle), Comesaña (Ankle), Suarez (Thigh)
CoachCarlo AncelottiJuan José Rojo Martín

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