Valencia vs Real Madrid prediction
The Primera División meeting between Valencia FC and Real Madrid will take place on Sunday, 08.02.2026 at 11:00 at the Estadio de Mestalla. This Matchday 23 fixture pits a struggling Valencia side against one of the title contenders, with contrasting objectives: Valencia fight to climb away from the relegation zone, while Real Madrid pursue consistency at the summit. The data heading into this encounter underline the gulf between the two clubs — Valencia sit 16th with 23 points, whereas Real Madrid are second with 54 points. The last direct meeting finished 4:0 in favour of Real Madrid, and this historical context, together with current form and squad trends, frames the expectations for the contest.
Matchday is calling — check out the latest La Liga betting tips and expert picks before you place your next wager.
Betting prediction for Valencia FC vs Real Madrid
The following selections represent our considered view of the likely outcomes for this fixture. Each selection is provided with a short justification and the best available odds from the supplied market information.
Main Tip: Real Madrid Win (DNB)
Real Madrid to win (Draw No Bet). Real Madrid are the clear favourites on paper and in recent form. They boast 54 points, a remarkable record of 17 wins from 22 matches, and a superior goal difference (47:18). Their away record is particularly impressive, with seven wins, three draws, and only one defeat. Moreover, the visitors have won four of their last five matches across all competitions, illustrating a stable run of positive results. Valencia, in contrast, occupy 16th place with 23 points, have conceded 35 goals already this season, and lost their most recent home encounter. Tactical solidity, squad depth, and confidence on the road all tilt the balance toward an away dnb. Best 1×2 odds available: Tip 2 at 1win with odds 1.26.
Tip 2: Over/Under — Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals. Although Real Madrid have a potent attack, Mourinho’s (note: Arbeloa is listed as coach in the data) side frequently control games and may prioritize efficiency and defensive compactness away at a difficult venue. Valencia’s recent form includes several low-scoring affairs, and their need to avoid defeat may lead them to adopt a cautious, compact setup under coach Carlos Corberán. The tactical profile suggests a controlled Real Madrid performance with limited clear-cut chances — sufficient to win but not necessarily to produce an open, high-scoring spectacle. Therefore, an under 2.5 goals outcome is a plausible expectation. Best available pricing for Under 2.5 goals was not specified in the supplied data; market selection should aim for reputable lines close to this projection.
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Correct score prediction — 0:2 Away win for Real Madrid
Predicted correct score: 0:2 to Real Madrid. A 0:2 scoreline captures the scenario of a controlled Real Madrid away victory: two goals scored by the visitors while Valencia fail to penetrate a disciplined defensive performance. This precise outcome aligns with recent direct encounters and the statistical superiority of the Madrid side. No specific odds for the correct score were provided beyond the selection itself in the supplied information.
Statistics for Valencia FC vs Real Madrid
Valencia FC team news!
Valencia FC arrive at this fixture with 23 points, positioned 16th in the table after 22 rounds. Their record reads 5 wins, 8 draws and 9 defeats with a goal tally of 23 scored and 35 conceded. At home they have managed 4 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats, which suggests a measure of resilience at Mestalla but not the consistency required to climb the table. Under coach Carlos Corberán, Valencia have sought tactical balance, yet defensive lapses have been costly. Their immediate priority will be to tighten the back line and find productivity in transition if they are to upset a superior opponent.
Real Madrid team news!
Real Madrid occupy second place with 54 points, having achieved 17 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats and scoring 47 while conceding only 18. Their away record is formidable: 7 wins, 3 draws and a single defeat. Coach Arbeloa (as given in the match data) presides over a side that combines attacking verve with defensive discipline. Real Madrid’s depth and clinical finishing on the road make them perennial favourites in fixtures such as this. They will likely attempt to impose tempo and control possession while exploiting spaces left by Valencia on the counter.
H2H statistics
Over the last five meetings across all competitions, the head-to-head record shows Valencia with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 wins for Real Madrid. The most recent direct meeting concluded with a 4:0 victory for Real Madrid, underscoring the visitors’ historical ascendancy in recent encounters. Overall, the H2H profile reinforces Real Madrid’s psychological and tactical advantage heading into this game.
Last results Valencia FC
In their last five matches across all competitions Valencia have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats. The current form thus shows capacity for victories but also inconsistency — a sequence that leaves the team vulnerable when facing a well-drilled opponent. Their most recent match was a 1:2 home loss to Athletic Bilbao, highlighting the defensive concerns that must be addressed.
Last results Real Madrid
Real Madrid’s recent record across their last five fixtures is 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat. This run reflects robust form and momentum in the squad. The team’s most recent outing was a 2:1 home win against Rayo Vallecano, illustrating their ability to secure results even when matches are closely contested.
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Conclusion
Given the form, standings and head-to-head history, Real Madrid enter this game as clear favourites. Valencia’s necessity to secure points at Mestalla may encourage a cautious approach, whereas Real Madrid’s superior defence and clinical attack make an away win the most likely outcome. Our primary forecast is an away victory for Real Madrid (Tip 2). Complementary predictions are that both teams will score, the total will remain under 2.5 goals, and the most probable correct score is 0:2 to Real Madrid. Bettors should weigh these selections against live team news, potential absences and late tactical adjustments, but on balance the statistical and qualitative evidence supports the view that Real Madrid will secure a controlled victory at Mestalla.
