Marseille vs Monaco Prediction
Sunday 14 December 2025, 10:45 PM GMT +3 — Vélodrome. Competition: Ligue 1, Matchday 16. This encounter between Olympique Marseille and AS Monaco brings together two sides with contrasting profiles this season. Marseille arrive in confident mood, occupying third place with 29 points from 16 games and boasting an uncompromising home record. Monaco, seventh with 23 points, remain capable but inconsistent, particularly on their travels. The fixture offers a compelling tactical battle between Roberto De Zerbi’s Marseille and Sébastien Pocognoli’s Monaco and presents several viable betting opportunities given the teams’ recent form and statistical indicators.
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betting prediction for Olympique Marseille vs AS Monaco
Main prediction — Draw No Bet (Marseille)
Betting prediction: Draw No Bet (Marseille). Marseille’s overall campaign and, more importantly, their home form argue strongly in favour of a home victory. The Phocéens have recorded five wins and two draws at the Vélodrome this season, remaining unbeaten on their own ground. Their attacking output is notable — 35 goals in the league — while the defensive record (15 conceded) suggests a team that defends resolutely at home and converts chances efficiently. Monaco, by contrast, have struggled away from home (two wins, one draw, four defeats) and have posted a neutral goal difference of 26:26, reflecting a side that can be productive but is vulnerable defensively. Given Marseille’s superior league position, home form and recent momentum, the principal tip is a Marseille Win (Draw No Bet). Best available odd on this market: Betwinner — 1.40.
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Second betting tip — Both teams score? Yes
Both teams score? Yes. The choice for both teams to score is supported by the offensive capabilities on display from both clubs. Marseille have found the net frequently (35 goals) and Monaco’s attacking players have contributed to a similar tally (26 goals). Recent form and the tactical tendencies of both managers point to an open game: De Zerbi’s side often prioritises constructive possession and vertical play that creates opportunities, while Pocognoli’s team have shown they can score even when conceding. Moreover, the last direct meeting ended decisively in favour of Monaco, indicating that neither side should be underestimated offensively. The best listed odd for BTTS: YES at Paripesa — 1.44.
Third betting tip — Over/Under: Over 3.5 goals
Over/Under prediction: Over 3.5 goals. The expectation of goals is reinforced by both teams’ recent matches and the general tactical approach. Marseille have been prolific going forward and have not been overly conservative in defence, while Monaco’s matches frequently produce multiple goals. Recent form shows Marseille with three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five fixtures across competitions, a sequence that includes high-scoring encounters; Monaco have also produced goals but with less consistency, registering two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five. The combination of Marseille’s home attacking impetus and Monaco’s willingness to play forward suggests a high likelihood of a match exceeding 3.5 total goals. Odds for Over 3.5 goals (2.20 on Betwinner).
Fourth prediction — Correct score: 2:2 draw
Correct score prediction: 2:2. While the main recommendation is a Marseille win, a 2:2 draw is presented as a plausible high-scoring alternative for bettors seeking a more remunerative correct-score option. The reasoning is that both teams possess the capacity to score and concede goals; Monaco’s recent away vulnerability coupled with Marseille’s attacking tendencies could produce a back-and-forth contest leading to an even, high-scoring result.
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Statistics for Olympique Marseille vs AS Monaco
Olympique Marseille team news!
Olympique Marseille sit third in Ligue 1 with 29 points, accrued from 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats, and a league-best offensive return of 35 goals while conceding 15. At the Vélodrome they have been formidable: 5 wins and 2 draws from seven home matches, remaining unbeaten on home soil so far this campaign. Under Roberto De Zerbi’s leadership the team has developed fluent attacking patterns and an aggressive pressing philosophy that have yielded consistent scoring returns. Their recent fixtures include a notable away victory, 3:2 against Union Saint-Gilloise, indicating resilience and finishing quality away from home as well. Selection and availability updates are not provided here; monitor official club channels for the latest squad announcements and any injury or suspension news prior to kickoff.
AS Monaco team news!
AS Monaco occupy seventh place with 23 points, secured through 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats, with an even goal tally of 26 scored and 26 conceded. Away from home Monaco have managed 2 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats, a record that underlines vulnerability on the road. Coach Sébastien Pocognoli’s side showed resilience in their last match, a 1:0 home victory versus Galatasaray, but their inconsistency remains a concern. The team can be potent in attack but is susceptible to lapses that Marseille are likely to exploit. As with Marseille, up-to-date squad information should be checked before placing bets.
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H2H statistics
In the last five meetings across all competitions between these clubs, Marseille have one win, there have been two draws and Monaco have two wins. The most recent direct meeting concluded with a 3:0 victory for AS Monaco at home. The head-to-head record indicates competitive balance over recent encounters, with neither side dominating the fixture historically.
Last results Olympique Marseille
Over their last five matches in all competitions Marseille’s form reads: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. The current form suggests momentum and attacking confidence, particularly when combined with their impeccable home record this season.
Last results AS Monaco
AS Monaco’s last five fixtures have produced 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. This sequence demonstrates fluctuations in consistency — capable of strong performances but also vulnerable to setbacks.
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Conclusion
Olympique Marseille are clear favourites for this fixture, principally because of their unbeaten home record, superior points tally and stronger goal differential. Roberto De Zerbi’s team possess the tactical coherence and attacking dynamism necessary to impose themselves at the Vélodrome. Monaco remain dangerous, especially in attack, but their away form and defensive fragility reduce their prospects of securing a positive result. The principal recommended outcome is a Marseille win (DNB), with additional expectations that both teams will score and that the match will produce multiple goals (Over 3.5). Bettors seeking an alternative high-reward scenario may consider a 2:2 correct-score selection, but this should be regarded as a speculative option alongside the primary recommendation. Always gamble responsibly and verify odds and team news close to kickoff.
