Nice vs Marseille Prediction
The Ligue 1 fixture between OGC Nizza and Olympique Marseille will take place on Friday, 21 November 2025 at 22:45 local time at the Allianz Riviera. This match, played on Matchday 13 of the French top flight, presents a contrast of current form and seasonal performance: the hosts occupy mid-table positions and rely on a strong home record, while the visitors arrive as one of the early pace-setters in the title race. The immediate context, squad stability and recent head-to-head dynamics all point to an intriguing encounter that is likely to be tactically disciplined and decided by fine margins.
Below follow our betting tip and accompanying predictions for the match, presented with rationale and the best available odds for each market as supplied.
You can explore our French Ligue 1 betting tips to see which teams are likely to come out on top.
Main Betting tip: Olympique Marseille Win (DNB)
Betting tip: Olympique Marseille to win (draw no bet). Marseille currently sit second in the Ligue 1 table on 25 points with an impressive goal difference of 28:11, demonstrating both offensive potency and defensive solidity. By contrast, OGC Nizza occupy ninth place with 17 points and a narrower goal balance (17:18). Marseille’s form coming into this fixture includes a convincing 3:0 home victory in their most recent outing, suggesting the squad is confident and functioning well under coach Roberto De Zerbi. Nizza, coached by Franck Haise, suffered a 1:2 away loss in their last match and have shown inconsistent form over the campaign.
Marseille’s more consistent accumulation of points, superior goals scored, and the psychological advantage of occupying a high league position make them the logical pick for the draw no bet market. The best quoted price for the away win (Draw no bet) in the supplied data is 1.30 at 1win. Given the risk-reward balance and the relative strengths of both sides at present, the away win represents a sensible primary selection.
Tip 2: Both teams score? Yes
Prediction: Both teams will score — Yes. Both sides have demonstrated an ability to find the net in recent matches. Nizza have scored 17 goals this season and boast a strong home record of 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, indicating they are a competent attacking unit on their own turf. Marseille, with 28 goals in the season, frequently impose offensive pressure that can expose opponents even when they are defensively sound. The head-to-head history between the teams also shows competitive fixtures with goals on both sides in several meetings.
Given the supply of attacking talent and the contrasting tactical approaches — Nizza tending to be competitive at home while Marseille press forward in search of results — the expectation that both teams will score is plausible. The best available odd provided for the Both Teams To Score market is YES at Paripesa with a price of 1.62.
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Tip 3: Over/Under: Under 3.5 goals
Prediction: Under 3.5 goals. Despite both teams’ offensive capabilities, several indicators point toward a low-scoring, tightly contested match. Nizza’s defensive record is relatively tight at home and they will likely approach this match with a structured plan to limit Marseille’s transitions. Marseille, while prolific in attack, have conceded 11 goals in the season and on occasion adopt a controlled approach when travelling to avoid unnecessary risks. The most recent direct meeting resulted in a 2:0 win for Nizza, and the broader recent form suggests balanced encounters rather than goal-fests.
Taking into account the importance of the fixture for both clubs and the tendency for coaches to prioritize defensive organisation in key league ties, Under 3.5 goals is a credible expectation. No specific bookmaker odds for the Under 3.5 market were supplied in the data set; thus bettors should consult current market prices for the best available value.
Statistics for OGC Nizza vs Olympique Marseille
OGC Nizza team news!
OGC Nizza approach the fixture with 17 points, positioned ninth in the Ligue 1 standings after 13 matchdays. Their league record shows 5 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats with a goals tally of 17:18. Home form has been comparatively strong this season: four wins, one draw and only one defeat at the Allianz Riviera, which underlines their capacity to perform in front of their supporters. Manager Franck Haise will likely set up his team to exploit home advantages and to be compact in midfield to limit Marseille’s direct threats. Recent performance: in the last five matches across all competitions, Nizza have recorded 2 wins and 3 defeats, indicating form that oscillates between promising results and setbacks. Their last match ended in a 1:2 away loss versus FC Metz.
Olympique Marseille team news!
Olympique Marseille sit second with 25 points, having accumulated 8 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats and posting an attractive goal difference of 28:11. Away from home they have recorded 3 wins and 3 defeats so far, with no draws on the road — a sign of progressive or all-in approaches depending on the match. Head coach Roberto De Zerbi’s methods have yielded a productive attack and decent defensive organisation, visible in Marseille’s recent 3:0 home victory over Stade Brest. In their last five matches across all competitions, Marseille have produced 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, reflecting relatively steady form.
H2H statistics
The most recent direct meeting between the clubs ended in a 2:0 home win for OGC Nizza. Looking at the last five head-to-head encounters in all competitions, Nizza have won three, there has been one draw and Marseille have won once. Historically, Nizza have been a difficult opponent for Marseille in several recent contests, but the current season’s league table and form favour Marseille.
Last results OGC Nizza
Over their last five matches in all competitions, OGC Nizza have recorded 2 wins and 3 defeats, with no draws. Their current form is thus mixed, with bright moments tempered by defensive lapses and occasional loss of consistency. The immediate prior fixture resulted in a 1:2 away defeat.
Last results Olympique Marseille
In their last five matches across all competitions, Olympique Marseille have achieved 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. This sequence points to a generally reliable side that can both score and concede, depending on the match context. Their most recent match produced a convincing 3:0 home victory.
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Conclusion
On balance, Olympique Marseille assume the role of favourites for this Ligue 1 encounter. Their superior league position, stronger goal-scoring record and recent convincing victory give them an edge over OGC Nizza, who remain resilient at home but inconsistent overall. The most likely outcome, accounting for tactical caution and competitive balance, is a narrow Marseille win — our principal betting tip is Tip 2 (Olympique Marseille to win), supported by the secondary expectations that both teams will score and that the match will finish with under 2.5 goals. The recommended correct-score projection is 1:2 in favour of Marseille. As always, bettors should confirm current odds and consider risk management before placing stakes.
