Paris Saint-Germain vs Marseille Prediction
The marquee fixture of Ligue 1 Matchday 21 sees Paris Saint-Germain host Olympique Marseille at the Parc des Princes on Sunday, 08.02.2026 at 10:45. This classic rivalry pits the league leaders against a strong challengers’ side: Paris Saint-Germain top the table on 48 points (15 wins, 3 draws, 2 defeats) with a goal difference of 43:16, while Olympique Marseille sit third with 39 points (12 wins, 3 draws, 5 defeats) and goals 46:22. PSG arrive with an imperious home record (8 wins, 1 draw, 0 defeats) and will be seeking to consolidate their position under coach Luis Enrique. Roberto De Zerbi’s Marseille, who have been potent in attack this season, travel with a mixed away record (5 wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats) and will be intent on closing the gap at the summit.
Recent direct contacts have generally favoured the hosts: the last meeting ended 2:2 after regular time with PSG victorious 4:1 on penalties, and in the last five encounters across all competitions, PSG have won four times while Marseille have one win. The teams come into this game on acceptable form: PSG’s last competitive outing was a 2:1 away win at RC Strasbourg, while Marseille most recently defeated Stade Rennais 3:0 at home. Expect intensity, tactical nuance from both coaches, and a crowd that will push the Parc des Princes atmosphere to near boiling point.
Ready for Ligue 1 action? Check out the latest betting tips and expert picks to stay ahead of the game.
Main Tip: Over/Under — Over 3.5 Goals
Our primary betting tip is Over 3.5 goals. The combination of Marseille’s attacking potency and PSG’s forward quality suggests a high-scoring encounter: both sides have shown they can score freely and, in derby matches, defensive caution often gives way to urgency and transitions. The recent performances — PSG’s scoring efficiency and Marseille’s capacity to produce multi-goal games — support expectations of a contest with multiple goals. The specific best odds for Over 3.5 goals are best priced at 1win.
Betting Tip 2: Paris Saint-Germain to Win
Our secondary betting prediction is a home win for Paris Saint-Germain (Tip 1). PSG’s superior league position, excellent defensive record (just 16 goals conceded), and flawless home form give them the edge. Under Luis Enrique, they have combined organisation with incisive forward play; even when rotating, the depth of the squad tends to preserve results against quality opposition. Marseille are dangerous in transition and possess goal threats, but their away record indicates vulnerability on the road against elite sides, and Roberto De Zerbi’s progressive approach can sometimes leave gaps that a counter-attacking PSG will exploit. Best available odds for the 1X2 market: Tip 1 at 1win with odds 1.44.
Having trouble creating your Paripesa account? Check our detailed Paripesa registration guide for a smooth sign-up process.
Tip 3: Both teams score? Yes
Our final betting tip predicts that both teams will score (Both teams score? Yes). Despite PSG’s impressive defensive numbers, Marseille have been prolific this season and demonstrated their capacity to convert chances — they have scored 46 goals in the league. PSG’s attacking style under Luis Enrique means they commit men forward and create opportunities for opponents to counter; consequently, even if PSG control large periods, Marseille should be able to breach the home defence at least once. The market therefore favors a BTTS “Yes” outcome, which also complements the expectation of an open, high-profile derby. Best odds for this market from the supplied data: YES at Paripesa with odds 1.65.
Statistics for Paris Saint-Germain vs Olympique Marseille
Paris Saint-Germain team news!
Paris Saint-Germain sit top of Ligue 1 with 48 points from 20 matches. Their record of 15 wins, 3 draws and only 2 defeats underscores consistency; they have scored 43 goals while conceding just 16, demonstrating both attacking potency and defensive resilience. At home the capital side have been almost flawless (8 wins, 1 draw, 0 defeats), which is a critical factor in their title push. Manager Luis Enrique has instilled a clear tactical identity combining ball domination, verticality and tactical rotations to manage player workloads across competitions. Fitness, squad rotation decisions and set-piece preparedness will be key considerations ahead of the fixture.
Olympique Marseille team news!
Olympique Marseille are third in the table on 39 points with an attacking profile that has yielded 46 goals so far. Their season record reads 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; away from home they have been less consistent (5 wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats). Under Roberto De Zerbi, Marseille have become an aggressive, possession-oriented side with emphasis on vertical passes and forward movement. De Zerbi’s tactical system can unlock defences but sometimes exposes his team defensively, particularly on the counter — a vulnerability PSG may look to exploit. Marseille’s selection will likely prioritise creative players capable of unsettling PSG’s backline.
H2H statistics
The recent head-to-head record favours Paris Saint-Germain. In the last five meetings across all competitions PSG have won four encounters, while Marseille have managed one victory. The most recent direct clash ended 2:2 after regular time, with PSG prevailing 4:1 on penalties. Historical context and psychological advantage lean to the home side, but derby matches often defy form due to intensity, rivalry and motivation.
Last results Paris Saint-Germain
In their last five matches across all competitions Paris Saint-Germain have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. That sequence indicates a strong, consistent run of form with resilience in domestic competition. Their most recent outing culminated in a 2:1 away victory at RC Strasbourg, a result that should bolster confidence ahead of the Marseille fixture.
Last results Olympique Marseille
Olympique Marseille’s last five matches have produced 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. That pattern suggests inconsistency but also moments of high quality — notably a 3:0 home win against Stade Rennais in their most recent match. De Zerbi’s side can be dangerous on their day, yet their mixed recent form underlines why they remain challengers rather than favourites for this particular fixture.
TIP: Download Telegram before you click here!
Conclusion
On balance, Paris Saint-Germain enter this classic as favourites. Their superior league position, exceptional home form and defensive solidity under Luis Enrique make them the natural pick for victory. Marseille possess the quality to score and to make the match competitive, but their away inconsistencies and the tactical risk inherent in De Zerbi’s approach increase the likelihood of PSG exploiting counter-opportunities. Our predictions therefore prioritise a PSG win (Tip 1), while also anticipating goals from both teams and an open match that could exceed three goals in total; a 2:1 scoreline for Paris Saint-Germain is our considered forecast. As always, bettors should weigh these assessments against current team news, injuries and bookmaker odds before placing stakes.
