Liverpool vs Southampton EFL prediction
The League Cup fixture between Liverpool FC and Southampton FC is scheduled for Tuesday, 23 September 2025 at 10:00 PM (GMT+3). This cup tie pits Arne Slot’s Liverpool against Will Still’s Southampton in a meeting that, on form and recent history, heavily favours the home side. The most recent direct encounter ended in a 3:1 victory for Liverpool, and the broader head-to-head record across the last five meetings shows Liverpool with four wins and one draw. Both clubs will approach this knockout match with contrasting momentum: Liverpool arrives unbeaten in their last five fixtures, while Southampton have secured only one victory in their last five, with two draws and two defeats.
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Main Betting Tip: Over 3.5 goals
While the “Both teams do not score” selection favours a Liverpool clean sheet, the tie still carries potential for goal action that favours a high-scoring outcome. Liverpool’s attacking profile and Southampton’s vulnerability in defence—evidenced by the 1:3 defeat in their last outing—suggest that phases of open play could produce multiple goals, particularly if Southampton are forced to chase the match. Additionally, cup ties can evolve rapidly, with tactical shifts and substitutions increasing volatility and goal opportunities. The Over 3.5 recommendation anticipates a match that produces several goals, either through Liverpool’s offensive depth or through moments where Southampton concede while trying to alter the game.
Betting Tip 2: Liverpool Win
Liverpool has demonstrated strong and consistent performances under Arne Slot, recording five wins in their last five matches and entering this contest off a 2:1 home triumph over Everton. The combination of recent form, superior head-to-head record (4 wins and 1 draw in the last five meetings), and the advantage of hosting this tie makes Liverpool the clear favourites to progress. Tactical discipline, quality in attack and a robust defensive record in recent matches all support a 1×2 selection for the hosts.
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Betting Tip 3: Both teams score? No
Despite Liverpool’s recent scoring record and Southampton’s occasional goal contributions, the form differential and Liverpool’s defensive solidity under Arne Slot make a match in which Southampton fail to score a credible outcome. Southampton’s recent away struggles, highlighted by a 1:3 loss at Hull City, indicate inconsistencies in attack when facing opponents of greater overall quality. Given Liverpool’s capability to control possession and limit transitions, the probability of a clean sheet for the hosts is materially higher than the baseline. Best available odds on the Both Teams To Score market: No at Betwinner with odds of 1.82 (Yes at 1.90).
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Statistics for Liverpool FC vs Southampton FC
Liverpool FC team news!
Manager/Coach: Arne Slot. Liverpool come into this League Cup encounter with exemplary momentum, having won each of their last five matches across all competitions. The team’s most recent result is a 2:1 home victory over Everton, reflecting both attacking efficiency and the ability to secure wins in competitive fixtures. No detailed squad availability or injury information has been provided in the supplied data; therefore, any selection or rotation considerations by Arne Slot should be monitored via official club channels closer to kickoff. Tactical continuity and depth in attack and midfield make Liverpool the pre-match favourites.
Southampton FC team news!
Manager/Coach: Will Still. Southampton’s recent form is mixed and presents concerns: one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five matches. The side’s most recent result recorded in the dataset is a 1:3 away loss at Hull City, which suggests defensive frailties that Liverpool may attempt to exploit. With only one victory in the last five matches, Southampton will likely need to adopt a compact and pragmatic approach to have any realistic chance of upsetting Liverpool in this cup tie. There is no specific information on suspensions or injuries in the supplied material; consult Southampton’s official communications for precise team news.
H2H statistics
Recent history heavily favours Liverpool. The last direct meeting between the two clubs concluded with a 3:1 home victory for Liverpool. Considering the last five meetings across all competitions, the head-to-head record stands at: Liverpool 4 wins, 1 draw, Southampton 0 wins. That balance underscores a psychological and tactical advantage for Liverpool heading into this League Cup fixture.
Last results Liverpool FC
In their most recent sequence of five matches across all competitions, Liverpool have recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats. Their current form is therefore exceptionally strong, indicating both offensive productivity and defensive resilience. The unbeaten run and consecutive wins provide both confidence and a tactical platform for Arne Slot to manage the squad through the cup schedule.
Last results Southampton FC
Southampton’s last five matches across all competitions show a record of 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats. This form reflects inconsistency and defensive vulnerability, with recent results including a notable 1:3 away loss to Hull City. The middling form suggests that Southampton will be the underdogs and may struggle to impose themselves, particularly away from home against a confident Liverpool.
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Conclusion
In conclusion, Liverpool entered this League Cup clash as clear favourites on account of its recent superior form, dominant head-to-head statistics, and home advantage under the Arne Slot. Southampton, led by Will Still, have displayed mixed results and will need a marked improvement to avoid elimination. The recommended market strategy aligns with these assessments: selection of a Liverpool victory, a conservative secondary view that neither teams will not score (No), and an ancillary projection that the match may generate several goals (Over 3.5). Bettors should verify live odds and any late team news before committing a stake, and consider the probabilities and bankroll management principles appropriate to cup fixtures.
