Bournemouth vs Chelsea prediction
The Premier League returns to the Vitality Stadium on Saturday, 06.12.2025 (kick-off 18:00 GT+3) for a Matchday 15 fixture between AFC Bournemouth and Chelsea FC. Bournemouth arrive positioned 14th in the table with 19 points from 14 matches, while Chelsea occupy fourth place with 24 points from the same number of fixtures. This encounter pits Andoni Iraola’s Bournemouth — who have a respectable home record of four wins, two draws and one defeat — against Enzo Maresca’s Chelsea, a side that has been more effective on the road this season with four wins, one draw and two defeats away from home. The last direct meeting between the sides produced a 2:2 draw; across the most recent five head-to-heads Chelsea have the upper hand with three wins to Bournemouth’s none, and two draws. This preview sets out form, team news considerations, head-to-head context and concise betting guidance.
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Main Betting Tip: Under 3.5 goals
Our main prediction favours under 3.5 goals. Despite the expectation that both sides will score, the recent tactical conservatism from both managers and Bournemouth’s tendency to struggle in attack during their poor recent run suggest a lower-scoring match. Bournemouth have produced only 21 goals across 14 league games and have failed to win any of their last five matches, pointing to a restraint in creating high volumes of clear-cut chances. Chelsea, while capable of scoring, has also shown defensive steadiness in many fixtures and may approach this game with caution to avoid slipping points. Consequently, a tightly contested match with fewer than 4 total goals appears probable.
Betting tip 2: Both teams score? Yes
Our second betting tip anticipates that both teams will score. Bournemouth have found the net 21 times in the league and, at home, they have shown an appetite to attack; conversely, their defensive record (24 conceded) indicates vulnerability that Chelsea’s forwards can exploit. Chelsea have shown a prolific edge in attack but have also conceded goals, particularly when travelling, which makes a both-teams-to-score outcome plausible. The last direct meeting ended 2:2, illustrating that fixtures between these clubs can produce goals at both ends. For punters seeking a moderate-risk market, the both teams to score — Yes — selection is sensible.
Betting Tip 3: Correct score 1-1
Our final betting prediction is a 1:1 correct score. This outcome synthesises the expectation of both teams finding the net and the projection that the match will remain low-scoring overall. A 1:1 draw also reflects the closely contested historical relationship between the clubs and Bournemouth’s relative resilience at home despite their recent dip in form. The last direct encounter produced a 2:2 draw, underlining that parity is possible; however, given Chelsea’s superior quality and Bournemouth’s current malaise, a single-goal-per-side scoreline is a credible forecast. (No specific bookmaker odds for the 1:1 correct score were supplied in the provided data.)
Our sure bet prediction is a guaranteed betting option whenever you wish not to take too much risk in a bet.
Statistics for AFC Bournemouth vs Chelsea FC
AFC Bournemouth team news!
AFC Bournemouth, coached by Andoni Iraola, arrive with 19 points and occupy 14th place. Their overall Premier League record stands at five wins, four draws and five defeats, with 21 goals scored and 24 conceded. Home form has been comparatively solid: four wins, two draws and one defeat at the Vitality Stadium. Recent team performance indicates strain — Bournemouth have not won in their last five outings (0 wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats) and come into this fixture on the back of a 0:1 home defeat to Everton. Managerial emphasis from Iraola will likely be on tightening defensive organisation and extracting set-piece value; however, squad confidence is a concern and could affect their ability to dominate exchanges against a technically adept Chelsea side.
Chelsea FC team news!
Chelsea FC, under the direction of Enzo Maresca, have accumulated 24 points and sit fourth in the table with a record of seven wins, three draws and four defeats. They have scored 25 goals while conceding 15, highlighting a positive goal difference. Their away record is strong: four wins, one draw and two defeats on the road. Chelsea’s recent form is favorable (three wins, one draw, one defeat in the last five matches), though they suffered a 1:3 loss at Leeds in their most recent fixture. Enzo Maresca will likely prioritise tactical balance, exploiting Chelsea’s forward options against Bournemouth’s defensive lapses while ensuring the team avoids unnecessary exposed transitions.
H2H statistics
The head-to-head record over the last five meetings in all competitions reads: AFC Bournemouth 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 wins for Chelsea FC. The most recent direct meeting ended in a 2:2 draw, demonstrating that while Chelsea have dominated recent head-to-heads, Bournemouth can still produce competitive performances against them.
Last results AFC Bournemouth
In their last five matches across all competitions Bournemouth have registered 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats. Their current form is therefore poor, reflecting difficulties in both scoring consistently and maintaining defensive solidity.
Last results Chelsea FC
Chelsea’s last five matches across competitions show a far stronger sequence: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. The overall form indicates a team capable of stringing together positive results, though the most recent defeat away to Leeds highlights that vulnerabilities remain.
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Conclusion
On balance, Chelsea enter this fixture as favourites. Their superior league standing, better recent form and stronger away record provide a substantive basis for backing them to secure victory at the Vitality Stadium. Bournemouth’s home comforts mitigate the gap somewhat, and their willingness to attack means they are likely to score, but their alarming run without a win and defensive fragility undermine their prospects of taking maximum points. Accordingly, the recommended outcome hierarchy is: primary selection — under 3.5 Goals; secondary — both teams to score (Yes); and tertiary, a 1:1 draw is presented as the most probable exact scoreline given the anticipated balance between conservative tactics and offensive threats from both sides.
