Everton vs Liverpool prediction
The Premier League returns to Goodison’s nearby counterpart, Hill Dickinson Stadium, on Sunday, 19 April 2026, with kickoff scheduled for 16:00. Matchday 33 brings a Merseyside clash of clear domestic significance as Everton FC (47 points, 8th) welcomes Liverpool FC (52 points, 5th). Everton arrive with a league record of 13 wins, 8 draws, and 11 defeats, goals 39:37, and a home record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats. Liverpool have accumulated 15 wins, 7 draws, and 10 defeats, goals 52:42, and an away record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats. The last direct meeting finished 2:1 in favour of Liverpool, and over the last five encounters across all competitions, Liverpool have prevailed three times to Everton’s one, with one draw.
Given the proximity in the table, the contrasting recent forms and the managerial plans of David Moyes (Everton) and Arne Slot (Liverpool), this fixture promises tactical nuance as much as occasion. Below are our considered betting predictions for the contest, followed by statistical context, team notes, and a concluding assessment.
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Main Tip: Over/Under: Over 2.5 goals
Our primary prediction expects the match to produce more than 2.5 goals. Between Everton’s 39 goals scored and Liverpool’s 52, both sides have demonstrated offensive potency sufficient to push a fixture beyond the 2.5 threshold, particularly when Liverpool travels and looks to control possession and create higher volumes of chances. Everton’s capacity to respond and open the game further increases the likelihood that this contest will see multiple goals. Given the season-long scoring trends of both clubs and their recent head-to-head dynamics, over 2.5 goals is a rational first selection at best odds with BetAndYou Africa.
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Betting Prediction 2: Liverpool FC (Tip 2)
Our primary betting prediction is an away victory for Liverpool FC. Despite Liverpool’s mixed run of results in recent matches, their superior goal tally (52) and points position (52 points) indicate a greater attacking potential and squad depth capable of influencing an intense derby encounter. Arne Slot’s side retains the form and experience in big fixtures necessary to exploit Everton’s occasional defensive vulnerabilities; Everton’s home ledger (6-4-6) demonstrates inconsistency. Additionally, Liverpool won the most recent direct meeting 2:1 and boasts a positive head-to-head margin across the past five fixtures (3 wins to Everton’s 1). The best available odds for Away win (2) are 2.30 at Paripesa.
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Betting Prediction 3: Both teams score? Yes
We predict both teams will score. Everton have shown sufficient attacking capability this season (39 goals) and, notably at home, have recorded goals in a number of their fixtures. Liverpool’s offensive threats, contributing to a 52-goal tally, should be able to breach Everton’s backline, while Everton’s countering and set-piece opportunities give them realistic routes to scoring against a Liverpool defence that has conceded 42 goals in the league. Recent head-to-heads and the style of play anticipated from both managers suggest an open contest rather than a low-scoring tactical stalemate. The best odds offered on the both-teams-to-score market are: Yes 1.65 at Paripesa.
Statistics for Everton FC vs Liverpool FC
The statistical picture for this fixture is marked by competitive proximity. Everton sit eighth with 47 points following 33 matchdays and a slightly positive goal difference (+2), whereas Liverpool sit fifth on 52 points with a +10 goal difference. Everton’s home record is balanced but inconsistent; Liverpool’s away record is similarly mixed. The derby’s historical edge favours Liverpool in recent meetings, and Liverpool’s superior goals for underline their stronger attacking output. Managers David Moyes and Arne Slot will both approach the match with tactical plans shaped by recent form and squad availability.
Everton FC team news!
Manager David Moyes has guided Everton to a respectable mid-table push this season. Everton’s overall record of 13 wins, 8 draws and 11 defeats reflects a team capable of competing across the pitch but susceptible to lapses in consistency. At home they have a 6-4-6 record, indicating that while Goodison/Hill Dickinson fixtures are not straightforward for visitors, they also are not guaranteed wins for the home side. Moyes is likely to prioritise a compact defensive shape with quick transitions to exploit Liverpool on the counter; set-pieces and midfield resilience will be crucial to Everton’s hopes.
Liverpool FC team news!
Arne Slot’s Liverpool have been productive in attack this season, evidenced by 52 goals, but have also conceded 42, leaving defensive solidity a recurring talking point. Liverpool’s away record of 6 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats suggests vulnerability on the road but also an ability to secure decisive results. Slot will most likely seek to impose an organized pressing scheme and creative wide play to unsettle Everton’s lines. Squad rotation and tactical nuance will determine how effectively Liverpool convert their offensive potential into a match-deciding performance.
H2H statistics
Across the last five meetings in all competitions, Liverpool have won three times, Everton have one victory, and the teams have shared one draw. The most recent direct meeting ended 2:1 to Liverpool. That recent Liverpool advantage, alongside overall scoring patterns, contributes to the assessment that Liverpool enter this fixture with a marginal historical upper hand.
Last results Everton FC
In their last five matches across all competitions Everton have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat. This form indicates positive momentum and resilience under David Moyes, suggesting Everton are in a constructive phase and capable of producing competitive performances, particularly at home.
Last results Liverpool FC
Liverpool’s last five matches across all competitions have yielded one win and four defeats. This sequence points to recent difficulties and an inconsistent run of form. While the sample is small, it elevates the significance of tactical adjustments by Arne Slot and underlines why Liverpool cannot be taken for granted despite their superior season totals.
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Conclusion
This Merseyside fixture presents a nuanced confrontation. On balance, Liverpool are the favourites given their superior points tally, more potent attack, and favourable recent head-to-head record. However, Everton’s solid recent form, home familiarity at Hill Dickinson Stadium, and David Moyes’s pragmatic approach render them a credible threat. Our overall stance favours an away win for Liverpool (Tip 2) while also anticipating both teams to score and a match with over 2.5 goals; the conservative correct-score projection remains 1:1. Bettors should weigh the provided odds — notably 2.30 for Liverpool at 1win and 1.65 for both teams to score at Paripesa — alongside up-to-date team news and any late changes before staking funds.
