Leeds vs Manchester City Prediction
The Premier League returns to Elland Road on Saturday, 28 February 2026 (20:30 GMT+3) when Leeds United host Manchester City in a match for Matchday 28. This encounter pits a Leeds side seeking to consolidate points in the lower half of the table against one of the division’s title contenders. Leeds sit 15th with 31 points from 27 matches, while Manchester City occupy second place with 56 points from the same number of fixtures. Daniel Farke leads Leeds United and will prepare his side to exploit home advantage; Pep Guardiola leads Manchester City and will aim to maintain the club’s strong run of form. The fixture promises tactical intrigue given Leeds’ resilience at Elland Road and Manchester City’s potency in attack.
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Main Betting Tip: Man City (DNB)
On form and by recent head-to-head history, Manchester City enter this match as clear favourites. City have amassed 56 points with a goal difference of +31 (56:25) and have been consistent on the road, registering six away wins, three draws and four defeats in the league. Their current momentum is notable: five wins from their last five matches in all competitions and victory in their most recent game, 2:1 at home to Newcastle United. By contrast, Leeds have shown sporadic form and sit close to the relegation zone despite a respectable home record (6 wins, 4 draws, 3 defeats). The head-to-head record also underlines Manchester City’s dominance: five wins in the last five meetings, including a 3:2 victory in their most recent direct encounter. Considering squad quality, tactical depth under Guardiola and the recent run of results, Manchester City are the most likely winners in this match.
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Betting Tip 2: Both teams score? Yes
Both teams score? Yes. Leeds have struggled defensively over the course of the season, conceding 46 goals, and often approach matches with an attacking mindset under Daniel Farke, particularly at Elland Road. Manchester City have been prolific — 56 goals scored — and even when controlling games, they tend to create sufficient opportunities for opponents to find space on the counter. Given Leeds’ capacity to score at home and City’s consistent scoring, a Both Teams to Score (Yes) outcome is a sensible selection.
Betting Tip 3: Correct score 1-2
Finally, we expect a scoreline of 1-2 in favour of Manchester City. This scoreline reflects the expectation of a narrowly controlled away victory: City scoring twice through efficient attacking play, while Leeds manage at least one goal either from open play or set-piece situations. The correct-score market is inherently more volatile but offers enhanced returns for those forecasting a specific outcome. The provided dataset identifies 1:2 as the recommended correct score; check current bookmaker pricing for the precise odds before wagering.
Statistics for Leeds United vs Manchester City
Leeds United team news!
Leeds United occupy 15th position in the Premier League with 31 points from 27 matches, having recorded 7 wins, 10 draws and 10 defeats, and a goals tally of 37 scored and 46 conceded. At home, Leeds have been relatively competitive with six victories, four draws and three defeats. Under the stewardship of Daniel Farke, Leeds often seek to blend structured defensive organisation with rapid transitions when attacking; this approach has yielded mixed results across the season. Their last match ended in a 1:1 away draw at Aston Villa, and their recent sequence comprises two wins, two draws and one defeat from the previous five fixtures — a form line that suggests resilience but also inconsistency.
Manchester City team news!
Manchester City sit second in the table with 56 points after 27 matches, built on a record of 17 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats and a strong goal difference (56:25). Their away record shows six wins, three draws and four defeats, indicating dependable performances on the road. Under Pep Guardiola, City maintain high possession metrics, creative attacking patterns and a disciplined pressing game. They arrive at Elland Road in excellent form, having won each of their last five matches in all competitions, and they secured a 2:1 home victory over Newcastle United in their most recent fixture. Victory in this fixture would consolidate City’s challenge for the top spot.
H2H statistics
The head-to-head record emphasises Manchester City’s superiority in recent encounters. In the last five meetings across all competitions, Leeds have recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats against Manchester City. The last direct meeting ended 3:2 in favour of City. Such historical dominance underlines the tactical and personnel advantages City typically hold in this matchup.
Last results Leeds United
In their last five matches across all competitions, Leeds United have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. This sequence indicates a team capable of picking up points and showing resilience, though not yet demonstrating sustained consistency. The current form is therefore mixed but not devoid of positive elements.
Last results Manchester City
Manchester City’s form is exemplary: in their last five matches across all competitions they have compiled 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats. This unblemished recent run highlights a high-performing side with strong momentum and confidence heading into this fixture.
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Conclusion
On balance, Manchester City are the clear favourites for this Premier League fixture. Their superior points total, better goal difference, dominant recent form (five successive wins) and unbroken head-to-head advantage over Leeds combine to make an away victory the most probable outcome. Leeds will be competitive at Elland Road and possess the capacity to score, making a Both Teams to Score selection plausible. However, Manchester City’s tactical control and scoring efficiency support a final score forecast of 1:2 to the visitors. Recommended portfolio of selections: main tip — Away win (DNB), second tip — Both Teams to Score: Yes, and third tip — Correct score 1:2
