Leeds vs Manchester United Prediction
The Premier League returns to Elland Road on Sunday, 04.01.2026 at 15:30 for a Matchday 20 fixture in which Leeds United will host Manchester United. This meeting pits two teams whose objectives differ in scale: Leeds are engaged in a fight to consolidate Premier League status, while Manchester United seek to maintain momentum in the top half of the table. Leeds currently occupy 16th position with 20 points, having recorded 5 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats (goals 25:32), and they have shown a reliably competitive home record (4 wins, 3 draws, 2 defeats). Manchester United sit sixth with 30 points from 8 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats (goals 33:29) and an away record of 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats. The last direct meeting between these sides finished 0:0, and the recent head-to-head balance over five meetings favors Manchester United (0 wins for Leeds, 2 draws, 3 wins for Manchester United).
Our England Premier League predictions are put together by our team of experts.
Main Tip: Draw (Tip X)
Our principal betting prediction for this encounter is a draw . There are several reasons to favour a stalemate. Leeds, under the stewardship of Daniel Farke, have shown resilience and an ability to frustrate stronger opposition, particularly at Elland Road. Their home form has yielded more positive results than their away record, and Farke’s side have been unbeaten in their last five matches across all competitions (2 wins, 3 draws), demonstrating a compact and organised approach that is difficult to break down. Conversely, Manchester United have been inconsistent on the road, with an away record suggesting they are vulnerable to resolute home outfits; Rúben Amorim’s side possess quality in attack but have leaked goals, registering a modest +4 goal difference and a tendency to concede in open play. The best available odds for the draw market in is 3.51 on Betwinner.
Our Betwinner Kenya test will tell you everything you need to know about the offerings of this bookmaker.
Betting Tip 2: Both Teams To Score? Yes
The secondary prediction is that both teams will score: yes. Leeds have scored 25 goals this season but conceded 32, indicating that while they can produce attacking threats they are also susceptible in defensive transition. Manchester United have been more productive offensively (33 goals) but have conceding issues that render them susceptible to counter-attacks and set-piece situations. The recent matches for both sides further support this view: Leeds are unbeaten in their last five fixtures but have drawn several games with both teams finding the net, and Manchester United’s last five matches contain a mix of wins, draws and a defeat with goals for and against. Consequently, a contest in which both sides find the net is plausible. According to the supplied market information, the best available odds for Both Teams to Score – Yes – are at Betwinner with odd 1.65.
Make the most of of our BTTS prediction.
Betting Tip 3: Over 2.5 goals
Although a cautious, low-scoring encounter is possible — particularly if both managers adopt disciplined shapes — the profiles of these teams and their recent results indicate that more than two goals is a reasonable expectation. Manchester United’s matches often produce multiple goal events due to their offensive quality and defensive lapses, while Leeds have been involved in several fixtures with multiple goals, especially at home where they press and invite transitions. With both teams likely to commit players forward at different stages of the match, Over 2.5 goals appears to be a sound selection for those seeking a more expansive outcome.
Statistics for Leeds United vs Manchester United
Leeds United team news!
Leeds United come into this fixture with 20 points and occupy 16th place in the Premier League table. Their record of 5 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats with a goal tally of 25 scored and 32 conceded highlights both attacking enterprise and defensive fragility. At Elland Road they have been stronger, producing 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats. Under coach Daniel Farke, Leeds have demonstrated tactical organisation and an emphasis on pressing and transitional play. Their recent form is notable: in the last five matches across all competitions Leeds have recorded 2 wins and 3 draws, remaining undefeated in that span; their most recent fixture was a 1:1 away draw at Sunderland AFC.
Manchester United team news!
Manchester United occupy sixth place on 30 points, built from 8 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats and a goal record of 33:29. Rúben Amorim’s squad has shown potency in attack but some defensive inconsistency, particularly in away games, where their record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats. In their last five outings across all competitions Manchester United have posted 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, reflecting a generally positive but not impervious run of form. Their most recent result was a 1:1 home draw against Wolverhampton Wanderers.
H2H statistics
The head-to-head record over the last five meetings between Leeds United and Manchester United in all competitions reads: Leeds 0 wins, 2 draws, Manchester United 3 wins. The most recent direct encounter ended 0:0. Historically, this fixture has produced a mix of tight contests and matches keyed by Manchester United’s experience and quality, but Leeds have frequently been competitive at Elland Road.
Last results Leeds United
In their last five matches (all competitions), Leeds United have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats. Their current form is unbeaten across those five fixtures, indicating a steady run of results and confidence, particularly under Daniel Farke’s management.
Last results Manchester United
Manchester United’s last five matches (all competitions) have yielded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Their recent form is solid yet not flawless, with Rúben Amorim’s side showing attacking capability but occasional defensive lapses that have allowed opponents to secure points.
TIP: Download Telegram before you click here!
Conclusion
On balance, this contest projects as a closely fought encounter in which a draw is a credible and rational outcome. Manchester United arrive as the nominal favourites given their higher league position and greater overall points tally, but their away form is not overwhelmingly superior and Leeds’ resilience at Elland Road under Daniel Farke — combined with their recent unbeaten run — makes them difficult to dismiss. The most prudent single-result forecast is a draw (Tip X), complemented by selections that reflect the attacking threats on both sides: Both Teams to Score — Yes, Over 2.5 goals.
