Liverpool vs Leeds prediction
The Premier League returns to Anfield on Thursday, 01.01.2026 (kick-off 8:30 PM GMT +3) for a Round 19 encounter between Liverpool FC and Leeds United. This fixture sees fourth-placed Liverpool (32 points) host 16th-placed Leeds (20 points) in a contest that combines contrasting league positions with a recent competitive rivalry. Liverpool arrive with a strong home record and are coached by Arne Slot; Leeds, under Daniel Farke, will seek to exploit any vulnerabilities in the hosts’ defence while improving on a poor away record. The last meeting between the sides ended in an entertaining 3:3 draw, and the H2H history shows Liverpool holding the advantage overall. This preview sets out form, team news context and enumerates our betting predictions for the match.
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Main Betting prediction — : Home win (1)
Our primary betting prediction for Liverpool FC vs Leeds United is a home victory for Liverpool (Tip 1). The rationale is straightforward: Liverpool sit fourth with 32 points, have a superior overall goal difference (30:26), and possess a strong Anfield home record (6 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats). Leeds meanwhile are 16th with 20 points, have conceded more than they have scored (25:32) and possess a worrying away record (1 win, 2 draws, 6 defeats). Liverpool also come into the fixture on good recent form (four wins and a draw in their last five matches), while Leeds are unbeaten in five but with a less compelling balance of results (two wins and three draws). Given the home advantage, superior league standing and recent momentum under Arne Slot, the statistical and contextual edge lies with Liverpool. Best available odds for the 1×2 market in the provided data list Liverpool (Tip 1) at 1.52 with Betwinner.
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2nd Betting prediction — Both teams score? Yes
Our second betting tip predicts that both teams will score (Both teams to score — YES). There are several reasons to expect goals at both ends. Liverpool have registered 30 goals in the league this season but have conceded 26, suggesting occasional defensive vulnerabilities despite an effective attack. Leeds have shown offensive capability as well, with 25 goals this campaign, and their matches recently have tended to be open affairs — the most recent direct meeting finished 3:3. Moreover, the H2H history and the attacking styles employed by both managers imply chances for both sides. This market is attractive because it combines moderate protection for a Liverpool win with the likelihood of Leeds finding the net, particularly on the transitional attacking surfaces Leeds often exploit. Best listed odd for Both teams — YES is 1.71 at Betwinner.
3rd Betting prediction — Over 2.5 goals
Our third betting prediction favours Over 2.5 goals. The match-up between a top-end attacking Liverpool side and a Leeds team that can produce goals while being prone to conceding creates a high probability of multiple goals. Liverpool’s recent domestic games have included several multi-goal encounters and Leeds’ matches have similarly produced several goals. The last direct meeting was a 3:3 draw, a reminder that these fixtures can be open and high-scoring. While the provided market data specifies Under 2.5 goals for the Over/Under line, our forecasting assessment supports Over 2.5 as the preferred play for those seeking more goal exposure. Best odds for Over 2.5 Goals: 1.64 on Betwinner.
4th Betting prediction — Correct score: 2:1 Home win for Liverpool FC
As a more specific forecast, our fourth betting tip is a 2:1 home win for Liverpool. This scoreline encapsulates our expectation that Liverpool will secure victory while Leeds will create enough chances to score once. A 2:1 prediction aligns with Liverpool’s attacking potency and Leeds’ capacity to capitalize on counter opportunities or set-piece situations. Best odds for a 2:1 correct-score market: 8.00 on Paripesa.
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Statistics for Liverpool FC vs Leeds United
Liverpool FC team news!
Liverpool are positioned fourth in the Premier League with 32 points from 18 matches, having recorded 10 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats, with a goals tally of 30 scored and 26 conceded. At Anfield their home record stands at six wins, one draw and two defeats. Head coach Arne Slot has guided the team to robust recent form: in the last five matches across all competitions Liverpool have registered four wins and one draw, remaining unbeaten. Their most recent match was a 2:1 home victory over Wolverhampton Wanderers, which should bolster confidence ahead of the Leeds fixture. Tactical continuity under Slot and the reassurance of strong home support make Liverpool favorites for this encounter.
Leeds United team news!
Leeds occupy 16th place with 20 points after 18 games, having accumulated five wins, five draws and eight defeats, and scoring 25 goals while conceding 32. Their away record is problematic: just one win, two draws and six defeats on the road. Manager Daniel Farke has steadied the team to an extent — Leeds are unbeaten in their last five matches across competitions with two wins and three draws — but their defensive record and away difficulties remain central concerns. The side’s most recent outing was a 1:1 draw away at Sunderland AFC. Tactical flexibility and set-piece threat mean Leeds cannot be written off, but their form away from Elland Road will be a decisive factor.
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H2H statistics
In the last five meetings across all competitions, Liverpool have won three matches, Leeds have won one and there has been one draw. The most recent direct meeting finished 3:3, an indicator that prior encounters between these clubs frequently produce open and entertaining football with goals at both ends. Overall H2H trends slightly favor Liverpool, but Leeds have demonstrated they can compete and produce goal-scoring outcomes.
Last results Liverpool FC
Over the last five matches in all competitions Liverpool have registered four wins and one draw; they are currently unbeaten in that span and display strong form heading into this fixture. The consistency of results has contributed to their position in the upper echelons of the table and underpins confidence in a favourable outcome at Anfield.
Last results Leeds United
Leeds United have recorded two wins and three draws in their last five fixtures across competitions. While that sequence leaves them unbeaten in five, the distribution of results suggests many closely contested matches rather than emphatic victories. Leeds’ recent form offers resilience, but the frequency of draws highlights limitations in turning matches decisively in their favour.
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Conclusion
In conclusion, Liverpool approach this Premier League fixture as clear favourites. The combination of home advantage at Anfield, a superior league position, a stronger home record and more convincing recent form under Arne Slot all point toward a Liverpool victory. Leeds, under Daniel Farke, are not without positives — they possess attacking threat and a recent unbeaten run — but their away record and goals conceded tally make them the underdogs. Our consolidated view: a Liverpool win is the most probable outcome, with both teams likely to score and the match inclined to produce more than 2.5 goals; a 2:1 home victory for Liverpool represents a realistic, balanced correct-score projection.
