Manchester City vs Liverpool prediction
The Premier League returns with a high-profile clash at the Etihad Stadium on Sunday, 09.11.2025, kick-off 7:30 PM GMT +3, as Manchester City host Liverpool FC in Matchday 11. This fixture pits two of England’s leading clubs against one another in a match that carries significance for the early shape of the title race. Manchester City arrive in second place on 19 points, while Liverpool sit close behind in third with 18 points. Both teams have demonstrated attacking potency this season, but also defensive vulnerabilities, which should make this encounter compelling for neutral observers and bettors alike.
The recent direct meeting saw Liverpool secure a 2:0 away victory, and the head-to-head balance over the last five meetings is finely poised: Manchester City 1 win, 2 draws, Liverpool 2 wins (all competitions). Manchester City have scored 20 and conceded 8 across their league fixtures to date, whereas Liverpool have a league record of 18 goals for and 14 against. At home, Manchester City have been strong with four wins and one defeat; Liverpool’s away form shows two wins and three defeats. Managers Pep Guardiola (Manchester City) and Arne Slot (Liverpool) will both be seeking tactical advantages to deliver three points.
Our EPL predictions are well-researched by a team of betting experts to give you winning tips in different markets.
Main betting prediction — Tip 1 (Home win Manchester City)
Rationale: Manchester City arrive in solid form, having won four of their last five matches across competitions and producing a commanding offensive performance in their most recent fixture, a 4:1 victory over Borussia Dortmund. Pep Guardiola’s side have a superior goal difference in the league (20 scored, 8 conceded) and benefit from home advantage at the Etihad, where their record this season is four wins and one defeat. Liverpool are compact and capable under Arne Slot, but their away record (two wins and three defeats) suggests inconsistency on the road. Given City’s momentum, home comfort, and the marginal one-point gap at the summit, the probability of a Manchester City victory is appreciable. Best odds (available): Betwinner — Tip 1 at 1.93.
Both teams score? Yes
Rationale: Both clubs possess considerable attacking talent and have shown an ability to find the net consistently: Manchester City with 20 league goals and Liverpool with 18. Conversely, both have conceded goals with relative frequency (City 8 conceded, Liverpool 14 conceded), and Liverpool’s recent away defensive record suggests they can be breached even away from Anfield. The last direct meeting was a 2:0 Liverpool win, but recent fixtures indicate open, end-to-end affairs are likely. Consequently, the Both Teams To Score market favours “Yes”. Best odds (available): Paripesa — Both Teams To Score: Yes at 1.43.
Over/Under — Over 3.5 goals
Rationale: The expectation for an open, high-scoring contest is supported by the attacking profiles of both sides and their recent match outputs. Manchester City’s latest results include a 4:1 win, reflecting their capacity to score multiple goals in a single match. Liverpool, too, have been capable of scoring away from home and have conceded in a number of league fixtures. With both teams likely to press for victory and with full-backs and midfielders contributing to attacking phases, the probability of the match producing four or more goals is enhanced. This market therefore represents an attractive option for punters seeking a high-total outcome. Best odds (available): 2.20 on Betwinner.
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Statistics for Manchester City vs Liverpool FC
Manchester City team news!
Manchester City, coached by Pep Guardiola, occupy second place in the Premier League with 19 points from 10 matches (6 wins, 1 draw, 3 defeats), and a goal tally of 20 scored versus 8 conceded. Their home record this season stands at 4 wins and 1 defeat. In terms of recent form, Manchester City have won four of their last five fixtures across all competitions and suffered one defeat. Their most recent match produced a notable 4:1 home victory over Borussia Dortmund, indicating both attacking fluidity and an ability to dominate high-level opposition.
Liverpool FC team news!
Liverpool FC, under manager Arne Slot, sit third in the table with 18 points from 10 matches (6 wins, 0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 18 and conceding 14. Their away record reads 2 wins and 3 defeats. In their last five matches across all competitions Liverpool have secured three wins and suffered two defeats; their latest result was a 1:0 home victory over Real Madrid. Slot’s side are capable of strong offensive displays but have been inconsistent defensively, particularly on the road.
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H2H statistics
The recent head-to-head summary over the last five meetings (all competitions) records 1 win for Manchester City, 2 draws and 2 wins for Liverpool. The most recent direct encounter resulted in a 2:0 away win for Liverpool. This equilibrium in recent head-to-heads underscores the competitive nature of the fixture and suggests that marginal details — form on the day, tactical decisions by Guardiola and Slot, and squad availability — may determine the outcome.
Last results Manchester City
In their most recent five matches across competitions Manchester City have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat. Their current form demonstrates a high win rate and a capacity to produce multi-goal performances, contributing to their favourable position in the standings.
Last results Liverpool FC
Over their last five matches across competitions Liverpool FC have achieved 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats. The pattern indicates moments of strong performance interspersed with setbacks, particularly away from home, where defensive lapses have occasionally undermined overall outcomes.
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Conclusion
Taking into account league positions, recent form, home and away records, and head-to-head context, Manchester City emerge as slight favourites for this encounter. Pep Guardiola’s side possess superior goal differential and have been more consistent at the Etihad, while Liverpool under Arne Slot remain dangerous but less reliable on the road. Our assessment favours a Manchester City victory, with the expectation that Liverpool will score at least once and that the match could produce four or more goals. Final prediction: Home win (Tip 1), Both Teams To Score: Yes, and Over 3.5 goals.
