Nottingham vs Liverpool prediction
The Premier League returns on Sunday, 22 February 2026, with a compelling fixture at the City Ground as Nottingham Forest host Liverpool FC (kick-off 5:00, Matchday 27). This contest pits a side fighting to escape the relegation zone against a club aiming to consolidate European qualification places. Nottingham Forest arrive with 27 points and occupy 17th place in the table, whereas Liverpool sit on 42 points in sixth. The managers — Vítor Pereira for Nottingham Forest and Arne Slot for Liverpool FC — will prepare contrasting approaches given their teams’ recent trajectories and requirements in the season.
The clubs’ recent head-to-head meetings are balanced: across the last five encounters in all competitions each side has registered two wins and there has been one draw. Their last direct meeting ended in a 3:0 victory for Nottingham Forest (away), a reminder that past results can be deceptive and that the City Ground can produce unpredictable outcomes. Nonetheless, form and squad quality favour the visitors on paper.
Below follow our betting predictions and rationale for Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool FC.
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Main Betting prediction — Double Chance – Liverpool/Draw
Rationale: Liverpool travel with superior league form and a clear numerical advantage in the table. With 42 points from 26 matches they have registered 12 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats, scoring 41 and conceding 35. Their recent run across all competitions has been particularly strong — four wins and one defeat in the last five fixtures — signifying confidence and cohesion under Arne Slot. Nottingham Forest, on the other hand, are under pressure near the relegation places with 27 points and a negative goal difference (25:38). Their home record, while not hopeless, is inconsistent (3 wins, 4 draws, 6 defeats) and they will be under strain to collect points.
Arne Slot’s Liverpool have the attacking tools to exploit gaps that may appear in Forest’s defence; the visitors’ away record (5 wins, 3 draws, 5 defeats) indicates they are capable of positive results on the road. Taking into account team form, league positions and recent performances, the most probable outcome is Double Chance – Liverpool/Draw. Best odds on this market: Paripesa lists 1.27.
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2nd Betting tip — Both teams score? Yes
Rationale: Both sides have shown the capacity to find the net in recent matches. Nottingham Forest have had difficulty keeping clean sheets all season, conceding 38 goals in total, and they can be expected to create chances at home as they press for points. Liverpool, while conceding more than might be ideal (35), possess match-winners who can convert opportunities. The combination of Forest’s defensive vulnerabilities and Liverpool’s offensive quality makes a match with goals at both ends a plausible outcome. Best odds on the Both Teams to Score market: 1Win lists YES at 1.65.
3rd Betting Prediction — Over 2.5 goals
Rationale: The statistical profile of both teams suggests an open match. Nottingham Forest have leaked goals across the campaign and will likely need to adopt an assertive stance at the City Ground, increasing the likelihood of open play and transitional moments. Liverpool’s attacking potency and tendency to engage in high-tempo football under Arne Slot further heighten the probability of more than two goals in the fixture. Recent form underlines attacking efficiency for Liverpool and an inconsistent defensive record for both sides; when combined, these factors point toward a contest that produces three or more goals. Best odds on the Over/Under market: 1.68 on Paripesa.
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Statistics for Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool FC
Nottingham Forest team news!
Manager: Vítor Pereira.
Nottingham Forest currently occupy 17th place with 27 points from 26 matches (7 wins, 6 draws, 13 defeats) and a goal tally of 25 scored and 38 conceded. Their home form is mixed: 3 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats at the City Ground. In the last five matches across all competitions Forest have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; their most recent result was a 0:0 home draw with Wolverhampton Wanderers. Under Vítor Pereira the team has shown resilience but continues to struggle for defensive consistency and goal production, issues that may influence tactical choices against a high-quality opponent.
Liverpool FC team news!
Manager: Arne Slot.
Liverpool sit in sixth place with 42 points (12 wins, 6 draws, 8 defeats), with a goals for/against record of 41:35. Their away record reads 5 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats. Liverpool’s recent run is positive: 4 victories and 1 defeat in their last five fixtures, the latest being a 3:0 home victory over Brighton & Hove Albion. Under Arne Slot the team has displayed attacking intent and a capacity to dominate possession and generate chances; however, defensive lapses have occurred and could be exploited by a determined Forest side.
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H2H statistics
The last direct meeting resulted in a 3:0 away win for Nottingham Forest. Across the most recent five meetings in all competitions the head-to-head record stands even: 2 wins for Nottingham Forest, 1 draw and 2 wins for Liverpool FC. This parity in recent history demonstrates that while Liverpool may be favourites by the numbers, Nottingham Forest have the ability to produce notable results against them.
Last results Nottingham Forest
In their last five matches across all competitions Nottingham Forest have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Their current form is mixed but shows resilience; the most recent match produced a 0:0 draw at home against Wolverhampton Wanderers, indicating a team capable of defensive organisation but also one that may lack cutting edge in attack.
Last results Liverpool FC
Liverpool’s last five matches in all competitions show 4 wins and 1 defeat, demonstrating strong recent form and momentum. Their most recent match was a convincing 3:0 victory over Brighton & Hove Albion, confirming attacking sharpness. This sequence suggests Liverpool travel to the City Ground with confidence and belief in their capacity to win.
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Conclusion
On balance, Liverpool are the favourites for this encounter. They possess superior league standing, a more favourable recent formline, and an attacking profile likely to test Nottingham Forest’s defensive vulnerabilities. Nottingham Forest, managed by Vítor Pereira, will be motivated and potentially dangerous on home soil — their previous 3:0 win in the most recent direct meeting at least warns visitors against complacency. Nevertheless, the statistical indicators and form trends support a positive result for Liverpool, accompanied by goals at both ends and a total of three or more goals in the match. Recommended outcome: Double Chance – Liverpool/Draw; Both teams to score — Yes; Over 2.5 goals. Please verify up-to-date odds before placing any bets.
