Tottenham vs Arsenal prediction
The Premier League returns with a high-profile North London derby on Sunday, 22 February 2026, kick-off 7:30 at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. This fixture, contested on Matchday 27, pits Tottenham Hotspur (16th, 29 points) against league leaders Arsenal FC (1st, 58 points). Tottenham arrive with a mixed domestic record — seven wins, eight draws and eleven defeats, and a modest home return of two wins, four draws and seven defeats, goal difference 36:37.
Arsenal are in strong form overall: seventeen wins, seven draws and three defeats, with an impressive away record of seven wins, five draws and two defeats and a goal difference of 52:20. The last direct meeting concluded with a 4:1 victory for Arsenal at home. Managers Igor Tudor (Tottenham Hotspur) and Mikel Arteta (Arsenal FC) will both be under scrutiny as they prepare their sides for a derby that carries not only local pride but significant league implications.
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Our betting prediction for Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal FC
Main Betting Tip: Both teams score? Yes
Both teams to score is a compelling primary betting tip. Tottenham have demonstrated capacity to score — their season tally of 36 goals indicates forward potential — but they have also conceded 37 times, reflecting defensive vulnerability, particularly at home, where their record shows seven defeats. Arsenal, while defensively disciplined, have been prolific in attack and have produced goals in away fixtures regularly. The last direct meeting ended 4:1, which further highlights Arsenal’s offensive threat and Tottenham’s propensity to concede. Given Tottenham’s need to attack and Arsenal’s clinical forward line, a match with goals for both sides is a plausible outcome. Best available odds from the provided data: Both teams to score — Yes at 1.85 (Betway).
Betting Tip 2: 1X2 (Away win — Arsenal FC)
Arsenal are the clear favourites to take maximum points at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. The statistical gulf in the league table is substantive: Arsenal top the Premier League with 58 points and a superior goal difference, while Tottenham are in the relegation zone with 29 points. Form speaks in Arsenal’s favour: they are unbeaten in their last five matches (three wins and two draws), whereas Tottenham have secured only one win in their last five fixtures (one win, two draws, two defeats). Tactical consistency under Mikel Arteta, greater attacking output (52 goals), and greater defensive stability (only 20 conceded) underpin the expectation of an Arsenal victory. Consequently, the principal betting prediction is an away win for Arsenal. Best available 1X2 odds from the provided data: Tip 2 (Away win) at 1.62 (Paripesa).
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Betting Tip 3: Over/Under – Over 2.5 goals
Forecasting over 2.5 goals reflects the attacking tendencies and recent scoring patterns of both clubs. Arsenal have been high-scoring throughout the campaign, while Tottenham’s matches have often produced multiple goals, owing to defensive inconsistencies and an aggressive requirement to chase results. The combination of the Spurs’ home struggles and Arsenal’s attacking confidence suggests a match that is likely to produce at least three goals. This selection complements the main tip and the both-teams-to-score recommendation, providing a coherent trio of stakes for punters seeking value in multiple markets.
Statistics for Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal FC
Tottenham Hotspur team news!
Tottenham Hotspur head into the fixture positioned 16th in the Premier League with 29 points. Under coach Igor Tudor, Tottenham have recorded seven wins, eight draws and eleven defeats across the league campaign, producing a goal difference of 36 scored and 37 conceded. Their home form has been problematic: only two wins from thirteen home fixtures, alongside four draws and seven defeats, indicating vulnerability at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Recent form shows a modest recovery with one win, two draws and two defeats across the last five matches in all competitions. Manager Igor Tudor will be tasked with organising a compact defensive structure while attempting to extract more consistent attacking output from his forwards.
Arsenal FC team news!
Arsenal FC sit at the summit of the Premier League with 58 points after seventeen wins, seven draws and three defeats. They have demonstrated superior balance between attack and defense, netting 52 goals and conceding only 20. On the road, Arsenal’s record is strong with seven wins, five draws and two defeats, reflecting both resilience and efficiency away from the Emirates. Coach Mikel Arteta’s side are unbeaten in their last five matches across all competitions (three wins and two draws), suggesting high morale and tactical cohesion. Arteta will likely emphasise controlled possession, rapid transitions and disciplined defending to negate Spurs’ threats.
H2H statistics
The head-to-head record over the last five meetings across all competitions markedly favours Arsenal: Tottenham have recorded one win, there have been no draws, and Arsenal have secured four victories. The most recent direct encounter finished 4:1 in Arsenal’s favour, illustrating both Arsenal’s attacking potency and Tottenham’s defensive shortcomings in derby circumstances. Historically, Arsenal have regularly imposed their style in these fixtures, though derby games can produce atypical outcomes.
Last results Tottenham Hotspur
In their last five matches across all competitions Tottenham Hotspur have recorded: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats. This sequence suggests inconsistency and fluctuating form; the team have alternated between competitive displays and defensive lapses. Their most recent match concluded in a 1:2 home loss to Newcastle United, a result that emphasises the defensive issues that have contributed to their precarious league position.
Last results Arsenal FC
Arsenal FC’s recent form is markedly stronger: over the last five matches, they have achieved 3 wins and 2 draws, remaining unbeaten across that span. Their latest outing ended in a 2:2 away draw at Wolverhampton Wanderers, indicating that while Arsenal remain potent, they are not immune to conceding goals — a factor that supports the both-teams-to-score and over 2.5 predictions.
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Conclusion
In conclusion, Arsenal enter this North London derby as clear favourites based on league position, recent form, and overall squad performance. Tottenham’s struggles at home and inconsistent form render them vulnerable, whereas Arsenal’s cohesion under Mikel Arteta and superior goal metrics suggest they are likely to secure victory. The principal prediction is an Arsenal away win (Tip 2), supplemented by the expectation that both teams will score and that the match will produce over 2.5 goals. For those seeking an exact-score outcome, a conservative 0:1 success for Arsenal is recommended. Bettors should, as always, exercise responsible stake management and verify live odds with reputable bookmakers before placing wagers.
