Tottenham vs Manchester City prediction
The Premier League returns to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sunday, 01.02.2026, at 7:30 for a high-profile encounter between Tottenham Hotspur and Manchester City. This fixture, contested on Matchday 24 of the competition, pits Thomas Frank’s Tottenham, currently 14th in the table with 28 points, against Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City, who occupy second place with 46 points. Tottenham have accumulated their points through 7 wins, 7 draws and 9 defeats with a goal record of 33:31, while City boast 14 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats, scoring 47 and conceding 21. The context of league positions, recent performances and home and away records frames the expectations for what promises to be a tactically intriguing evening.
Tottenham’s home form is a source of concern for Frank — their record at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium reads 2 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats — whereas Manchester City travel with a relatively solid away record of 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats. The teams also met recently, with Tottenham winning the last direct encounter 2:0, and the head-to-head over the last five meetings slightly favours Spurs (three wins to two). Both sides come into the tie with victories in their most recent matches: Tottenham secured a 1:0 away win at Eintracht Frankfurt, and Manchester City prevailed 2:0 at home against Galatasaray.
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Our betting prediction for Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester City
Betting Tip 1: DC Manchester City/Draw
Manchester City enter this match as the clear favourites to take all three points. Pep Guardiola’s side is superior in league position (46 points versus Tottenham’s 28), enjoys a significantly better goal difference, and has greater consistency across the season. City’s squad depth and tactical flexibility give them the tools to control matches away from home, while Tottenham’s inconsistent home form suggests vulnerability when expected to carry the game. Although Tottenham have shown they can produce shock results against City in recent H2H encounters, the weight of season-long evidence favours an away victory. But we approach with caution with City’s double chance. Best available odds: (DC Manchester City/Draw) at 1.28 at 1win.
Tip 2: Both teams score? Yes
The probability that both teams will score appears high. Tottenham have scored 33 goals this season and, despite defensive frailties, can produce chances—particularly from transitions and set-plays under Thomas Frank. Manchester City have been prolific offensively with 47 goals, but are not invulnerable in transition; they have conceded 21 goals, which suggests opportunities exist for Spurs. Recent form shows both teams scoring in several of their fixtures, and the tactical approaches of Frank and Guardiola—Spurs often seeking to press and City seeking possession and chances—tend to produce goals at both ends. Best available odds on the Both Teams To Score market: YES at Paripesa 1.65.
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Tip 3: Over/Under — Under 2.5 Goals
While both teams are capable of scoring, the expectation for this particular meeting is a disciplined, lower-scoring affair. Manchester City often manages possession and territorial control, which can limit opponent chances, and Tottenham’s pragmatic approach against stronger opposition frequently results in compact defensive structures that reduce high-scoring outcomes. Given the context — a top side visiting a home team with defensive solidity at times and an emphasis on tactical caution — Under 2.5 goals is a convincing recommendation. This selection also aligns with a forecasted 1:2 correct scoreline.
Statistics for Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester City
Tottenham Hotspur team news!
Under the guidance of coach Thomas Frank, Tottenham have registered 28 points from 23 Premier League matches, securing 7 wins, 7 draws and 9 defeats with a goal total of 33 for and 31 against. The team’s home record is a concern: only 2 wins from 11 home league matches (2 wins, 3 draws, 6 defeats). Frank’s side have displayed mixed recent form, winning two of their last five fixtures, drawing one and losing two. Their last outing produced a 1:0 away victory against Eintracht Frankfurt, suggesting morale and competitiveness remain intact despite inconsistencies. Tottenham will likely rely on structured defensive organisation and opportunistic attacking to unsettle City.
Manchester City team news!
Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City occupy second place in the Premier League with 46 points amassed through 14 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses, and a striking goal tally of 47 scored versus 21 conceded. City’s away record is respectable (5 wins, 2 draws, 4 defeats), and their recent run includes three wins and two defeats in the last five matches across competitions. Their most recent result was a 2:0 home victory against Galatasaray, demonstrating that City remain potent in attack while capable defensively. Guardiola will probably field a side intended to control possession, create high-quality chances and exploit Tottenham’s defensive lapses.
H2H statistics
Recent head-to-head meetings present a mixed picture. In the last five meetings across all competitions, Tottenham Hotspur have won 3 times and Manchester City have won 2 times; there were no draws in that span. The most recent direct meeting ended 2:0 in favour of Tottenham. This historical detail underlines that while City are favourites on form and season metrics, Tottenham have proven they can secure results against City on occasion, particularly in high-pressure fixtures.
Last results Tottenham Hotspur
In their last five fixtures across all competitions, Tottenham Hotspur have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. The current form is therefore mixed but not devoid of positive outcomes, as evidenced by the recent away win against Eintracht Frankfurt.
Last results Manchester City
Manchester City’s last five matches in all competitions have produced 3 wins and 2 defeats. The Citizens display greater consistency recently compared to Tottenham and arrive with momentum from a 2:0 victory over Galatasaray.
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Conclusion
On balance, Manchester City are the favourites for this encounter due to superior league standing, goal-scoring record and overall consistency under Pep Guardiola. Tottenham possess the capacity for surprise—demonstrated in recent head-to-head results—and will be dangerous on set pieces and breaks, especially at home. Nevertheless, the most probable outcome is an away win for Manchester City, with both teams likely to find the net but overall goals remaining under 2.5. Final predicted score: 1:2 in favour of Manchester City. Main betting tip: Away win (Tip 2); supplementary tips: Both teams to score — Yes; Under 2.5 goals; Correct score 1:2.
