AC Milan vs Fiorentina Prediction
The Serie A encounter between AC Milan and Fiorentina is scheduled for Sunday, 19.10.2025 at 21:45, to be staged at the Giuseppe Meazza on Matchday 7. This fixture pits the Serie A high-flyers against a side struggling for momentum: AC Milan currently occupy third place with 13 points, while Fiorentina sit 17th with 3 points. This preview contains a considered betting prediction for the match, together with complementary market selections and the rationale behind each pick.
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Main Betting Tip: AC Milan Win
Betting prediction: AC Milan to win. AC Milan enter the match in markedly stronger form and with superior campaign numbers. They have accrued 13 points from six matches (4 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat) and boast a positive goal difference (9:3). At home the Rossoneri have shown relative consistency with two victories and a single defeat. Massimiliano Allegri’s side have recorded four wins and one draw in their last five outings across all competitions, a sequence that underlines a stable momentum and defensive solidity. Fiorentina, by contrast, have managed only three points in the league and are without an away win this season (0 wins, 3 draws, 0 defeats away), while their overall recent form is fragile. Given the balance of form, quality and the advantage of playing at the Giuseppe Meazza, the primary betting tip is a home victory for AC Milan. Best available odds on the 1X2 market for Tip 1: 1.57 at Betway.
Both teams score? No
Betting tip: Both teams do not score (No). Fiorentina’s offensive output has been limited to four goals in six matches, and their attacking returns on the road have been particularly constrained. Milan’s defensive record this season (conceding three in six) is indicative of a unit capable of restricting visiting attacks. Additionally, Milan’s recent run emphasizes control and results rather than reckless attacking abandon. For these reasons a No on the Both Teams To Score market represents a conservative specialist selection that complements the main bet on a Milan victory. Best available odds on BTTS No: 1.83 at Paripesa.
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Tip 3: Over 2.5 goals
Betting prediction: Over 2.5 goals. While the BTTS No selection favours a scoreline where Fiorentina fail to find the net, the Over 2.5 goals market reflects an expectation that AC Milan’s attacking efficiency will produce multiple goals. Milan have scored nine goals in six league matches, suggesting they are capable of producing more than a solitary goal on home soil. Fiorentina’s defensive record (eight conceded) points to vulnerability that Milan could exploit, potentially producing a multi-goal encounter even if Fiorentina are kept off the scoresheet. This pick is intended as an alternative market that exploits Milan’s scoring potential and Fiorentina’s defensive frailties. Best available odds on Over 2.5 goals: (odds not provided in supplied data).
Statistics for AC Milan vs Fiorentina
AC Milan team news!
AC Milan arrive at this fixture under the stewardship of Massimiliano Allegri. The Rossoneri occupy third place in Serie A with 13 points from six matches and a goal tally of 9:3. At home, Milan have recorded two wins and one defeat, showing a degree of reliability at the Giuseppe Meazza. Their recent sequence — four wins and one draw in the last five matches across all competitions — signals both attacking productivity and defensive organisation. The stalemate away at Juventus (0:0) in the latest round demonstrated the team’s capacity to secure a resilient result against strong opposition.
Fiorentina team news!
Fiorentina, coached by Stefano Pioli, have experienced a difficult start to the season and currently sit 17th in the standings with just three points. The Viola have not won in Serie A so far (0 wins, 3 draws, 3 defeats), and away from home they have drawn all three fixtures to date (0 wins, 3 draws, 0 defeats), reflecting a team that is hard to beat on the road but lacking cutting edge to secure victories. Their most recent league outing ended in a 1:2 home defeat to AS Roma, which highlights defensive inconsistencies that must be addressed ahead of this trip to Milan.
H2H statistics
Across the last five meetings in all competitions the head-to-head record is finely balanced: two victories for AC Milan, one draw and two victories for Fiorentina. The most recent direct meeting concluded in a 2:2 draw. Historical balance indicates that while Milan are the superior side this season, Fiorentina have the capacity to pose problems and produce competitive performances against the Rossoneri.
Last results AC Milan
In their last five matches across all competitions AC Milan have recorded four wins and one draw, remaining unbeaten throughout that stretch. This run speaks to a high level of current form and consistency under Allegri, with the team combining attacking potency and defensive organisation. The present run is a strong indicator that Milan enter the fixture as clear favourites.
Last results Fiorentina
Fiorentina’s form over their last five matches across competitions is less convincing: one win, one draw and three defeats. This sequence highlights the struggles the squad have experienced in converting opportunities into points and stabilising their defensive performance. The recent home loss to Roma further underscores the challenges Fiorentina must overcome when facing well-drilled opponents.
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Conclusion
In conclusion, AC Milan should approach this fixture as favourites. The Rossoneri’s superior league position, recent run of form (four wins and a draw in the last five), home advantage at the Giuseppe Meazza and a more convincing goalscoring record all support the view that Milan are most likely to collect three points. Fiorentina’s low points total, limited attacking threat and general inconsistency render them the underdogs. Our primary betting prediction remains a home win for AC Milan (Tip 1), supported by a conservative selection of Both Teams To Score: No and a complementary Over 2.5 goals market as a value play on Milan’s scoring capability. As an alternative speculative selection we list a 1:1 correct score for players seeking higher odds. Overall, the analytical balance favours AC Milan as the team most likely to prevail on Sunday evening.
